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Old 21st Feb 2019, 06:43
  #341 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by chickoroll
Be a good 10-12 yrs to command for the guys who started in the recruitment drive starting 2016 as all the entitled Cadets are starting to acquire the B/S ICUS and their 100hrs flying in circles in a diamond to get the hrs for the ATPL.

78 if they are still around be about 5-8 yrs in Mel, over 10yrs in any other base.
If you don’t like cadets you’re in the wrong airline buddy
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Old 21st Feb 2019, 07:27
  #342 (permalink)  
 
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Does anybody actually know how you're selected from the hold file?
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Old 21st Feb 2019, 10:10
  #343 (permalink)  
 
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There's 3 main factors.

- Assessment day
- Notice period
- Company currently employed with

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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 00:07
  #344 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Bula
You guys crack me up.

Lets run some “whole” numbers shall we.

call the fleet size “50”. Asia Pacific growth rate 6%. For optimism sake we will say they grow the fleet at 6% rather then 3% and returning higher yields (which is more likely as shown with current fleet growth numbers).

10 years = 67 aircraft = 75 commands
15 years = 78 aircraft = 140 commands

Now lets take into retirements = 50 pilots over the next 10 years in JQ.

So in 10 years that will be 125 commands.

last Sydney command position 700. That’s 208 positions along. Down to position 908 in 10 years.... start date 2015.

And this assumes no Q numbers are used, and Widebody comfortable FOs stay that way for another 10 years.

if you take WB FO into account, the same position (908) is almost 20 years to a command.
eh?

A 6% growth rate in fleet size per year, starting at 50, would result in 89 aircraft after 10 years. Where did 67 come from?

In Sept 16, most junior captain was 511.

Dec 18, most junior captain is 700. Removing Q numbers (I rather doubt people will be heading from Q to JQ in the current environment), that's 115 people given the opportunity of command in the last 2.5 years. How does that mesh with your estimate of 125 in 10? Especially given there has been no fleet expansion at all in this time?

Further, at a minimum 20 FO's are off to mainline, and 2 captains, thats another 15% off the number of those ahead for someone who joined in 2016.

Indicators to me, given the possible expansion in relation to the arrival of the NEO, normal attrition and the departure of a few to mainline is of a normal 7-10 year timeframe to command from time of joining. 20 is absurd.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 01:47
  #345 (permalink)  
 
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When I joined, the going rate was 5-8 years off an upgrade. It’s turned put to be pretty much on the money (8 years)

There are so many factors that can affect this however, so your best bet is to get in and get a number.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 01:53
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If you want Sydney. It’ll be 7 odd years.

If you want anywhere else, it’ll be a long long wait.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 03:16
  #347 (permalink)  
 
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Based on everything as it stands RIGHT NOW those sentiments above are probably something close to the mark. But it’s a cut throat airli...... oh I mean low cost airline and anything/everything or absolutely nothing is only just around the corner, so try not to look too far into the crystal ball.
I wouldn’t list ‘how long to command’ as your sole prerequisite to an airline job. Realistically just GETTING INTO an airline takes significantly less than it once did and as a result movement is slower as what I believe is the collateral damage. Just get IN first then spend the rest of your FO career bitching about time to command just like we all did.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 05:11
  #348 (permalink)  
 
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Sorry, yeah those figures are at the realistic 3% rather than 6%. I’ve corrected it.

just because those numbers have been given the opportunity, what’s the percentage of uptake? It’s exactly why the number has gone so low so quickly. The comfort WB FOS will move up sooner of later. Still a lot of commands to be given between 511 and 700.... 60 to be exact.

Last edited by Bula; 22nd Feb 2019 at 05:27.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 05:47
  #349 (permalink)  
 
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The percentage of uptake is irrelevant. If your goal is to pursue a command at JQ, then it is only the rate of offer of commands that really matters. 115 in 2.5 years with no fleet expansion (but certain expansion just around the corner) suggests to me that if a command is your goal, the timeframe will be significantly less than your estimate.

Once in however, maybe your goals change and like many, you elect to remain on the 787 has so many have done. Couple of 320 captains have even bid back to Fo's on the WB, as I'm sure you're aware.

Shrug.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 06:22
  #350 (permalink)  
 
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I hope you’re right uber. I just don’t see it unless the NEO’s start arriving as additions rather than a 1 to 1 swap.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 07:09
  #351 (permalink)  
 
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In 20 years that’s when the real fun will begin when a large generation of commercial pilots, who are the bulk of the current system, retire. The decline and lack of CPL’s being issued is fairly disturbing in recent years.

I’ve seen some early examples of this in other countries with shortage on skippers, for those relying on cadet schemes to solve the problem, in that they get caught out in they can’t upgrade FO’s fast enough due lack of experience and extended training experience required for cadets.

Probably a good time in the next decade to kickstart learning to fly.
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Old 22nd Feb 2019, 18:06
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Old 26th Mar 2019, 10:07
  #353 (permalink)  
 
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CAE Melbourne partners with Swinburne University of Technology to deliver this program for Jetstar. The Jetstar Cadet Pilot Program is an integrated flying training, flight theory and education program taking trainee pilots with zero or little flying experience* from ab initio to First or Second Officer positions within Jetstar Airways. It is a cadet pilot program whereby successful applicants will be offered a conditional offer of employment as a pilot by Jetstar Airways, subject to successful completion of the program.

This is an exceptional opportunity for aspiring pilots to train under the mentorship of Jetstar and go on to fly as First or Second Officers with the airline.


Jetstar Cadet program
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Old 26th Mar 2019, 11:25
  #354 (permalink)  
 
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It seemed to pop up on CAE's own website/Facebook page before Jetstar's own website - applications open until 30th April.

I know this isn't new, but frustrating that it is set up so that you have to cop the 25% FEE-HELP admin fee as it is undergrad.
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Old 11th Apr 2019, 00:20
  #355 (permalink)  
 
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Regarding Cadet program;
How many will they take in and how long from zero to hero?
...as there are some of us on the hold file still from late 2017/early 2018; will these guys be taking those slots in the end?

Recruitment are now saying no foreseeable intake this year either, due to priority internal upgrades and transfers. Others are saying still possibility of 50+ FOs leaving to QF..!

Thoughts appreciated, thanks!
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Old 11th Apr 2019, 01:53
  #356 (permalink)  
 
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Hey Sceva,

are you a cadet cadet on hold or a direct entry on hold?

Cadets are being hired as 787 S/Os which will, continue through the year, however it is true that no F/O recruitment is planned this year. F/Os leaving for qantas won’t change things as we are already quite fat on F/Os.
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Old 11th Apr 2019, 02:26
  #357 (permalink)  
 
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Just thrown my hat in to the ring for the current Jetstar Cadetship. I’ll be interested to see if they bother progressing a 29 year old train driver who hasn’t studied anything formally since the HSC 12 years ago.
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Old 11th Apr 2019, 02:39
  #358 (permalink)  
 
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Captains or NZ Crew on the other hand...... seem to be as rare as hens teeth.....
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Old 11th Apr 2019, 04:59
  #359 (permalink)  
 
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Thanks for the info ECAMS.
I’m on the Direct Entry hold file... Hence my levels of frustration and uncertainty!
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Old 11th Apr 2019, 20:19
  #360 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ECAMACTIONSCOMPLETE
Hey Sceva,

are you a cadet cadet on hold or a direct entry on hold?

Cadets are being hired as 787 S/Os which will, continue through the year, however it is true that no F/O recruitment is planned this year. F/Os leaving for qantas won’t change things as we are already quite fat on F/Os.
How long does it take a cadet to get from S/O on the 787 to F/O or A320 F/O?
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