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4 Corners 29 Jun 2020 Aviation

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4 Corners 29 Jun 2020 Aviation

Old 30th Jun 2020, 08:20
  #41 (permalink)  
 
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[QUOTE][ run a choko vine over the sh#t house/QUOTE]

What a wonderful turn of phrase? And so descriptive.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 08:26
  #42 (permalink)  
 
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you would not let her run a choko vine over the sh#t house
The old girls favourite saying
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 08:26
  #43 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Don Diego View Post
On her performance last night you would not let her run a choko vine over the sh#t house, and she is the Chair??
Astounding, isn't it? And she's the current chair at IAG also.

You've got to love these snippets from last night:

ELIZABETH BRYAN, FORMER CHAIR, VIRGIN AUSTRALIA: As soon as I started to understand my way around the numbers and where it all worked out, it was very clear to me that the company was over leveraged ...
PAUL SCURRAH: I think what became obvious to me is that the balance sheet wasn't as strong as it should be. It was something that was vulnerable I think to a black swan event.
So, between the Chair and the CEO there's a recognition that the business is over-leveraged, with a weak balance sheet. So far, so good.

What do they do? Let's add the best part of a billion in debt!

Scurrah is right, he inherited a business with a weak balance sheet - just shy of $6 billion in debts and liabilities and just over $600 million in net equity. So his cunning plan, obviously endorsed by his choice of CFO in Keith Neate, and signed off by the Chair and Board, is to issue over $A 900 million in bonds at 8 percent. It's a three-for
- trash the balance sheet completely by driving net equity underwater to the tune of a few hundred million,
- drive leveraging back through the roof (one thing that Borghetti had been managing was getting their leverage position down into the mid-4s), and
- just so the P&L doesn't feel left out we'll smash that with an extra $70-odd million per annum in finance costs.

It's mind boggling that anyone would pay these people to make financial decisions.

Last edited by MickG0105; 30th Jun 2020 at 08:43. Reason: Typo
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 08:31
  #44 (permalink)  
 
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JB says he remained another 3 years at "the board request".
I'm pretty sure JB said he stayed on at the Chairpersons request.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 08:43
  #45 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by MickG0105 View Post
Astounding, isn't it? And she's the current chair at IAG also.

You've got to love these snippets from last night:





So, between the Chair and the CEO there's a recognition that the business is over-leveraged, with a weak balance sheet. So far, so good.

What do they do? Let's add the best part of a billion in debt!

Scurrah is right, he inherited a business with a weak balance sheet - just shy of $6 billion in debts and liabilities and just over $600 million in net equity. So his cunning plan, obviously endorsed by his choice of CFO in Keith Neate, and signed off by the Chair and Board, is to issue over $A 900 million in bonds at 8 percent. It's a three-for
- trash the balance sheet completely by driving net equity underwater to the tune of $600 million,
- drive leveraging back through the roof (one thing that Borghetti had been managing was getting their leverage position down into the mid-4s), and
- just so the P&L doesn't feel left out we'll smash that with an extra $70-odd million per annum in finance costs.

It's mind boggling that anyone would pay these people to make financial decisions.

Thanks Mick,

At least someoneís awake.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 08:45
  #46 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Bodie1 View Post

I'm pretty sure JB said he stayed on at the Chairpersons request.

From the transcript:
MICHAEL BRISSENDEN: John Borghetti would not agree to an on camera interview but he did tell Four Corners that he first flagged leaving the company in 2016 but stayed on for another three years at the request of the chair.
My bolding.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 08:45
  #47 (permalink)  
 
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What board members ever get held accountable? If youíre looking for someone to be court marshaled and hung, I think youíll be waiting a long time. Sad reality of the position. All care and no responsibility.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 09:00
  #48 (permalink)  
 
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I just watched this from the other side of the world. What a moron that woman chairperson was. No wonder the place went tits up with oversight from a clown like her. She should go back to Mars or whatever planet she came from.
Scurrah did impress me though, Cant say the same for smiling Sharp and his cronies in Canberra. Rex and jets=delusional.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 11:40
  #49 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by MickG0105 View Post
From the transcript:
My bolding.
OK, question I would have is: was EB requesting JB extend and simply passing on the collective decision/wishes of the board OR was EB running around making arbitrary decisions and all the other board member just shrugged their shoulders - apparently for a number of years - and said "yeah, whatever."
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 11:47
  #50 (permalink)  
 
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You mean like the 'oversight' Alan Joyce has had to suffer?

I, too, liked the choko vine analogy.....
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 11:49
  #51 (permalink)  
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I don’t know but I think JB might have sold PS a lemon with Velocity. I think JB sold it for half what PS paid to get it back but it may have been a case of the then owners of Velocity said to PS if you don’t buy it back for this price we will dump it and there goes your loyalty scheme and we all know how much airline CEOs love their loyalty schemes. No doubt the staff were told how good an idea it was to sell it...and how good it was to buy it back at twice the price!
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 11:51
  #52 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by MickG0105 View Post
Astounding, isn't it? And she's the current chair at IAG also.

You've got to love these snippets from last night:





So, between the Chair and the CEO there's a recognition that the business is over-leveraged, with a weak balance sheet. So far, so good.

What do they do? Let's add the best part of a billion in debt!

Scurrah is right, he inherited a business with a weak balance sheet - just shy of $6 billion in debts and liabilities and just over $600 million in net equity. So his cunning plan, obviously endorsed by his choice of CFO in Keith Neate, and signed off by the Chair and Board, is to issue over $A 900 million in bonds at 8 percent. It's a three-for
- trash the balance sheet completely by driving net equity underwater to the tune of a few hundred million,
- drive leveraging back through the roof (one thing that Borghetti had been managing was getting their leverage position down into the mid-4s), and
- just so the P&L doesn't feel left out we'll smash that with an extra $70-odd million per annum in finance costs.

It's mind boggling that anyone would pay these people to make financial decisions.

Scurrah knows little about aviation and numbers and was weak in making rapid changes required. He's a union captive. Mrs Scurrah was Chief of Staff of former Labor Premier Anna Bligh and now heads a consultancy to the Qld Govt on how to deal with millions of dollars per year in hiring consultants....join the dots...[oh and Qld will kick the can via QIC etc etc for $200M of payro;; tax, stamp duty and other relief plus a bit of cash with a small percentage.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 12:02
  #53 (permalink)  
 
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The Board consisted of a bunch of exclusively privileged individuals in a role that mainly involved rubbing shoulders, patting each other on the back, fancy functions and the odd power play.

How any Board member can execute their roles on multiple Boards at the same time and focus their attention to one particular Organisation is just beyond me. The ability to fail in their roles and still maintain multiple roles just goes to show that it is not what you know, it is who you know when you are part of 'the club'.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 12:40
  #54 (permalink)  
 
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AFR April 02 2016

Several weeks ago Air New Zealand's chief executive, Christopher Luxon, stood up in a private meeting and called for Virgin boss John Borghetti to resign. He has no such plans.It is not unusual for big personalities to clash in the high-octane world of aviation, but things have been particularly tense among Virgin Australia's shareholders lately.

Things came to a head several weeks ago when Air New Zealand's headstrong chief executive, Christopher Luxon, stood up in a private meeting and called for Virgin boss John Borghetti to resign.

Virgin chairman Elizabeth Bryan, who is said to run a tight ship, was having none of it and is believed to have stared down Luxon, who this week quit the board and has put his airline's 26 per cent stake in Virgin up for sale.

But the motivation for Air NZ ending its five-year relationship with Australia's second-largest airline runs far deeper than a personality clash between two airline chiefs.

Air NZ has been disappointed with Virgin's financial performance for some time, and was becoming increasingly concerned it would be asked to stump up more cash when Borghetti completes a capital review in two to three months.'

CAPA April 2016 - 'In Feb-2015, Mr Luxon noted that Virgin’s product investments were over and the end of the capacity war meant that now “is the time to get profitable” – a comment that was met with a reminder that criticism should stay within the boardroom.'
NZ
CEO, Christopher Luxon, has been the only shareholder to state publicly that Virgin "needs to get profitable", and he was reported to have called for VAH CEO John Borghetti to resign before his own departure from the board. Chairman Elizabeth Bryan equally, reportedly rejected the call.'
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 12:57
  #55 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ozbiggles View Post
No doubt the staff were told how good an idea it was to sell it...and how good it was to buy it back at twice the price!
From memory it was something to do with growing Velocity rapidly. How that works who knows, but most people know that's where airlines make their money now days so it seemed like a ludicrous idea to sell in the first place.

JB was on a selling spree to try free up cash for his mass spending. He sold infrastructure like the Brisbane hangar to the airport and then leased it back. Sold all the aircraft spares then leased them back. Can't remember what else went out the door but he certainly was making decisions that had a lot of people scratching their heads.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 21:17
  #56 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by TBM-Legend View Post
Scurrah knows little about aviation and numbers and was weak in making rapid changes required. He's a union captive. Mrs Scurrah was Chief of Staff of former Labor Premier Anna Bligh and now heads a consultancy to the Qld Govt on how to deal with millions of dollars per year in hiring consultants....join the dots...[oh and Qld will kick the can via QIC etc etc for $200M of payro;; tax, stamp duty and other relief plus a bit of cash with a small percentage.
Well at least you said he knows little about aviation that's better than JB knowing nothing about aviation.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 21:23
  #57 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by TBM-Legend View Post
Scurrah knows little about aviation and numbers and was weak in making rapid changes required. He's a union captive. Mrs Scurrah was Chief of Staff of former Labor Premier Anna Bligh and now heads a consultancy to the Qld Govt on how to deal with millions of dollars per year in hiring consultants....join the dots...[oh and Qld will kick the can via QIC etc etc for $200M of payro;; tax, stamp duty and other relief plus a bit of cash with a small percentage.
I was waiting for someone to dig this up, and his paid membership with the ALP too.
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 21:59
  #58 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by galdian View Post
OK, question I would have is: was EB requesting JB extend and simply passing on the collective decision/wishes of the board OR was EB running around making arbitrary decisions and all the other board member just shrugged their shoulders - apparently for a number of years - and said "yeah, whatever."
I don't know but she was trying to walk both sides of the street in the 4 Corners interview.

ELIZABETH BRYAN: In the end, a CEO runs the operations of a company and not a board.
ELIZABETH BRYAN, FORMER CHAIR, VIRGIN AUSTRALIA : I have put five hard years into trying to mould the second airline so it's a stable ccompetitor ...

Last edited by MickG0105; 30th Jun 2020 at 22:00. Reason: Formatting
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Old 30th Jun 2020, 22:34
  #59 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ozbiggles View Post
I donít know but I think JB might have sold PS a lemon with Velocity. I think JB sold it for half what PS paid to get it back but it may have been a case of the then owners of Velocity said to PS if you donít buy it back for this price we will dump it and there goes your loyalty scheme and we all know how much airline CEOs love their loyalty schemes. No doubt the staff were told how good an idea it was to sell it...and how good it was to buy it back at twice the price!
My understanding is that the grand plan for Velocity was to spin it off in a public float. That is the only play that makes any financial sense given the way the deal was structured.

There's no way that anyone could justify paying $700 million in 2019 for the 35 percent stake that was sold for $335 million in 2014 just based on its contribution to the business. If you look at Velocity's revenue and EBIT contributions over the years neither more than doubled over those five years (unfortunately they didn't start breaking Velocity out as a sector in its own right till 2015 so there's a bit of a fudge factor in there).

Just back of the napkin, that $700 million re-acquisition deal would have been NPV negative to the tune of about $200 million in 2024 when the bonds matured. And that's using 10 percent annual EBIT growth and a corresponding rate of growth in the book value of the business. That deal shouldn't have gotten past a year one business analyst let alone a CFO and a Board unless there was another play involved.

To that end, the float might have made financial sense but you've got to be very, very concerned when an airline's big play is the IPO of an affiliated non-airline business. It's a spiv's play; definitely not core airline business.

More, or at least equally, to the point, it was at best a medium term play - something that they might have looked to run in 2022/23. The pesky thing about the medium term is that you have to traverse the short term to get there. And that one deal, with the associated $900 million bonds issue at 8 percent, wrecked the business's short term position by driving their net equity into the red. It didn't just leave them vulnerable to a 'black swan event' (and I'd argue that the coronavirus isn't strictly a black swan event, but that's a discussion for another day), a gnat's fart worth of headwind was going to cause them worries given the business's abject inability to manage its cost base.



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Old 30th Jun 2020, 23:16
  #60 (permalink)  
 
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Blackout:
The Board consisted of a bunch of exclusively privileged individuals in a role that mainly involved rubbing shoulders, patting each other on the back, fancy functions and the odd power play.

How any Board member can execute their roles on multiple Boards at the same time and focus their attention to one particular Organisation is just beyond me. The ability to fail in their roles and still maintain multiple roles just goes to show that it is not what you know, it is who you know when you are part of 'the club'.


You are utterly wrong about what Boards do. I had a few like you try to get around me and front the Board when I was a CEO because they thought their pet schemes would be approved if only they could explain them to the Board in person.

‘’Board discussions in a company with a good chairman are often, uncomfortable, aggressive, abrasive, forthright and cover subjects that would make the average employee consider suicide. It is not a job for the faint of heart. The financial penalties for illegality are huge and the public consequences of getting it wrong...well, you can see EB’s reputation now.
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