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Qantas Project Sunrise Airbus order 2 May 2022?

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Qantas Project Sunrise Airbus order 2 May 2022?

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Old 1st May 2022, 13:24
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I reckon that the Irishman is eventually targeting Syd to Syd non-stop with no jet lag.
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Old 1st May 2022, 13:28
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Originally Posted by FullWings
I wonder what the ticket prices will be? One 20-hr flight uses considerably more fuel than two 10hr ones.
This is only one side of the cost equation. More fuel, but less airframe hours, less cycles for any cycle-related maintenance, etc. I'm sure the long haul carriers know the numbers, but traditionally nonstops have always expanded with the capability of aircraft to overfly previous intermediate stops.

Furthermore, as I have described many times, cost and revenue are not directly connected. Revenue is driven by what passengers will pay you, not by how much it costs you to provide it.
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Old 1st May 2022, 13:56
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Originally Posted by KRviator
Indeed...It's only 30 years since Qantas took their new 747-400 non-stop from London to Sydney. You would have thought if tomorrows announcement is about the A350 & LHR-SYD non-stop that Airbus wold at least be able to do Toulouse-Sydney non-stop to show off their new toy.

Guess they have their reasons. Maybe it's to placate der fuhrer so he doesn't think he's going to lose his precious QF9/QF10 services out of Perth?
I’m guessing the reason for the night time arrival would be the QF decals placed on the aircraft for its grand entrance in the morning.

With todays winds, and the configuration it flew in, they could have flown LHR-AKL with OHA as an alternate.
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Old 1st May 2022, 14:41
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Originally Posted by FullWings
One 20-hr flight uses considerably more fuel than two 10hr ones.
I would need to check the maths, but I would not be so sure about that. Yes, fuel consumption is highest at takeoff, and is a direct function of takeoff weight, but the equation is definitely not 1:1. Also the 20 hr sector needs to be compared to two 10.5 hr to allow for another approach/landing & takeoff. But the big savings is doing away with the interim airport landing and handling fees which is a considerable portion of total cost. On the revenue side I'm not so sure how it will work out. As a rule of thumb, an airline can charge a premium for a non-stop service (or rather competitors with a connection need to offer a discount), however on such a long route where the time saving is marginal, I don't know to what extent will this work. I for one would rather pay less and spend a night in a Bangkok hotel to break it into two shorter legs. The key is how much of the premium traffic will they manage to capture to fill F/C. I have taken QF first, and the experience was quite disappointing in comparison with what the competition has to offer.


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Old 1st May 2022, 15:35
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How many cabin crew will they use ? Will they need 3 sets of flight crew also ?.
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Old 1st May 2022, 17:33
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I guess they will work out something with the regulator. The longest continuous duty I’ve done was just under 28hrs last year under an alleviation.

I would need to check the maths, but I would not be so sure about that. Yes, fuel consumption is highest at takeoff, and is a direct function of takeoff weight, but the equation is definitely not 1:1. Also the 20 hr sector needs to be compared to two 10.5 hr to allow for another approach/landing & takeoff. But the big savings is doing away with the interim airport landing and handling fees which is a considerable portion of total cost. On the revenue side I'm not so sure how it will work out. As a rule of thumb, an airline can charge a premium for a non-stop service (or rather competitors with a connection need to offer a discount), however on such a long route where the time saving is marginal, I don't know to what extent will this work. I for one would rather pay less and spend a night in a Bangkok hotel to break it into two shorter legs. The key is how much of the premium traffic will they manage to capture to fill F/C. I have taken QF first, and the experience was quite disappointing in comparison with what the competition has to offer.
It’s non-linear and by the time you get out to the 20th hour of flying, you have had to carry the fuel to do that for 19hrs, burning a significant amount to do that. For a given L/D ratio, there is a point eventually where adding more fuel doesn’t measurably increase the range, similar to the rocket equation’s relationship to velocity. It’s an informed guess, but I’d expect to use at least 40% more fuel on a 20hr ULH sector than two 10.5hr ones with the same payload; at ~USD1,200/mt that’s going to be significant. Also, you might save in cycle-denominated engineering costs but you’re going to work the engines harder, especially taking off with likely very little or no derate.

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Old 1st May 2022, 17:37
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In Perth


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Old 1st May 2022, 19:18
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The A343 flight was done during the Le Bourget Airshow in 1993
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Old 1st May 2022, 21:36
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Originally Posted by widgeon
How many cabin crew will they use ? Will they need 3 sets of flight crew also ?.
The expectation is that they'll still use a Captain, F/O and 2 S/Os as they currently do on Ultra Longhaul services such as Perth/Darwin-London and Dallas-Sydney.

There was a push by some of the Pilot representatives to at least include a second F/O, rather than second S/O, to allow the 'landing' crew to optimise their rest prior to descent but this has been deemed unnecessary……by those who will rarely if ever have to do it.
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Old 1st May 2022, 21:37
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Originally Posted by andrasz
Also the 20 hr sector needs to be compared to two 10.5 hr to allow for another approach/landing & takeoff. But the big savings is doing away with the interim airport landing and handling fees which is a considerable portion of total cost.
Not only a 20 to 21 hour comparison, but there's ground time as well, it seems impossible nowadays to turn a long-haul widebody in less than 1.5 hours, so now 22.5 hours. You also need a commercially sensible intermediate stop bang on the Great Circle track to achieve this. If you are doing passenger work at the intermediate stop it's then a challenge to balance loads equally, every time, on both legs, so some revenue wastage there.
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Old 1st May 2022, 21:43
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No, it is going via Perth so that AJ can get the Network, Cobham, Alliance and VARA chaps to put in a price to fly the shiny jet.
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Old 1st May 2022, 22:36
  #32 (permalink)  
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  • Approval of Project Sunrise, with order for 12 x Airbus A350s capable of flying direct from Australia to any other city including New York and London, starting from Sydney in late 2025.
  • Domestic fleet renewal from late 2023, with order for 40 x A321XLRs and A220 aircraft; 94 purchase order rights spread over at least a decade.
  • Major improvements in emissions, running costs and passenger comfort vs retiring aircraft.
  • No change to FY23 capital guidance; structure of orders to align with Group Financial Framework[1].
https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/me...pe-its-future/
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Old 2nd May 2022, 00:22
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Originally Posted by C441
The expectation is that they'll still use a Captain, F/O and 2 S/Os as they currently do on Ultra Longhaul services such as Perth/Darwin-London and Dallas-Sydney.

There was a push by some of the Pilot representatives to at least include a second F/O, rather than second S/O, to allow the 'landing' crew to optimise their rest prior to descent but this has been deemed unnecessary……by those who will rarely if ever have to do it.
When did that get canned? The ability for the Captain and at least one of the FOs to get the rest they wanted was the only thing that made 20 plus hr duties even vaguely palatable or acceptable from a fatigue mitigation standpoint.
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Old 2nd May 2022, 04:25
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Originally Posted by blubak
Oh there you go,GT in the know again.
I guess he was on the phone to Alan this morning & advised him what seating was required.
Im sure his face will pop up at the Airbus hosted cocktail party in Sydney tomorrow evening.
Oh God, he is such a BS artist tool.

"About 270" is not what it will carry, it is nowhere near 238 - which is what it will ACTUALLY be configured for - he can't even get the figure correct. It nearly makes me vomit every time I see this dolt's face on TV with the banner saying "Aviation Expert".

Wouldn't know an aeroplane or an aviation fact if it slowly surfaced in his morning porridge.
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Old 2nd May 2022, 05:25
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Surely JQ will end up 320/321xlr and send the 78’s to mainline?
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Old 2nd May 2022, 05:47
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Originally Posted by SixDemonBag
Surely JQ will end up 320/321xlr and send the 78’s to mainline?
More chance being sold vs handing over. They did try to sell 1/4 of the 788's back in 2019. When backlogs for big twins start to bite again in a few years, then I would expect them to be flogged off for a premium again. The next year or two is all about taking advantage the travel boom, then it's back to business when the red ink starts to appear again around the network.

Doubtful that JQ will go into the 2030's and beyond with big twins. A321 will do a whole heap of Asia, Aussie Pilots, Asia CC. That last bit seems to always be the most important bit.
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Old 2nd May 2022, 06:26
  #37 (permalink)  
 
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12 A350 frames would be about 100ish Captains. Any speculation how senior these slots would likely go? ie don't hold out if your number isn't < 300

A321 commands could be enticing for senior WB FOs (or those not wanting to endure the dodgy seat back on the 73) or even those 65+ bidding back with an easier conversion compared to 73.
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Old 2nd May 2022, 07:31
  #38 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by AerialPerspective
Oh God, he is such a BS artist tool.

"About 270" is not what it will carry, it is nowhere near 238 - which is what it will ACTUALLY be configured for - he can't even get the figure correct. It nearly makes me vomit every time I see this dolt's face on TV with the banner saying "Aviation Expert".

Wouldn't know an aeroplane or an aviation fact if it slowly surfaced in his morning porridge.
Will be very interesting to see ticket prices on these flights. Having only 238 pax is going to really test the economics of this service,the outlay for this aircraft is massive & with fuel prices like they are now its going to be a interesting exercise to convince the punters to pay a premium so they can save a couple of hours to get from point A to point B.
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Old 2nd May 2022, 08:02
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Jetstar comms said today the 20 A321xlrs are destined for Jetstar from next year.
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Old 2nd May 2022, 08:06
  #40 (permalink)  
 
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Ollie. They are 2 different orders for A321xlr's.

I've also heard that they are different engine types. JQ CFM and QF P&W
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