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20 buyers now circling Virgin Australia

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20 buyers now circling Virgin Australia

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Old 29th May 2020, 20:38
  #141 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by j3pipercub
See you in a couple of months Sunfish. You leaving pprune must be almost into double digits by now.
18 days... Can't help himself
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 06:24
  #142 (permalink)  
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Virgin Australia final two bidders: Bain and Cyrus

Bain and Cyrus "are the dual and duelling finalists in line to buy Virgin Australia for up to $4 billion". BGH bundled out, in a surprise move.

https://www.executivetraveller.com/n...lia-bain-cyrus

From what I've read, Bain wants Virgin 2.0 to be more 'hybrid' while Cyrus is closer to the Scurrah's own plans to remain full-service and also swap the A330s and B777s for B787s down the track.

Last edited by MelbourneFlyer; 2nd Jun 2020 at 07:35.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 07:52
  #143 (permalink)  

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Sir Richard Branson's Virgin Group has held discussions with both Bain and Cyrus is understood to be ready to support the winning consortium with a cash injection to help recapitalise the airline, along with dropping or steeply discounting his annual $15 million Virgin brand franchising fee at least over the next few years until the airline is back on its feet and back in the air.
My money's on whoever tells that grinning fool to off!
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 08:05
  #144 (permalink)  
 
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I hope for the hard working loyal employees' sake that Bain and Jayne don't win. But at least it will be fun boys and girls. Free FA singing lessons start next week.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 08:14
  #145 (permalink)  
 
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Branson should be banned from having any involvement again. Didn't stump up the money last time, well then get stuffed!
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 13:23
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The fee to Branson is not a huge drain, imagine the cost of an immediate rebranding.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 13:32
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Originally Posted by IBE8720
Is it permissible for the winning bidder to change the name of the airline?

I would be quite certain that the airlines patronage had nothing to do with the name painted on the aircraft.
How is it financially jusitfiable for a new owner to pay million's of dollars a year for naming rights for a business that has rarely ever made a profit?
It makes no sense that Branson keeps getting money for nothing.
Actually, the airlines patronage has a lot to do with the branding. Branding is everything! It's an art in psychology. For example. Imagine McDonalds is sold tomorrow and the new owner renames the business and changes the branding. How do you think the new business will go? Why do you think a sour faced Kardashian or I need to go to the toilet face, Justin Bieber, get paid millions to photograph with a product and the product goes to sell billions? No doubt it's contributed to branding. It plays a big role and Branson knows it.

As far as the business never making a profit goes...You can blame the 'look at my new Maserati' whilst I do the Captain Concordia shuffle for that!
The current CEO Paul, had the airline back on track and trending well before all this Covid business broke out.
L.B

Last edited by "Littlebird"; 2nd Jun 2020 at 13:47.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 21:13
  #148 (permalink)  
 
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Interesting point....my understanding was originally Branson was paid royalties as a percentage of REVENUE. This was then re-negotiated as a flat fee. You would think any deal would, as you said above, would make any payments as a percentage of profit.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 21:29
  #149 (permalink)  
 
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Multiply that 15m x 20yrs, and you don’t think it’s huge? Wake up
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 21:33
  #150 (permalink)  
 
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If you look at it from a minimum entry cost perspective, it will be much cheaper to pay a royalty then spend millions on re-branding. So, I reckon the name will stay for the time being, but the basis of royalties payable will be re-negotiated.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 22:13
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Originally Posted by "Littlebird"
The current CEO Paul, had the airline back on track and trending well before all this Covid business broke out.
The FY20-H1 Interim Report that he handed down in February would roundly contradict that notion; they were the worst half year results since the GFC putting the business on track for a $500 million loss this FY, and that was before the coronavirus crisis had hit.

Here's an inventory of CEO Paul's achievements as at 31 December 2019,

- Paid $700 million for 35 percent of Velocity that had been sold five years earlier for $355 million.

- Funded the Velocity transaction entirely by raising debt; a $750 million notes issue at 8 percent interest.

- In just that single transaction managed to send the net equity of the business underwater (liabilities exceeding assets) to the tune of over $100 million.

- Allowed non-fuel operating costs to go up by over four percent when the business was meant to be cost cutting.

- Saw labour costs go up by 6.5 percent in the course of a 'rightsizing' program that should have been decreasing them by 5.5 percent.

- Knocked nearly 40 percent off the profitability of the domestic operation.

- Managed to spend $2.70 for every dollar of extra revenue gained.

- As noted earlier, delivered the worst half-year result since the GFC that included a 42 percent reduction in EBIT margin.

Last edited by MickG0105; 2nd Jun 2020 at 23:55. Reason: Correction
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 22:51
  #152 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by "Littlebird"
The current CEO Paul, had the airline back on track and trending well before all this Covid business broke out.
L.B
Come again?
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 23:01
  #153 (permalink)  
 
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Interesting that for the last number of weeks PS has been talking up the Administration and everything would be ok, come out the other end in one piece, but stronger.

Latest post now says that there is no doubt the airline will be coming out the other side a lot smaller (smaller than before) and staff should be prepared for job losses. Would seem all the wonderous support replies and thanks have dried up. Certainly didnt see any....................

When the music stops, I probably wont have a chair.

Last edited by Servo; 2nd Jun 2020 at 23:48.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 23:04
  #154 (permalink)  
 
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Guys, it doesn't matter whether you like the grinning woolly jumper or not, if he is in the successful bid, he is in.

It would be unusual if either bidder kept the current management team.
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 23:06
  #155 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Servo
Interesting that for the last number of weeks PS has been talking up the Administration and everything would be ok, come out the other end in one piece, but stronger.

Latest post now says that there is no doubt the airline will be coming out the other side a lot smaller and staff should be prepared for job losses. Would seem all the wonderous support replies and thanks have dried up. Certainly didnt see any....................

When the music stops, I probably wont have a chair.
Please quote where he said it would be a “lot smaller”
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 23:47
  #156 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by chookcooker
Please quote where he said it would be a “lot smaller”
My apologies. He states "smaller than before".
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Old 2nd Jun 2020, 23:57
  #157 (permalink)  
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You would think any deal would, as you said above, would make any payments as a percentage of profit.
Franchise fees are normally either a fixed sum, percentage of turn over or combination of both.

The franchisor provides a name, business system and goodwill. The franchisee takes the business risk.

$15 mill for Virgin Australia is probably reasonable as franchises go.
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Old 3rd Jun 2020, 00:41
  #158 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by tail wheel
Franchise fees are normally either a fixed sum, percentage of turn over or combination of both.

The franchisor provides a name, business system and goodwill. The franchisee takes the business risk.

$15 mill for Virgin Australia is probably reasonable as franchises go.
​​​​​​The arrangement with Branson isn't a franchise, it's a brand licencing agreement. With a franchise you ordinarily get access to business systems, training, group marketing, product and the like. Under a brand licence agreement you get to display the brand, typically within fairly rigid guidelines on usage. They are markedly different commercial arrangements.

The main thing keeping Branson at the table at the moment is the confluence of the one-off cost of rebranding (it'd likely be $8-12 million just to repaint the fleet) and the typically short term focus of new investors. Just back-of-the-napkin, assuming no leakage on loyalty, ditching Branson and rebranding would only become NPV positive on a 3-4+ year investment horizon.
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Old 3rd Jun 2020, 02:13
  #159 (permalink)  

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Originally Posted by MickG0105
​​​​​​... the one-off cost of rebranding (it'd likely be $8-12 million just to repaint the fleet)
Well, if they call it Tigerair, they can tell him where to go & part of the fleet is already re-painted...
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Old 3rd Jun 2020, 02:52
  #160 (permalink)  
 
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Pretty sure SIA get a licensing fee from Virgin for the Tigerair brand also (why the heck you would pay for the brand is beyond me)
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