Go Back  PPRuNe Forums > PPRuNe Worldwide > Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
Reload this Page >

REX to transition to ATRs, start domestic jet ops

Wikiposts
Search
Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific Airline and RPT Rumours & News in Australia, enZed and the Pacific

REX to transition to ATRs, start domestic jet ops

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 24th Mar 2021, 11:23
  #861 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 265
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by MELKBQF
From April, Rex will also start new services including between Sydney and NSW destinations Coffs Harbour and Port Macquarie.
Aren’t those QantasLink routes?

I notice Rex are undercutting QantasLink too.

Shouldn’t QantasLink be taking them to the ACCC for predatory behaviour?
Derfred is offline  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 11:32
  #862 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: NSW
Posts: 4,273
Received 36 Likes on 27 Posts
Looks like a race to the bottom. You can't sell $10 tickets for $9 and expect to stay in business as VA Mk 1 found out...
TBM-Legend is offline  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 12:18
  #863 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Sunshine Coast
Posts: 1,163
Received 190 Likes on 95 Posts
Originally Posted by dr dre
Deputy chairman John Sharp ... accused rivals of embedding staff on these trips to identify the number of passengers.

“We have noted many Qantas employees that are regular passengers on our flights. They are there to present the worst case picture and they wouldn’t be telling anyone about our flights that are full,” he said.
JC, but this bloke is dumb as a bag of hammers. Neither Qantas nor Virgin would be putting money into Rex's coffers and buying a seat on a flight to determine the pax load. You just send one of your staff down to the Rex gate ahead of boarding time and count pax once they have dutifully lined up to board. Couldn't be simpler.

Originally Posted by chimbu warrior
Sounds like Rex should be grateful for those Qantas employees buying seats. To me it would seem easier and cheaper to just stand at the gate and count passengers getting on and off the aircraft.
​​​​​​​Sorry, missed this when I originally posted. Yes, spot on.

Last edited by MickG0105; 24th Mar 2021 at 12:22. Reason: Noticed chimbu warrior's comments
MickG0105 is online now  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 12:32
  #864 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Sunshine Coast
Posts: 1,163
Received 190 Likes on 95 Posts
Originally Posted by wheels_down
Virgin’s 6pm carried more pax than Rex carried for the entire day.

Jump onto Rex. Seat Maps this Friday are bare empty. Virgin is at capacity and oversold this Friday.
Jetstar seat maps are full (A321)

Do people even know they exist?
Yep, take a look at the seat allocation map for ZL153 Sydney to Melbourne this Friday. The 06:30pm - 08:05pm flight has three, count 'em, three seats showing as unavailable - one J class and two down the back.
MickG0105 is online now  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 13:07
  #865 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Montreal
Posts: 15
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by MickG0105
JC, but this bloke is dumb as a bag of hammers. Neither Qantas nor Virgin would be putting money into Rex's coffers and buying a seat on a flight to determine the pax load. You just send one of your staff down to the Rex gate ahead of boarding time and count pax once they have dutifully lined up to board. Couldn't be simpler.

Sorry, missed this when I originally posted. Yes, spot on.
All airlines do it at some stage - put an employee near the boarding gate with a hand counter and get some passenger data. But putting QF employees onto a REX flight would be to check out service level standards, food and entertainment quality, things like that. Always good to know what your competitor is up to. It’s not a new tactic.
Epicurus is offline  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 13:16
  #866 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Sunshine Coast
Posts: 1,163
Received 190 Likes on 95 Posts
Originally Posted by Epicurus
But putting QF employees onto a REX flight would be to check out service level standards, food and entertainment quality, things like that.
Yes, but that would be a once off, or QF/VA could just watch any of the numerous YouTubers' postings on their experiences on Rex flights. Sharpie's contention that rivals are 'embedding' staff on multiple flights is just risible nonsense.
MickG0105 is online now  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 18:00
  #867 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Sydney
Posts: 244
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
S

Sharp should be thankful QF staff are actually bumping up his low seat factors. Not even a month in, how much longer are Rex going to continue to burn money with this charade?
Qantas 787 is offline  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 19:24
  #868 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: BBN
Posts: 984
Received 94 Likes on 45 Posts
Well, they’re expanding rapidly from other ports they must know something. Surely Kim wouldn’t want to pi$$ away everything.
SHVC is offline  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 21:11
  #869 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: GMT
Age: 53
Posts: 2,062
Received 180 Likes on 66 Posts
Well, they’re expanding rapidly from other ports they must know something. Surely Kim wouldn’t want to pi$$ away everything.
That's a creeping assumption worthy of the Victorian cabinet.
minigundiplomat is offline  
Old 24th Mar 2021, 21:17
  #870 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 1,251
Received 192 Likes on 88 Posts
There is an old aviation saying that states " The lawn mower will rev up just before it runs out of fuel" (ok maybe not an old aviation saying but still applicable)
Lookleft is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 02:47
  #871 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 421
Likes: 0
Received 23 Likes on 14 Posts
Just had to book a colleague home from MEL to SYD tonight. Both QF and VA were full for flights between 4 and 5:30. At the same time, ZL still has seats available at just $79 on its one flight. Still didn't give REX to business though because if their 5pm flight was delayed, they only had one other flight all night and that was 8pm!

It is fair to say, the REX mainline jet operation is in more trouble than the early settlers. They may be able to develop a niche on leisure routes which would mean they would effectively just be replacing Tiger. Not a bad option and it would mean they could differentiate their product a bit and look to move into the ULCC space. Their current strategy (if you could call it that) is doomed.

1A_Please is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 02:54
  #872 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: AUS
Posts: 86
Likes: 0
Received 3 Likes on 3 Posts
And their 5th Jet has just arrived too...
Agent_86 is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 03:00
  #873 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Asia
Posts: 1,030
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
ULCC or not they can’t stimulate demand from low fares as it is, it wouldn’t make any difference.

Jetstar is a machine to go up against in that space.
wheels_down is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 03:33
  #874 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 421
Likes: 0
Received 23 Likes on 14 Posts
You're right on price but pitching as a leisure oriented LCC would enable them to target their marketing in a way that makes sense. At the moment, they don't belong anywhere. They say they are offering a product that rivals QF but charge rock-bottom prices. This just makes people think they are going broke....
1A_Please is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 06:19
  #875 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Sunshine Coast
Posts: 1,163
Received 190 Likes on 95 Posts
Originally Posted by 1A_Please
Just had to book a colleague home from MEL to SYD tonight. Both QF and VA were full for flights between 4 and 5:30. At the same time, ZL still has seats available at just $79 on its one flight. Still didn't give REX to business though because if their 5pm flight was delayed, they only had one other flight all night and that was 8pm!

It is fair to say, the REX mainline jet operation is in more trouble than the early settlers. They may be able to develop a niche on leisure routes which would mean they would effectively just be replacing Tiger. Not a bad option and it would mean they could differentiate their product a bit and look to move into the ULCC space. Their current strategy (if you could call it that) is doomed.
I did a bit of poking around on the various booking engines earlier and Rex's load factors are diabolically low.

For instance, Rex's fullest Sydney - Melbourne flight today was their 12.30pm, flight ZL105. That flew with a sub-40 percent load factor with just 63-odd seats filled out of 168 in the economy cabin.

The equivalent Qantas and Virgin flights, QF447 (12:30pm departure) and VA838 (12pm departure) flew with 96 percent and 82 percent economy loads respectively. When you look at the traditionally very high load factor flights like the 6.30pm departure Sydney - Melbourne, Qantas's QF483 is essentially full; when I looked this morning there was one unsold economy seat out of 162 and one out of 12 business class seats unsold.

Jetstar's 6.30pm, JQ523, is running at 100 percent.

Virgin's 6.30pm flight, VA878, was running at 83 percent (surprisingly with 7 out of 8 business class seats sold - some people like 2 minute noodles I guess).

The equivalent Rex flight, ZL153, had a grand total of 16 seats filled (and not one of the 8 business class seats sold) for a load factor of 9 percent.

Regardless of where Rex's cost base is you can not make money with those sorts of loads. And the tenting of their loads around midday suggests that they have not made any inroads to the corporate market.

I'd like to hear Sharpie's spin on this.
MickG0105 is online now  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 06:50
  #876 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 94
Received 16 Likes on 8 Posts
Whilst I agree that Rex's load factors are low, it needs to be mentioned that the promo fares require passengers to pay $6 for seat selection. For some, this is a cost they don't want to pay.

Rex's booking system does not assign a seat to those who don't pay until check-in. All seats are available for passengers who pay for a more flexible fare, legroom seats or $6. Therefore, snooping at seat maps isn't portraying a completely accurate economy figure.

Touching on the topic of load factors. I believe it's completely far fetched to think Rex will fill their 737's consistently from day 1. It takes time to build a customer base, especially when most who aren't from country ports don't know who Rex are (yet). They are beginning to advertise (perhaps finally forking out for a marketing department now PAG have board members), which will see pax loads gradually increase.
It cannot be forgotten that COVID is still around with lots of uncertainty up in the air. I'm interested to see what happens with these 800,000 1/2 price flights now that Queensland have another community COVID case.

Not helping Rex's cause is the fact some booking sites (exclusive of Webjet) don't actually advertise Rex's lowest fare. Comparing flights in a weeks time, VA was the suggested airline with Rex coming in 3rd behind Jetstar due price. When looking at the respective websites for the same date and flights, Rex were in fact the cheapest by a few dollars, however the comparison site did not advertise Rex's promo flights. This is true for multiple websites.

Most mum and dads aren't aviation fanatics and therefore may not book from the airlines website and book simply from the cheapest fare available upon instant comparisons. If these sites aren't actually showing Rex's cheapest fares, they are potentially losing a lot of customers for no reason.
transition_alt is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 08:32
  #877 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: In a box
Posts: 350
Received 20 Likes on 7 Posts
Originally Posted by MickG0105
I did a bit of poking around on the various booking engines earlier and Rex's load factors are diabolically low.

For instance, Rex's fullest Sydney - Melbourne flight today was their 12.30pm, flight ZL105. That flew with a sub-40 percent load factor with just 63-odd seats filled out of 168 in the economy cabin.

The equivalent Qantas and Virgin flights, QF447 (12:30pm departure) and VA838 (12pm departure) flew with 96 percent and 82 percent economy loads respectively. When you look at the traditionally very high load factor flights like the 6.30pm departure Sydney - Melbourne, Qantas's QF483 is essentially full; when I looked this morning there was one unsold economy seat out of 162 and one out of 12 business class seats unsold.

Jetstar's 6.30pm, JQ523, is running at 100 percent.

Virgin's 6.30pm flight, VA878, was running at 83 percent (surprisingly with 7 out of 8 business class seats sold - some people like 2 minute noodles I guess).

The equivalent Rex flight, ZL153, had a grand total of 16 seats filled (and not one of the 8 business class seats sold) for a load factor of 9 percent.

Regardless of where Rex's cost base is you can not make money with those sorts of loads. And the tenting of their loads around midday suggests that they have not made any inroads to the corporate market.

I'd like to hear Sharpie's spin on this.
Virgin launched their new inflight catering yesterday. Business class passengers were generally receptive in a positive way with the offering. (Not hard considering the 2 minute "noodle gate" debacle). No complaints from the economy guests on the 3 sectors I operated yesterday. Time will tell. Poor cabin crew had zero training or knowledge of the product before yesterday, contrary to what miss Jayne stated.

Supposedly the reason there was no food the last 6 months was because there were in depth catering contract negotiations. Told today it was a last minute contract drawn up for 12 months with the previous contractor Gate Gourmet..........
Servo is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 09:22
  #878 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Sunshine Coast
Posts: 1,163
Received 190 Likes on 95 Posts
Originally Posted by transition_alt
Whilst I agree that Rex's load factors are low, it needs to be mentioned that the promo fares require passengers to pay $6 for seat selection. For some, this is a cost they don't want to pay.

Rex's booking system does not assign a seat to those who don't pay until check-in. All seats are available for passengers who pay for a more flexible fare, legroom seats or $6. Therefore, snooping at seat maps isn't portraying a completely accurate economy figure.
Agreed, we're not talking completely accurate here but the degree of accuracy shouldn't be difficult to estimate. How many of the $79 promotional seats do you reckon are offered on each flight? 10? 15?
MickG0105 is online now  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 10:15
  #879 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 94
Received 16 Likes on 8 Posts
Originally Posted by MickG0105
Agreed, we're not talking completely accurate here but the degree of accuracy shouldn't be difficult to estimate. How many of the $79 promotional seats do you reckon are offered on each flight? 10? 15?
I will put bets on 30-40% of seats being sold as promo during their introductory period. This would also concur with some pax loads whilst economy fares are still $79.

There have been flights with 60 odd pax while tickets are still being sold at the promo price
transition_alt is offline  
Old 26th Mar 2021, 10:52
  #880 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Sunshine Coast
Posts: 1,163
Received 190 Likes on 95 Posts
Originally Posted by transition_alt
I will put bets on 30-40% of seats being sold as promo during their introductory period.
That would equate to 60-odd $79 seats a flight - your break even point would be 90+ percent.

Originally Posted by transition_alt
This would also concur with some pax loads whilst economy fares are still $79. There have been flights with 60 odd pax while tickets are still being sold at the promo price
I've not seen any evidence of flights with 60 odd pax with the $79 promo fares still being offered. From what I've seen 15 or so bookings sees off the $79 fares and the $99 fares disappear at around 50.

Time will tell. We'll see what comes first - Rex making it to the end of the current financial year or an ASX announcement of an extraordinary nature.
MickG0105 is online now  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.