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QANTAS - WHERE TO NOW?

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Old 15th Nov 2012, 05:41
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Re: Overtime in Base Maint.

Sorry if it's already been asked, but where did the wigs pluck their 2% overtime figure from? Have they not been looking at our workloads?

Is all this O/T just a good will gesture, to pump up our bank accounts before xmas, before throwing us on the chopping board.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:25
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Word is, and it would now seem obvious, that nasty swine does not want everyone to know base is gone in 12 months because of the "don't give a ****e" attitude that would spread amongst the remaining dead men walking. The gig is over. Grab what you can and make the best of it. Sorry it has come to this.
Ps; new bright paint on H 245 H271, ready for jet* 787 and sdo 737

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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:27
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I think it more likely that Nappy stain will be gone.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:35
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Nappy stain gone, can't happen fast enough. But it is too late. 30 % of syd eng gone next month. That's probably 50% of Qf engineering this year. It just won't work anymore.
You know it takes 2 years to train a school leaver to be a manager, it takes 10 years for him to be a competent LAME, and that is being generous.

Last edited by Short_Circuit; 15th Nov 2012 at 06:40.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:35
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Well we made McDermott look like a complete idiot when he told those above him he would screw us over and drive us into the ground. Look what happened to him. Now a fat controller with the railways.

Let's see if the same can be done with Nappy Stain because he's doing exactly the same thing.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:39
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Its over embrace the Reality anyone who thinks the Managers are going is dreaming .
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:42
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You have two simple choices, cop it sweet and thank them for it, or go down swinging.
It really is as simple as that. Make the shambles work and you will ALL be made redundant.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:42
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Don't bend over mate. It's what they want. Play a little more hard to get.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 06:47
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Just heard on the tv that rail crop is dumping hundreds of managers, they must have just woken up to the fact that the Big Mac types from QE and Qfutures who have destroyed their company now as well. You know, the fat controller and friends.
Anyway take care of your safety and those on the crew, don't go above and beyond because you will just be stabbing yourself in the back and the of your mates, managers do not have mates just acquaintances and rivals, poor bastards.

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Old 15th Nov 2012, 07:20
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Shares buy back = $1.28 = fail.

Nice one

Cascade them apples down the pipeline. Next up, the nearing completion of a $30M glass house. It'll be so cutting edge, I can just feel it.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 08:53
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Please try a little to understand the QF management problem.

From my experience in bringing in new allegedly labor saving IT technology to companies, you face a very simple problem: If you have Twenty staff at the start, and the new technology allegedly takes Ten staff, then if you postpone the eventual redundancy to say, Six months after the introduction of your new system guess what happens?

Thats right. The system that was designed to take ten people to work it now takes Twenty people since everyone "burrows in" and subverts the system as they have a vested interest in the system not working as advertised. Furthermore the Three "change coordinators" - consultants that you hired temporarily to install and commision the system and maybe do a little training have "burrowed in" too and are now indespensible to your operation.

So the result is that instead of saving Ten staff you now added Three and there is no way you can make the system work without every effing one of them!!

The management solution prescribed to fix this problem is to fire all but the Ten staff you are supposed to need and tell them to make the new system work- or else. That means, among other things, changing work practices to suit the way the system works, not changing the way the system works to suit your current method of working, which is always disastrously expensive.

Now this system suits consultants and "know nothing" managers. It guarantees you will get something like what was promised in the glossy brochures, but you have no way of improving anything through experience.

This sounds exactly like what is being done to you - with the obvious major problem of the immoveable object of CASA regulation colliding with the infinite force of new technology.

The risk of course is that Qantas will cut too deep, as happened with Ansett, and lose control of the technical agenda, as did Ansett, with the end result of a major incident and a suspended AOC.

There is a better way, but that involves skilled and experienced managers, a consultative workplace style and a very different way of implementing new technology, but that is another subject.

Last edited by Sunfish; 15th Nov 2012 at 08:56.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 09:11
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Romulus....THAT strategy is too close to tax fraud. It's bending the rules and these days, is quite transparent to the ATO.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 09:16
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Now this system suits consultants and "know nothing" managers. It guarantees you will get something like what was promised in the glossy brochures, but you have no way of improving anything through experience.

This sounds exactly like what is being done to you - with the obvious major problem of the immoveable object of CASA regulation colliding with the infinite force of new technology.
Yep.... Its called maintenix. Postponed twice already.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 09:35
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I am amazed that the response for MXI deferral is because Jetstar didn't have their stuff sorted?!?
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 10:15
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Originally Posted by aeromedic
Romulus....THAT strategy is too close to tax fraud. It's bending the rules and these days, is quite transparent to the ATO.
Um, it's using the rules in the manner for which they are intended.

Share buybacks when properly undertaken represent a return of capital as opposed to a dividend. The ATO gets narky if they believe it is actually a pseudo dividend but where a company treats all shareholders equally (the crux of the matter in many ways) then it i tax effective, particualrly for lower tax bracket shareholders.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 11:29
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I agree with the principle of share buy back and what it does, however, in this case, there was a company loss, not a profit. Cash reserves, in Qantas's case were meant for new aircraft, infrastructure improvement and the like, but not a buy back.
Buy backs are good policy when a company has billions in profits not returned to shareholders by dividends e.g. CSL and Rio Tinto, and no viable opportunities for adding businesses to their portfolio.
As to the shareholders, they would have been better served with a fully franked dividend paid from the reserves that this ill considered buy back is financing.
The plan to retire some debt early has merit, but I would think the need to retire some aircraft early would be better.
Bending the rules or not, a buy back is still dumb.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 11:31
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Basic Maths

The share buy back is simple maths. If total company capital is say $100M, and there are 100M shares in total for that company. That is $1 per share. If the company buys back 50M shares from shareholders, that is now a company still worth $100M, but the share price is now worth $2 per share (the capital is the same, but the number of total shares has halved). So, a share buy back will immediately lift the share price,as less shares on the market. Same happens in reverse, allot an additional 50M shares t o the original 100M and the share price will now drop from $1 per share to $0.66c per share. The total company capital is the same but is now spread over 150M shares which equates to $0.66cents/share.
Basic maths..... Easy for the board to increase share price with little or no action.

E
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 11:33
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Give it a week (or less) and the shares will be back lower than when the announcemnt was made.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 11:55
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The market sentiment and perceived value drives the share price up and down. The intrinsic value gets lost in the confusion of national and international events.
Airlines are fragile and vulnerable businesses that operate on the edge and it take the combined effort of management and employees. Estrange one of these and the business is doomed.

" You can't build long term value for the shareholders unless you build long term value for the employees" Howard Shultz, Chairman of Starbucks Coffee Company.

A lesson unlearnt by the current board of Qantas.
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Old 15th Nov 2012, 12:47
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emal40,
Your math is incorrect.
The Enterprise Value of the company stays constant, not the Market Cap
(EV= Market Cap + Debt)

In your example the company Had MCap of $100m and lets say Debt of $100m. So EV is $200m)
To do the buyback debt goes up and market cap goes down.

Where this benefits Qantas is more in signalling it is undervalued -- expects to return more in dividends in the future from those shares versus return from investing in aircraft/other business

And more importantly puts paid to any hedge funds who had shorted Qantas hoping for an equity raise... those guys will be screaming blue murder.

The buyback is being funded from the Startrack sale/Boeing payment, not from the FY12 loss
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