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Qantas CEO To Be Grilled At Luncheon

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Old 25th Sep 2002, 03:47
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Qantas CEO To Be Grilled At Luncheon

Qantas CEO To Be Grilled At Luncheon
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1126 [Dow Jones] Qantas CEO Geoff Dixon to be quizzed at luncheon in Sydney about its international operations following increasing tensions between U.S. and Iraq. Qantas shares have come under pressure in recent weeks as oil jumps above US$30/barrel on fears of another Gulf War, and on concerns that its underwriters will have to take up a portion of its A$200 million retail offer at A$4.20 a share, which closes on Friday. Qantas shares down 9 cents, or 2.3%, to A$3.75.

Dow Jones
=========================================


Dow Jones

SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--Qantas Airways Ltd. chief executive Geoff Dixon said Wednesday that Australia's national carrier is closely watching the troublesome Middle East political and military situation.

"Now we face a real prospect of a major conflict in the Middle East and Qantas obviously will not be immune," Dixon said in a lunch speech to the Australia-Israeli Chamber of Commerce.

Dixon said one buffer for Qantas in the next few months is the company's fuel hedging program that "provides a substantial level of cover at more favorable rates".

He said the aviation sector remains problematic, and Qantas continues to face stiff competition on domestic and international services.

"The global situation is serious. It was clear well before last year that aviation was in trouble. What Sept. 11 did was compound this situation and precipitated the crisis facing many carriers," Dixon said.

Qantas, which remains in talks with Air New Zealand Ltd. (A.AIZ) to buy a stake of about 25% in that carrier, will continue to seek international partnerships, he said.

"Although we will always remain a principally Australian airline, we are going to need to undertake investments overseas and most likely forge new equity partnerships," he said.

Some analysts have also speculated that once the Air NZ deal is completed, Qantas and regional rival Singapore Airlines Ltd. will consider a medium-term partnership.

Dixon said Qantas is also considering spending more money to upgrade its Australian regional operations.

"One of the next important decisions that Qantas will face is a possible A$2 billion re-equipment of the Qantaslink fleet over the next 10 years to sustain and grow regional services," he said.

"We have also, as you may know, embarked on a program of major capital investments," Dixon said.

"We will spend at least A$13 billion over the next 10 years for aircraft, service improvements and information technology and this number could in fact be as high as A$25 billion.

"This will give us not only the leading edge on quality but much greater flexibility and efficiency," Dixon said.

-By Lilly Vitorovich; Dow Jones Newswires;

61-2-8235-2963; [email protected]
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1235 [Dow Jones] Comments by Qantas CEO about need for overseas partnerships could rekindle analyst speculation Australia's national carrier might forge an alliance sooner or later with arch rival Singapore Airlines to form regional powerhouse; CEO Geoff Dixon says "we are going to need to undertake investments overseas and most likely forge new equity partnerships". Comments have immediacy for Air NZ talks but infer more could be afoot longer term.
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SYDNEY -(Dow Jones)- Geoff Dixon, chief executive of Australia's Qantas Airways Ltd. , said Wednesday that talks with trans-Tasman rival Air New Zealand Ltd. are continuing.
Qantas is keen to take up to a 25% stake in the New Zealand carrier.

"We are still talking about it," said Dixon, adding that talks between the two companies are cordial.

Questioned at a luncheon in Sydney about his no-frills domestic rival Virgin Blue, Dixon said the carrier has "a good model and a very, very robust future."

The Qantas chief was also quick to say he benchmarks his airline against regional rivals Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. and Singapore Airlines Ltd.

-By Lilly Vitorovich, Dow Jones Newswires;

Last edited by Wirraway; 25th Sep 2002 at 05:26.
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Old 25th Sep 2002, 08:42
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Bloomberg
Wed, 25 Sep 2002, 06:36pm EST

Qantas May Spend $14 Billion on New Planes, Seeks Overseas Investments
By Margreet Dietz

Sydney, Sept. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Qantas Airways Ltd., Australia's dominant airline, may spend as much as A$25 billion ($14 billion) on new planes and services over 10 years, extending plans to renew its fleet and offer new services.

Sydney-based Qantas, which competes on domestic routes with Virgin Blue Airlines Pty, may also spend about A$2 billion upgrading its regional QantasLink fleet over the next decade, Chief Executive Officer Geoff Dixon told an Australia-Israel Chamber of Commerce luncheon.

The new estimates extend the airline's plan to spend an average A$2.5 billion a year on new planes until 2005 as Qantas replaces aging jetliners with newer models. The carrier's expansion effort worried some investors already concerned about the airline industry's rising jet fuel prices and the threat that a war against Iraq may deter air travel.

"Nobody has that (A$25 billion target) in their numbers,'' said Gavin van der Wath, who helps manage A$1.2 billion of assets at Allianz Asset Management including Qantas shares. Van der Wath said he hasn't changed his holding of Qantas shares recently and doesn't plan to soon.

To help pay for the upgrade of its fleet, Qantas last month raised A$600 million by selling new shares to investors, while retail investors have until Friday to take up their portion of a A$200 million new stock offer, priced at A$4.20 each.

Qantas shares today had their biggest drop in four weeks, falling 4.4 percent to A$3.67. Most airline shares in the region dropped in part because jet fuel rose, reaching $34.20 a barrel yesterday in Singapore, the highest in a year.

Debt Load

Qantas's Dixon gave no indication how the carrier planned to secure funds for the 10-year plan. At the A$800 million rights offer last month, he said the airline wouldn't need additional fundraising until June 2004.

The airline had A$4.2 billion of net debt outstanding as of June 31. About A$841 million of the airline's bonds, or more than half of its outstanding fixed income debt, will mature next year, according to Bloomberg data.

Qantas, which is 19.5 percent owned by British Airways Plc, is also looking for overseas investments including equity partnerships and wants to pursue closer relationships with other carriers, Dixon said.

Talks with Air New Zealand Ltd. about Qantas buying a minority stake in its New Zealand government-controlled rival are continuing, Dixon said. Both airlines would benefit from pursuing stronger links with other competitors in the region, he said.

"Although we will always remain principally an Australian airline, we are going to need to undertake investments overseas,'' Dixon said. "A strong Australasian airline grouping that includes, but not necessarily only includes, Qantas and Air New Zealand would be very good for this region.''

Singapore Link?

Dixon's comments may fuel speculation of a possible link with Singapore Airlines Ltd., Asia's most profitable airline.

The Singaporean carrier has tried for a decade to get a part of Australia's domestic aviation market. It missed out against British Airways to buy a stake in Qantas from the Australian government and lost its indirect link with Australia when Ansett Holdings Ltd. failed in the past year.

"If rational behavior remains the key focus in all negotiations, I suspect that somebody like Singapore Airlines would be a good partner,'' van der Wath said. "Some sort of agreement between the two of them might allow Qantas to continue with its dominance over the domestic market as well as rationalize some international routes.''

Almost all of Qantas's fleet are now Boeing Co. jetliners, although it has ordered some Airbus SAS aircraft including the A380 aircraft to come into service after 2006.

=============================================

AAP

Aviation situation 'serious'
September 25, 2002

QANTAS Airways Ltd chief executive Geoff Dixon has said the global aviation situation was serious.

"Frankly there is also a real question mark over the structural sustainability of the whole (aviation) industry," Mr Dixon said.

He said Qantas was likely to have to adapt rapidly to short term shocks.

"We have had to adapt rapidly to very dramatic short term shocks and experience tells us we will need to do so again in the future," he said.

"These may be negative shocks requiring defensive measures, they may also be positive opportunities that we must move quickly to take advantage of."

Mr Dixon said it was fair to say Qantas faced a far broader and more complex range of conditions than in the past.

He said Qantas would not be immune from a major conflict in the Middle East.

"Now we face a real prospect of a conflict in the Middle East and Qantas obviously will not be immune," he said.

"As you have seen crude oil prices have already risen in anticipation and airline stocks worldwide, including Qantas, have been heavily sold."

However, he added Australia's image as a safe haven and Qantas' sound reputation had in the past provided some respite from the effect of major international conflicts.

He added the company was also better capitalised than its competitors and had substantial stand-by lines of credit in the event of any major prolonged downturn.

"Our fuel hedging program also provides a substantial level of cover at more favourable rates over the next few months," he said.

Mr Dixon also criticised the federal government's recent decision not to lift its foreign ownership restriction.

"Qantas is now one of the few airlines on the planet that is not either partly government owned or government subsidised in any way.

"Not only are we not subsidised but the Australian government's recent decision not to amend the Qantas sale act actively disadvantages Qantas relative to other Australian companies and international competitors in terms of price and access to capital." Mr Dixon, in a veiled warning to the possible entrance of a third domestic competitor in Australia and also rival Virgin Blue, said he was surprised that business discourse about sustainability always somehow bypassed the Australian domestic aviation market.

He said most countries much bigger than Australia did not have even two major airlines operating let alone four as in Australia last year.

"However, this not about the number of airlines, it is about the number of seats that commentators, consumer groups, expect to be sold below the cost of providing them," Mr Dixon said.

"I should have thought the collapse of Ansett offered a potent lesson on the economics of airlines yet there are still calls for cheaper and more plentiful seats through pricing wars to a level where the supply of services exceeds demand at unsustainable prices."

Mr Dixon said there was no doubt about what happened in Australia last year.

"Qantas was not making money, Ansett was losing hundreds of millions of dollar on an annual basis while Impulse collapsed and Virgin Blue was struggling and probably ultimately saved by Ansett going under," he said.

"But right up until the end the focus was on cheaper and cheaper fares at all costs.

"Surely no-one is suggesting that it would be desirable to go down that path again, or perhaps they are."

Mr Dixon said in regional Australia it was even more difficult to get aviation sustainability.

"We operate a significant number of marginal or loss making routes," he said.

One of Qantas' next most important decisions would be a possible $2 billion re-equipment of the QantasLink fleet over the next two years in regional Australia.

"Our ability to commit to this investment will depend on a sustainable business case and such a case is proving very difficult to achieve," Mr Dixon said.

"More so following the government's recent decision on foreign equity in Qantas that limits our access to global markets.

"Our final decision on re-equipment will have a profound impact on the level and breadth of services in Australia."

Meanwhile, he said the launch of Qantas' Australian Airlines leisure airline next month was looking very good.

"It has more than 60 per cent load factor through until April and the first month of its operation is nearly booked out," he said.

Mr Dixon concluded by saying Qantas would keep working very hard to continue to deliver excellent performances and to ensure its performance was sustained.

AAP

Last edited by Wirraway; 25th Sep 2002 at 09:21.
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Old 26th Sep 2002, 12:37
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Talking

And to think when I saw the title of this thread I imagined him done in a white wine sauce, on a platter, basted to a high glisten and with an apple stuck in his mouth.
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Old 27th Sep 2002, 03:14
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Wirraway - I have to agree with Critical mass in that your thread title was totally misleading and somewhat of a disappointment.

If anything I too expected to see the likes of a Coles-Myer or AMP shareholders meeting with the standard blood-letting and biffo.

While we're at it - my opinion on the supposed SQ start up?
They'll pull the pin at the last minute after some sort of tie-up deal with Qantas after QF's purchase of 25% of Air NZ.

With the Singaporeans as usual it's all smoke and mirrors.
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Old 28th Sep 2002, 21:09
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I agree with Timmee & even if they don't buy into Air NZ but if BA wants to hold onto Q the tie up will be with Virgin. Going alone I don't think so but I guess we will find out next year.
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