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MERGED: Air Asia Turnback Perth 25 Jun 17

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MERGED: Air Asia Turnback Perth 25 Jun 17

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Old 25th Jun 2017, 14:57
  #61 (permalink)  
 
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@Concours77 Electra

Remember at least one all fatal crash with early Electra's where the complete engine plus nacelle and mounts vibration that you seem to describe took the wing off. It appeared that the wing was too stiff. Redesign changed the natural frequency.
Do not remember reading in that report about such earlier events. Which is rather amazing.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 15:14
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Originally Posted by ploughman67
Really? You know that for sure? That's a 25s video, no-one (here) knows whether that went on for 1, 10 or 110 minutes.

It's possible that the video was the immediate aftermath and that once secure the vibration was not as severe. We don't know, we weren't there. How about we credit the crew with the fact that the decision made to return to Perth was made with the full facts at their disposal at that time and was the best option of those they considered.
You are of course quite correct; we do not know exactly what happened.

However just to raise a couple of points;
1. The video is 41 secs in two clips - presumably spanning more than 41 secs
2. The gentleman on the left at about 25 sec mark says "about half an hour to go" leading me to suspect that it may well have been shaking for > 1 hour at that time.
This is supported by quoted passenger accounts ... eg "After the explosion it started to shake, it started to bounce, but overall the captain did a very good job" and "It was literally like you were sitting on top of a washing machine. The whole thing was going. We could see the engine out the window which was really shaken on the wing.". The latter remark also supported by a brief glimpse in the video.
3. Reported that "marine emergency services north of Perth were put on standby to prepare for a possible water landing" so you would have to presume that some level of emergency had been called.
4. In the thread SWISS LX40 [ZRH-LAX] diversion to Iqaluit, of the 226 posts a fair proportion were firmly in support of that crew landing in the middle of the tundra rather than carrying on to a maintenance base.

So which is it? Nearest suitable or nearest convenient. Both arguments can't be correct.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 15:27
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Originally Posted by msbbarratt
... What does that do to the airframe?! It's getting quite a pounding. Would that knock a few hours off the fatigue life?
Is there anything which mandates an airframe inspection, or assessment, by the manufacturer? Or can they return the a/c to service after "just" an engine repair / replacement? Does certification account for such an event? (Presumably yes, but what are the details?)
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 15:34
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Originally Posted by A0283
Remember at least one all fatal crash with early Electra's where the complete engine plus nacelle and mounts vibration that you seem to describe took the wing off. It appeared that the wing was too stiff. Redesign changed the natural frequency.
Do not remember reading in that report about such earlier events. Which is rather amazing.
There were two - Northwest and Braniff. Actually, the wing wasn't too stiff - there were multiple issues - outer nacelle not stiff enough, engine mount damage from repeated hard landings, gearbox-to-engine structure failure, wing torsion. But that raises an interesting point. Metallurgy, composites, designs, construction have certainly changed since whirl mode. But what really is the airframe tolerance to the 'new' jet-age replacements from 'vibrations' compared to the very vibrating four-bladed props?
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 15:46
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What a few people here aren't able to understand (and what I think JamieMaree is trying to explain) is that this diversion (in this case back to Perth) is nothing to do with ETOPS/EDTO. ETOPS just allows the flight to operate further from an alternate airport than usual. The diversion is usually due to a statement in a checklist which says something to the effect of "Land At The Nearest Suitable Airport" and would take place regardless of the sector being ETOPS or non-ETOPS.

On a twin engine aircraft this statement is usually included in the checklists involving in-flight engine shutdown. If the capt didn't shut down the engine but left it running at idle (maybe because he wanted the GEN and HYD systems available) there's an argument that you don't need to Land At The Nearest Suitable Airport. I hope you guys understand now.

I personally wouldn't feel very comfortable flying past YPLM to continue hundreds of NM to YPPH with an engine running but incapable of delivering power above idle but that's a different argument.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 15:51
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Indeed. ETOPS/EDTO etc is a planning exercise. More often than not, you have other suitable and adequate fields you can utilise. It doesn't require you to land at the nominated ports, you're just using them to comply with the rules.

In an emergency situation, you can do whatever you believe is the safest option. Provided of course you can justify your actions and decision making.

Air Asia, CTAF, NPA and limited support? It's a no brainer they went to Perth.

Ultimately our job is to land the aircraft in one piece with everyone safe. How you get it there is of course always up to much debate. The job was done and the crew should be commended for doing their best and delivering 350 souls home.

Well done guys.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 17:00
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Originally Posted by msbbarratt
It looks like they had lost a fan blade, and that the unbalanced wind milling engine was causing the vibration. What does that do to the airframe?! It's getting quite a pounding. Would that knock a few hours off the fatigue life?
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 17:16
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If my aircraft was shaking so violently from a windmilling fan with the engine shut down as per severe damage procedures I'd be landing it on the nearest suitable piece of concrete not trucking on
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 17:50
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Too little info to go on at this time. I haven't seen any photos of the engine, nor
confirmation of the extent of a possible fan blade failure.

However the manufacturers do conduct full up blade loss tests and verify that the engine will remain on the wing even during windmilling for long diversions.

The only problems I have seen in the historical data is that although the engine is shut down by the crew that if the front bearing structure is severely damaged, then as the plane slows down to land the windmilling speed has a tendency to shake the passengers and their seats. No concern for the engine mounting or any airframe loadings which are designed for much worse in turbulence and gusts.

The pilots are advised to be prepared for such a crossover speed vs vibration change and if it causes difficulty in reading instruments to simply change airspeed up or down.

I presume, no injuries nor broken aircraft critical structures but will await the AAIB reports
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 18:53
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But, ...

Originally Posted by pax2908
From that article - "[Crew] said 'I hope you all say a prayer, I'll be saying a prayer too".
Wow ... is that a standard thing to say to calm people ?
If God is omnipotent, omniscient and omnipresent then it was God's decision to fail the engine in the first place, right?

So their plan was to appeal God's inerrant decision?
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 18:58
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Originally Posted by lomapaseo
The only problems I have seen in the historical data is that although the engine is shut down by the crew that if the front bearing structure is severely damaged, then as the plane slows down to land the windmilling speed has a tendency to shake the passengers and their seats.
I'd have thought that the out-of-balance forces from a windmilling engine minus a fan blade would be sufficient on their own to produce that effect.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 19:01
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Originally Posted by lomapaseo
No concern for the engine mounting or any airframe loadings which are designed for much worse in turbulence and gusts.
Only kind of. They're designed to last a certain number of cycles and flight hours under typical conditions, with out of sequence inspections required after extra heavy landings, etc. They're not designed for a couple of hour's fixed frequency heavy duty rattling, which has a completely different characteristic to the loadings experienced in turbulence.

It's similar to the wisdom of the wear and tear put on cars on the cross channel hovercraft (back in the day). Only a few bumpy trips would be enough to wreck the suspension.

So either Airbus have a specification for this, or they don't. If not, they're going to have to pronounce on what remedial action is required.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 20:43
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Originally Posted by A0283
Remember at least one all fatal crash with early Electra's where the complete engine plus nacelle and mounts vibration that you seem to describe took the wing off. It appeared that the wing was too stiff. Redesign changed the natural frequency.
Do not remember reading in that report about such earlier events. Which is rather amazing.
Too lazy to look it up. I remember the problem was the length of the shaft and the novel gyration (at certain rpm and Thrust) of the system that caused the shaft to spiral out of its axis, asymmetrically. The resulting vibration was too much for the wing box, and a wing was shed.

This is what I saw on the day.... I was literally within two feet of the Propellor's arc

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=j6Q5ggtV-y8


By the way, I was aboard well after 1960. They did not fix it, they "mitigated" whirl mode.

Last edited by Concours77; 25th Jun 2017 at 21:32. Reason: add the "Ah-Hah"
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 22:04
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The job was done and the crew should be commended for doing their best and delivering 350 souls home. Well done guys.

Seriously? With a vibration like that, I would be VERY concerned of that engine module eventually letting go and taking half the wing with it. There would be absolutely no doubt in my mind, Learmonth at Vmin.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 22:17
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Your all throwing big words at this flight crew and airline like EDTO, ETOPS and adequate training. Praying works, Isaac Newton was wrong. The ATSB needn't investigate.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 22:39
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So the Captain asks for Prayers and he also will say a prayer as well!!!!??

Another reason my family and I will never be on an Air Asia flight. Totally unprofessional no matter how good his hand skills are
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 23:18
  #77 (permalink)  
 
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The Captain himself feared for the flyability of the aircraft. When you exhort your passengers to pray in order to survive, it's time to land on the nearest piece of asphalt.

Just another inexplicable action by the crews of this airline.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 23:23
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Turn back to PER would've been appropriate if there was a need for fuel usage to achieve safe landing weight. Alternative would be a dump then land at Learmonth which costs time anyway. If the captain genuinely thought they were in serious trouble then Perth would provide a much better emergency services/rescue option with the airport closer to better equipped medical facilities in the event there was a catastrophe.
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Old 25th Jun 2017, 23:50
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Originally Posted by WingNut60
Looks like turn back occurred about 1:20 into flight; then 1:45'ish for return to Perth
Put yourself in the cockpit - of the aircraft, you're not in a car at ground level:

You're at good altitude in a functioning but "abnormal" aircraft. You have a whole collection of checks to do, and then you've got to set-up for landing. It takes quite a while to prepare an airliner for a landing - and more if unfamiliar with, say, Learmouth. The last thing you want is to rush and make silly mistakes.

You're about 20 mins from Learmouth, but it will take longer than that for normal (or for a drift-down) descent.

You can orbit near Learmouth, doing the checks and prep, slowly descending. Or you can do the checks and preparation while continuing on to a more suitable airfield.

Captain's choice but you can see that Learmouth might not be the obvious choice. Same as the Rex that dropped a prop only a few minutes from their planned destination.


Somewhat pointless addition because PPrune readers
  • There is no requirement anywhere to land at the nearest airfield. It's always up to the captain.
  • The person telling everyone to pray was some (dropkick) passenger.
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Old 26th Jun 2017, 00:00
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Originally Posted by Capt Kremin
The Captain himself feared for the flyability of the aircraft. When you exhort your passengers to pray in order to survive, it's time to land on the nearest piece of asphalt.

Just another inexplicable action by the crews of this airline.
Air Asia is Malaysian. Predominant religion in Malaysia is Islam. Now, when it comes to faith and beliefs in religion and prayer in Islam, prayer is an ingrained way of life which some of you fail to understand whilst sitting in a predominantly white, christian country. Through ignorance, you'd all be sitting there venting rage and disbelief if he had said 'Insha'Allah', or worse 'Allahu akbar' and again you would fail to understand or respect other's faith, religion or prayer. If he wants to call to prayer, so be it...at least he respected all faiths, in English.
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