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Old 31st Aug 2021, 07:11
  #321 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Muttley Crew
It's a silly comparison but if you discovered you were being lied to by the aircraft manufacturers, regulators, instructors, etc about how safe your aircraft is to fly, would that change your mind about it?

I'm not accusing anyone of lying but it now looks like McAnulty is effectively admitting NSW Health reporting has been misleading us all about deaths with versus from Covid, but we've known that for a while. This means people who worry about dying from Covid think the situation is worse than it really is when in fact not all the deaths can be attributed to Covid. The media support it. These frightened people then make their decisions accordingly. Health decisions based on faulty data... not good.

Here's the 20-Aug-21 release of VAERS data uploaded to the MedAlerts page of the National Vaccine Information Centre. You can read about about each case of the 18 post-vaccination deaths (12-17 only) in the latest report. It looks like these vaccines might not be the best things to inject into a kid.

There are over 13,600 deaths reported in total going back to December in the NVIC.

If you hunt around you'll also see in this release the 12-17yo group has in the same period also experienced thousands of reports of anaphylaxis, myocarditis and blood-clotting cases. Then there's the rest of the population >17yo.

Maybe VAERS and NVIC people are lying to us and implying vaccines are worse than we think but in the absence of an admission to that effect it might all be worth a re-think. Alternatively, you can just believe everything you read in the Sydney Morning Herald and be happy with your choice.
What I don't understand, and this is across anti-vaxxers in general and also shown here in this specific case - IF your theory is that Big Government and Big Pharma are working together with financial interests and corruption and lying about the risks, and that you can't trust the CDC that is recommending the vaccines and things, why would the very same CDC run a website that lists adverse events following vaccination? Why would you say the CDC is lying and corrupt when they say "get your vaccination", but then trust the same CDC to run a website on other closely related matters? Surely (sarcasm here) the corrupt masterminds behind this nefarious scheme would be able to modify their own website, that they run, to cover up and minimise apparent risks or illnesses and deaths that occur post-vaccination.

But as has been pointed out elsewhere, VAERS has it's own issues, with self-reporting and selection among other things, and people thinking that because something occurred post-vaccination means it was caused by vaccination. Searching more broadly through that VAERS dataset, there are people that are reporting pregnancy following various vaccines - while there may have been some form of injection involved, I doubt it was caused by the vaccination!
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Old 31st Aug 2021, 14:07
  #322 (permalink)  
 
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I fully vaccinated person died of covid 1 week after their second shot in NSW last week, their death would show up in the Australian version of VAERS because they died within a period after their vaccine, although clearly, it had nothing to do with the vaccine. Also among other things on VAERS that is brought up is 'complications' which are what normal people call side effects, I felt a bit S&^T the day after my first Pfizer dose last week and when I got requested to do the survey i noted as such. It doesn't mean there was anything wrong with the vaccine.

Muttley please go back to your Russian bot school for some more advanced training because your arguments are childish.

Also on another note does anyone know how long it takes for your 5g to active, my 5g phone is still only getting a 4g signal?
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Old 31st Aug 2021, 22:21
  #323 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Mk 1
I note that you had no response to science. Your argument is more about 'freedoms' Is that a bit like deciding a parachute is too restrictive when you go skydiving? I mean, there's nothing to stop you from going .... Once.
A good analogy! The clubs office girl has mandated you are going to use them anyway if you want to work here, if on the other hand all the clubs Instructors come together and say we want to ban these parachutes completely at this club, then you have my full support whether the science supports the argument or not.

The argument is about how you came to be in possession of the parcel, not your support for what you understand to be in the parcel.

Last edited by Xeptu; 31st Aug 2021 at 23:12.
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Old 1st Sep 2021, 06:25
  #324 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by logansi
I fully vaccinated person died of covid 1 week after their second shot in NSW last week, their death would show up in the Australian version of VAERS because they died within a period after their vaccine, although clearly, it had nothing to do with the vaccine. Also among other things on VAERS that is brought up is 'complications' which are what normal people call side effects, I felt a bit S&^T the day after my first Pfizer dose last week and when I got requested to do the survey i noted as such. It doesn't mean there was anything wrong with the vaccine.

Muttley please go back to your Russian bot school for some more advanced training because your arguments are childish.

Also on another note does anyone know how long it takes for your 5g to active, my 5g phone is still only getting a 4g signal?
For your info… after my second AZ, about 6 days later, I was getting SIX G in some areas!!!! 😁😁
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Old 1st Sep 2021, 22:23
  #325 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by imperial shifter
Hi Xeptu, I like you. You're fun.

I'm just an engineer, but a pilot once told me that to be a pilot you don't have to be that good at math, just be able to add and subtract from 360. So armed with these skills I've deduced that the jab might kill me, but covid is more likely. Why choose the greater evil?
Can't argue with that logic,,,,, and your point is ?
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Old 2nd Sep 2021, 14:23
  #326 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by logansi
Muttley please go back to your Russian bot school for some more advanced training because your arguments are childish.
The irony and sheer moronicism of such a risible, witless comment as yours aside, I do apologise sincerely for posting the previous link. By including a couple of suicides or people dying of fat and as it requires a modicum of intelligence to glean the information correctly, a capability which appears beyond the reach of the good posters here, that site might induce the unthinking dullard to imagine the situation is worse than it seems, and that's something the fear-stricken, sky-is-falling chicken-littles in here reserve for the 'Death By Covid' tallies.

To those who contrast skepticism toward the management of this health affair with the placing of blind faith in aircraft manufacturers, have a think about the Max developments and ask yourself if you'll ever trust that manufacturer again to not lie to you about your safety.

Peruse the last line of Table 5 (at the top of page 19) of this report. More than half the Delta deaths in England this year were double-injected and another 10% were single-injected. Only 34% were "Unvaccinated." How'd that happen? Good luck with your experimental substances. I wish I had your blind faith in the system.

I'll endeavour not to upset you all with any more links to sites which might make you at least think with your brains for a moment about what you're told. Of course this forum is replete with promises of departure not made good on so I don't guarantee anything.
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Old 2nd Sep 2021, 15:32
  #327 (permalink)  
 
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I'm glad you're taking solace in your lack of understanding. Only 10% are unvaccinated yet constitute 34% of the deaths? Sounds really good odds to me.
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Old 2nd Sep 2021, 16:47
  #328 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Muttley Crew
The irony and sheer moronicism of such a risible, witless comment as yours aside, I do apologise sincerely for posting the previous link. By including a couple of suicides or people dying of fat and as it requires a modicum of intelligence to glean the information correctly, a capability which appears beyond the reach of the good posters here, that site might induce the unthinking dullard to imagine the situation is worse than it seems, and that's something the fear-stricken, sky-is-falling chicken-littles in here reserve for the 'Death By Covid' tallies.
Don't apologise for posting it, it's let us demonstrate quite well a few of the logical inconsistencies with the anti-vaxxer arguments, so in that regard it's a positive thing. However, as those inconsistencies are pointed out to you, you could well learn why the link you posted doesn't show what you say it does, rather than claiming that everyone is all just too stupid to understand you. Which takes us neatly to the next part of your posts....

To those who contrast skepticism toward the management of this health affair with the placing of blind faith in aircraft manufacturers, have a think about the Max developments and ask yourself if you'll ever trust that manufacturer again to not lie to you about your safety.

Peruse the last line of Table 5 (at the top of page 19) of this report. More than half the Delta deaths in England this year were double-injected and another 10% were single-injected. Only 34% were "Unvaccinated." How'd that happen? Good luck with your experimental substances. I wish I had your blind faith in the system.

I'll endeavour not to upset you all with any more links to sites which might make you at least think with your brains for a moment about what you're told. Of course this forum is replete with promises of departure not made good on so I don't guarantee anything.
Looking at your table that you cite as an argument against vaccination, as at the date of your report, (2nd August) 71% of the overall UK population had received their second shot, although a certain proportion of them would not have reached full protection until a week or two later.

From that table, in the under 50 age bracket, there were 71 covid deaths listed in your table, 13 of which had received their second vaccination. So the group that hasn't had their second shot, that makes up ~29% of that population, makes up 81% of the deaths.

In the over 50 age bracket, which has a much higher vaccination rate in the UK due to how their vaccine rollout went, at that report date approximately 95% of the over 50s population had received their second shot. So the 5% of the population that hadn't had 2 shots, made up 41% of the deaths in that table. So don't just look at one line in a table out of context, because it isn't showing what you think. To return to the aviation analogies, if you look at the one line in the Flight Manual that says "undercarriage must be retracted as soon as possible", and ignore the next line that says "after takeoff", quoting that line won't be a defence if you retract the undercarriage on the parking bay - the text needs to be read in context, without cherrypicking isolated figures and ignoring everything else about the broader dataset.

Last edited by De_flieger; 2nd Sep 2021 at 16:59.
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Old 2nd Sep 2021, 21:36
  #329 (permalink)  
 
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For Mutley and some others.It’s OK not to understand, very, very few will.

You won’t have the full set of data available to you nor the specialist statistical analysis programs to organize and interrogate the data. You also won’t have the statistical, analytical capability to interpret the data. Then there are the medical and scientific experts who compile and asses the data at post-Doctoral level. They have access to a huge wealth of published and unpublished scientific papers and reports as well as direct connections to their peers are around the world so they have access to the very latest, yet to be published, data. Finally you won’t have the capability to interpret this knowledge at Professorial level and provide expert assessment and advice.

Taking discreet tiny sets of information you have discovered on social media, the internet or from friends and family doesn’t equate to the above.

All you have to do it accept that our medical experts are acting in our best interests and to follow their advice. It’s hard for some, scary for others, but have faith in these experts who have dedicated their careers to the benefit of us all.
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Old 2nd Sep 2021, 23:23
  #330 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by De_flieger
Don't apologise for posting it, it's let us demonstrate quite well a few of the logical inconsistencies with the anti-vaxxer arguments, so in that regard it's a positive thing. However, as those inconsistencies are pointed out to you, you could well learn why the link you posted doesn't show what you say it does, rather than claiming that everyone is all just too stupid to understand you. Which takes us neatly to the next part of your posts....



Looking at your table that you cite as an argument against vaccination, as at the date of your report, (2nd August) 71% of the overall UK population had received their second shot, although a certain proportion of them would not have reached full protection until a week or two later.

From that table, in the under 50 age bracket, there were 71 covid deaths listed in your table, 13 of which had received their second vaccination. So the group that hasn't had their second shot, that makes up ~29% of that population, makes up 81% of the deaths.

In the over 50 age bracket, which has a much higher vaccination rate in the UK due to how their vaccine rollout went, at that report date approximately 95% of the over 50s population had received their second shot. So the 5% of the population that hadn't had 2 shots, made up 41% of the deaths in that table. So don't just look at one line in a table out of context, because it isn't showing what you think. To return to the aviation analogies, if you look at the one line in the Flight Manual that says "undercarriage must be retracted as soon as possible", and ignore the next line that says "after takeoff", quoting that line won't be a defence if you retract the undercarriage on the parking bay - the text needs to be read in context, without cherrypicking isolated figures and ignoring everything else about the broader dataset.
Well in this example of all the delta cases of 300.000, 151000 were from unvaccinated, so about 51 %. Rest from other categories.

Then you have unvaccinated deaths out of those cases 0.167%, and in the double jabbed 0.855% so about 80% increase of death if you get the delta virus as double jabbed...or am I wrong?

You might be tempted to say that if you don't get delta you won't die and that double jabbed have about 35% points less chance of getting the virus, well if you then calculate the overall death statistic (rate of death and rate of infection) you will find that that number gives 8.4 for unvaccinated and 13.4 for double jabbed approximately. That is still a 37% increase chance of dying from the double jab than to be unvaccinated overall, at least in this study...

Secondly what is of quite a big interest is that the viral load is basically with no difference over 7 days...that was one of the arguments for the vaccine which has been debunked (true a very slight reduction still negligible according to the authors)

Last edited by SoundLesS; 3rd Sep 2021 at 00:02.
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Old 3rd Sep 2021, 00:02
  #331 (permalink)  
 
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https://assets.publishing.service.go...riefing_20.pdf

Please don't quote this report again unless you know how to read statistics. You can only compare the related statistics, that is compare directly <50s or >50s rates, if you combine them or use the totals you get skewed data.

So in table 5;

>50s

Vaxxed 2 doses and 2 weeks = 21,472 cases, 389 (1.8%) died, 1735 (8%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

UnVaxxed = 3440 cases, 205 (6%) died, 965 (29%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

<50s

Vaxxed 2 doses and 2 weeks = 25,536 cases, 13 (0.055%) Deaths, 224 (0.088%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

UnVaxxed = 147,612 cases, 48 (0.039%) deaths, 3733 (2.6%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

It's quite clear that you are 3 x more likely to die or have serious symptoms from Covid if you are unvaccinated >50 than vaccinated.

In the under <50s the death rate is similar, although statistically lacks numbers to be difinitive as the only 13 deaths could have been 49 years old etc, you'd need 10 times the deaths in each section to get a better idea.

The hospitalisation rate follows the same trend of being about 3 x the un-vaccinated rate, so the vaccination gives you about 70% protection if you contract the virus. However, this does not include those that have complete immunity or got such mild cases they did not bother to get tested so you could easily increase that number 10-20%.

I added inlcusive and excluded hospitalisations together as I find the reasoning behind that division a little shaky, but it is like for like data so can be compared as i'm not differentiating that between vaxxed or not.





Last edited by 43Inches; 3rd Sep 2021 at 00:30.
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Old 3rd Sep 2021, 00:43
  #332 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by 43Inches
https://assets.publishing.service.go...riefing_20.pdf

Please don't quote this report again unless you know how to read statistics. You can only compare the related statistics, that is compare directly <50s or >50s rates, if you combine them or use the totals you get skewed data.

So in table 5;

>50s

Vaxxed 2 doses and 2 weeks = 21,472 cases, 389 (1.8%) died, 1735 (8%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

UnVaxxed = 3440 cases, 205 (6%) died, 965 (29%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

<50s

Vaxxed 2 doses and 2 weeks = 25,536 cases, 13 (0.055%) Deaths, 224 (0.088%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

UnVaxxed = 147,612 cases, 48 (0.039%) deaths, 3733 (2.6%) were admitted to hospital for emergency treatment.

It's quite clear that you are 3 x more likely to die or have serious symptoms from Covid if you are unvaccinated >50 than vaccinated.

In the under <50s the death rate is similar, although statistically lacks numbers to be difinitive as the only 13 deaths could have been 49 years old etc, you'd need 10 times the deaths in each section to get a better idea.

The hospitalisation rate follows the same trend of being about 3 x the un-vaccinated rate, so the vaccination gives you about 70% protection if you contract the virus. However, this does not include those that have complete immunity or got such mild cases they did not bother to get tested so you could easily increase that number 10-20%.

I added inlcusive and excluded hospitalisations together as I find the reasoning behind that division a little shaky, but it is like for like data so can be compared as i'm not differentiating that between vaxxed or not.
Well you should then learn to calculate better.

It's true that over 50 has an increased risk of death of 333% if you are unvaccinated, which we all know since they are in a higher risk group, but for the majority of us below 50, it's 0.0325. 0.0509 is 156% higher... 70% of the world population is below 50 approximately so why should we take the vax? Besides of course the bed occupations...
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Old 3rd Sep 2021, 01:23
  #333 (permalink)  
 
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It's true that over 50 has an increased risk of death of 333% if you are unvaccinated, which we all know since they are in a higher risk group, but for the majority of us below 50, it's 0.0325. 0.0509 is 156% higher... 70% of the world population is below 50 approximately so why should we take the vax? Besides of course the bed occupations...
I already covered that, the death numbers are so low for the vaxxed that its uncomparable, you need to get 10 times the sample for it to be worth anything. So like I said earlier don't refer to statistical data if you don't know how to interpret it properly and come to rational outcomes. If you were able to do that you would dismiss those figures as being too low to have any reasonable assumption made.

It also does not account for how many vaxxed that simply bounced the virus off, which I don't have the stats for so no idea. Although that being said, considering over 50% of the population are double dose vaccinated and the difference between vaxxed and unvaxxed getting the virus the vaxxed represented around 6 times less likely to contract or have symptomatic CV in the first place. SO the death rate among actual vaccinated population is much lower than the figure indicated, that is just the death rate among those that have tested positive, due to having some symptoms that led them to getting tested.

To put that in perspective, on the 2nd of August 2021, when that table was finalised 57% of the UK was fully vaccinated and 70% were 1 dose, that leaves only 30% were in that unvaccinated pool.

So 19,000,000 (30%) of population was responsible for 151,000 (0.7%) cases and 38,000,000 (57%) of the population accounted for 47,000 (0.12%) cases. According to that you are 6 times less likely to contract symptomatic covid if vaccinated. So the vaccinated death rate has to be divided by 6 to be anywhere near meaningful.

Hmm lets do that, 0.055/6 = 0.009 or approximately 1/4 of the unvaxxed death rate.

PS, I will add that the table does include data over a few months prior so adjusting for Delta prevalence and lower vaccination rates prior, you will still arrive at a figure of around 3 times better off as vaccinated than not.

Last edited by 43Inches; 3rd Sep 2021 at 02:48.
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Old 3rd Sep 2021, 03:37
  #334 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Muttley Crew
The irony and sheer moronicism of such a risible, witless comment as yours aside, I do apologise sincerely for posting the previous link. By including a couple of suicides or people dying of fat and as it requires a modicum of intelligence to glean the information correctly, a capability which appears beyond the reach of the good posters here, that site might induce the unthinking dullard to imagine the situation is worse than it seems, and that's something the fear-stricken, sky-is-falling chicken-littles in here reserve for the 'Death By Covid' tallies.

To those who contrast skepticism toward the management of this health affair with the placing of blind faith in aircraft manufacturers, have a think about the Max developments and ask yourself if you'll ever trust that manufacturer again to not lie to you about your safety.

Peruse the last line of Table 5 (at the top of page 19) of this report. More than half the Delta deaths in England this year were double-injected and another 10% were single-injected. Only 34% were "Unvaccinated." How'd that happen? Good luck with your experimental substances. I wish I had your blind faith in the system.

I'll endeavour not to upset you all with any more links to sites which might make you at least think with your brains for a moment about what you're told. Of course this forum is replete with promises of departure not made good on so I don't guarantee anything.
​​​​​​Nothing quite like doubling down on stupid.

​​Please tell us more about how much you have 'thought with your brain' about this issue, whilst posting links whose substance you clearly don't comprehend.

Love the use of F7 though. That'll show em.

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Old 3rd Sep 2021, 07:53
  #335 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by 43Inches
I already covered that, the death numbers are so low for the vaxxed that its uncomparable, you need to get 10 times the sample for it to be worth anything. So like I said earlier don't refer to statistical data if you don't know how to interpret it properly and come to rational outcomes. If you were able to do that you would dismiss those figures as being too low to have any reasonable assumption made.

It also does not account for how many vaxxed that simply bounced the virus off, which I don't have the stats for so no idea. Although that being said, considering over 50% of the population are double dose vaccinated and the difference between vaxxed and unvaxxed getting the virus the vaxxed represented around 6 times less likely to contract or have symptomatic CV in the first place. SO the death rate among actual vaccinated population is much lower than the figure indicated, that is just the death rate among those that have tested positive, due to having some symptoms that led them to getting tested.

To put that in perspective, on the 2nd of August 2021, when that table was finalised 57% of the UK was fully vaccinated and 70% were 1 dose, that leaves only 30% were in that unvaccinated pool.

So 19,000,000 (30%) of population was responsible for 151,000 (0.7%) cases and 38,000,000 (57%) of the population accounted for 47,000 (0.12%) cases. According to that you are 6 times less likely to contract symptomatic covid if vaccinated. So the vaccinated death rate has to be divided by 6 to be anywhere near meaningful.

Hmm lets do that, 0.055/6 = 0.009 or approximately 1/4 of the unvaxxed death rate.

PS, I will add that the table does include data over a few months prior so adjusting for Delta prevalence and lower vaccination rates prior, you will still arrive at a figure of around 3 times better off as vaccinated than not.
So if deaths numbers are so low, then we should not talk about them at all, which means the 70% of the world don't need to be afraid of dying at least, regardless of vaccine or not. So let's focus on the elderly which everyone was speaking about since the beginning.
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Old 6th Sep 2021, 20:25
  #336 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by morno
Ohh FFS buddy, the bloody thing is not experimental nor is it “not officially approved”

The technology behind the vaccines has been around for nearly 20 years plus, it’s just been tweaked to fight the current coronavirus.

If you want to be a conspiracist, suggest a new career.
First time in scientific history MRNA vaccines have been used on humans , so there is no long term data on MRNA on humans
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Old 6th Sep 2021, 21:07
  #337 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by hoss58
Or you could schedule an appointment with your GP and sit and have a talk about the pros and cons of getting the jab and the risks involved from a medical professional.

And yes I have had the AZ x 2.

Cheers Hoss58
Some people prefer to take the opinions of social media influencers who like to post just what will get them some more followers.
I also have had AZ x 2 & the discussion was with my gp.
When i have had surgery i discussed it with a surgeon & he explained the risks & i based my decision on an experts advice.
I wonder how many of these armchair experts who keep popping up ask for a scientific analysis of every medicine or pain killer they have ever taken.
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Old 6th Sep 2021, 21:19
  #338 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by blubak
Some people prefer to take the opinions of social media influencers who like to post just what will get them some more followers.
I also have had AZ x 2 & the discussion was with my gp.
When i have had surgery i discussed it with a surgeon & he explained the risks & i based my decision on an experts advice.
I wonder how many of these armchair experts who keep popping up ask for a scientific analysis of every medicine or pain killer they have ever taken.
As I explained it to my adult family, I told them well the AZ vaccine method of production has been around since the 50's, when you were babies you had about half a dozen of them and you're still here.
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Old 6th Sep 2021, 23:00
  #339 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ersa
First time in scientific history MRNA vaccines have been used on humans , so there is no long term data on MRNA on humans
Not sure what “in scientific history” means but mRNA vaccines have been trialled since 2011. There was no long-term data on any vaccine delivery method 12 months after it was introduced either.
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Old 6th Sep 2021, 23:28
  #340 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by StudentInDebt
Not sure what “in scientific history” means but mRNA vaccines have been trialled since 2011. There was no long-term data on any vaccine delivery method 12 months after it was introduced either.
A lot of people get confused with “long term testing”. They believe there’s monitoring of vaccinated test subjects “7 or 8 years” down the track to see if any side effects have developed in the long term.

Incorrect. Almost all follow up is done within 12 months. It’s more about seeing if any short term side effects occur within a few weeks of the jab as the jab is rolled out over the long term to a wide group of people.
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