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20 buyers now circling Virgin Australia

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20 buyers now circling Virgin Australia

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Old 20th Jun 2020, 01:34
  #301 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Ragnor
I don't think either care about the workers to be honest they're both equity firms. Both Bain and Cyrus will do an Anchorage capital repeat.
At the end of the day you’re probably right.
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 01:53
  #302 (permalink)  
 
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I wouldn’t read too much into the union saying which side they are on. It’s more negotiation and even if true, which I’m sure it is... its coordinated announcement before binding bids are complete needs scrutiny.

If you were the unions and you thought Cyrus were going to be successful you wouldn’t poke the Bain bear. Unless of course the unions actually don’t care, they want the best offer with the most jobs secured. 👍
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 02:48
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The unions will just want to protect their turf and increase their power. If I know them, they will be offered a carrot to get them to MAKE their members eat the chosen VC 3@!$ sandwich.

‘’The key is understanding the VC exit strategy - which nobody is talking about. It will be a closely guarded secret and most likely vile for employees and the Australian public. Bain appears to be in the habit of gorging itself on management fees and loading companies with debt - then it exits and the company crashes. To me, the attraction of virgin is the huge cash flows involved in running an airline.

Bain is I think, the nastier of the two. Their former CEO was Mitt Romney, not a likeable individual in my opinion.
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 07:13
  #304 (permalink)  
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Is it true that VIPA are advising its members to vote no at the creditors meeting if the administrators select Bain over Cyrus due to a misconception that a no vote will automatically transfer the bid back to Cyrus?

Surely they aren't that stupid???
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 07:37
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So how are the secured creditors going to vote?..if secured creditors vote one way, and the employees/bondholders vote another, which way is Deloitte going to cast?

It may be a unanimous decision, and for Virgins sake...I hope so. This union puff might be a shot across the bow of the secured creditors or to get Bain to lift their game. You would just keep quiet otherwise. Did someone just ask if they were that stupid?

Last edited by crosscutter; 20th Jun 2020 at 07:51.
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 07:40
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Originally Posted by 34R
Is it true that VIPA are advising its members to vote no at the creditors meeting if the administrators select Bain over Cyrus due to a misconception that a no vote will automatically transfer the bid back to Cyrus?

Surely they aren't that stupid???
Haven’t heard that one.
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 08:13
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Ok, the Administrator picks a successful bidder based on the best overall result for ALL the creditors. Then there is the DOCA vote. IF there is a majority by both creditor numbers AND by creditor debt, the DOCA goes forward. IF there is a majority of one but not the other, then the Administrator has the casting vote. IF the DOCA proposal is voted down the Administrator can try to resurrect another DOCA but the most likely outcome then in this case is Liquidation given the cashflow situation, as this would drag on well past August. I think from about then the Administrator becomes liable for Virgin’s operating losses, so unless there is liquidity from somewhere they would have to liquidate.
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 08:27
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Originally Posted by slice
Ok, the Administrator picks a successful bidder based on the best overall result for ALL the creditors. Then there is the DOCA vote. IF there is a majority by both creditor numbers AND by creditor debt, the DOCA goes forward. IF there is a majority of one but not the other, then the Administrator has the casting vote. IF the DOCA proposal is voted down the Administrator can try to resurrect another DOCA but the most likely outcome then in this case is Liquidation given the cashflow situation, as this would drag on well past August. I think from about then the Administrator becomes liable for Virgin’s operating losses, so unless there is liquidity from somewhere they would have to liquidate.
It might be the Administrators call on paper, but in reality it’s PS that’s makes the final call. You would never know this and no idea if legal but believe what you want to believe.

The whole appointment of the Administrator was orchestrated from the get go.
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 08:56
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Originally Posted by wheels_down
It might be the Administrators call on paper, but in reality it’s PS that’s makes the final call. You would never know this and no idea if legal but believe what you want to believe.

The whole appointment of the Administrator was orchestrated from the get go.
sounds legit
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 22:14
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Originally Posted by wheels_down
It might be the Administrators call on paper, but in reality it’s PS that’s makes the final call. You would never know this and no idea if legal but believe what you want to believe.

The whole appointment of the Administrator was orchestrated from the get go.
Planning commenced October, with tender for works completed midNov. I've seen the tenders by Clayton's and MEllison.... How that could crash and burn the infamous 4Corners mini-featurette. SHame its not something higher profile, guess the boys at Willoughby didn't value it.

If you don't want to believe this, go back to the happy gas on workplace.
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Old 20th Jun 2020, 22:33
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Whatever you say para
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 01:34
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Originally Posted by Buster Hyman
The Jury's still out, but we'll have to wait & see what his signing up to China's Belt & Road will cost us.
Still out on what? Did the federal gov hire Dan to run the numbers of their jobkeeper package? In what way was he responsible for such a ridiculously huge miscalculation..
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 04:09
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The 'Insiders' are- now going Bain.....

The Australian is now reporting Bain, ex 'Insiders'.... again- for whatever that maybe worth.

Rgds
S28- BE
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 05:34
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Dead c you forgot to put the 77 in your handle...para
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 06:23
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To add to Section28-BE's comment, the article in The Australian (21 June) states:
"Speaking on the condition of anonymity, a source familiar with the details of both bids said Bain had...."

Who would be "familiar with the details of both bids" ? The administrator may have a pretty good idea, as they are working closely with both parties. Seems unlikely that they would be leaking this information to the media a couple of days before the bids close. If it is anybody else, then surely the oft repeated "competitive tension bidding process" has been compromised ? A virtuous explanation would be welcome !
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 06:45
  #316 (permalink)  

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Originally Posted by TimmyTee
Still out on what?
The answer's in the quote!
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 09:29
  #317 (permalink)  
 
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Ex, Mr Mach2point7
"A virtuous explanation would be welcome !"
Indeed SO!!!- truly must be one, Ripper of a 'Confidentiality Agreement'- one-way express traffic...... or Not????

Rgds all/and the Best...
S28- BE
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 09:39
  #318 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Mach2point7
... Seems unlikely that they would be leaking this information to the media a couple of days before the bids close. If it is anybody else, then surely the oft repeated "competitive tension bidding process" has been compromised ? A virtuous explanation would be welcome !
Not unless it is a move to motivate Cyrus to sharpen their pencil. With the FAAA and the ALAEA coming out in support, Cyrus may have thought that they could cruise to the line.
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 10:13
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Hmmmm, having dwelt- the term 'Trading'........, comes to mind???, or NOT????

Evening all
Rgds
S28
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Old 21st Jun 2020, 12:38
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Bain might have thought Carla was going to save the day. But if the reported comments that she would not get any support from the unions is true, the creditor’s vote will be interesting, especially if Deloitte has to supply the casting vote and Bain was the higher bidder.
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