Interesting extrapolation Quokka....

I don't remember seeing any timeline being suggested for something to happen but...by your post are you stating that an Australian airline will not go into receivership or at least need a bail out from the Australian Government in the not too distante future???

You would bet money on that?

After seeing what is happening in the US with the largest corporate loss in US history,are you willing to guarantee that something won't happen to a large Australian business?.....

Because I wouldn't.....

Most of the market down again today, including QF and VB (down 2.06% and 4.44% respectively). QF/VB charts are pretty depressing.

http://i365.photobucket.com/albums/o...F-VBAchart.jpg

Both airlines would be healthier if:
1) As the provider of civilian Air Traffic Control, ASA had sufficient staff so that there were no delays due to staff unavailability;
2) LTOP at Sydney was put firmly on "hold" [reduction in airborne holding];
3) ASA had sufficient staff such that PRM could be operated in Sydney [reduction in airborne holding and/or ground delays];
4) Changes to the pricing policy such that the airlines no longer paid the government a premium (tax) - up to $100m profit made by ASA per year.

Interesting to note that QF Group seems to maintaining market share through the growth of J*. How long will it take for J* to take over as the main part of the group? 5 years, 10 years.

wirgin blew ,If Vb goes under then Jetstar will have it's hands full coping with all the work but at the end of the day there will always be a legacy airline with the business market.
The domestic market supports a LCC because you get the people who used to catch the bus or the trains but internationally Jetstar is still a hit and miss idea.

Your idea is like Target taking over from David Jones.

The idea of flying in a jetstar config to Europe or the US would be a big mistake.The punter only uses Jetstar to HNL because QF has cut back and there's no alternative thanks to GD.

If you are crew with VB and it does a titanic you never know you might end up wearing a Singapore girls outfit:E