CEO of #casa story in The Australian

[advo-cate]

CEO of #casa story in The Australian on Saturday, in part said:

I’m pleased and honoured to have been appointed as the Civil Aviation Safety Authority’s new chief executive and director of aviation safety, and I’m amazed how Australian aviation has evolved compared to 2009 when I was last at CASA.

The truth is quite different, where there has been a 53% fall in aircraft registrations and a 38% fall in pilot numbers.

https://i0.wp.com/vocasupport.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/pilot-numbers.jpg

If Mr. Carmody is talking about Safe Skies are Empty Skies I would agree.

Full article is discussed on a local website, with the Australian story as well.

Carmody and #casa talks about a defective regulator « Assistance to the Aviation Industry (http://vocasupport.com/carmody-and-casa-talks-about-a-defective-regulator/)

This story was done in Mr. Carmody's name by himself.:ugh::ugh::ugh:

[Berealgetreal]

There are better careers available to young people and they've worked it out!

Most pilots I know wouldn't encourage their children to take it up...

[chimbu warrior]

The truth is quite different, where there has been a 53% fall in aircraft registrations and a 38% fall in pilot numbers.


I'm no admirer of CASA, but that graph and statement (my bolding) on aircraft registrations looks a bit suss to me. It would appear to reflect the number of aircraft added to the register each year. This number is somewhat meaningless unless the total number of aircraft on the register is compared on a year-to-year basis. Has there been a net increase or decline in the overall number of active aircraft on the register?

It is somewhat misleading to produce a graphic that tracks the total number of active pilots, but does not reflect (as I see it) the total number of active aircraft.

[advo-cate]

Thanks for that Chimbu W, but the data used to compile that graphic was difficult to obtain, as #casa refused to release actual numbers and the same for medical certificate active pilots.

Does not change the issue though, #aviation is in decline and the CEO of Jetstar said on Friday that there is excessive regulation in Australia that affects business and PAX numbers.

Nocookies | The Australian (http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/aviation/jetstar-ceo-jane-hrdlicka-more-regulation-will-hurt-tourism/news-story/1870759c73867b7669ec43070a9eefb7)

[Vag277]

Advo-cate
Cobblers! Lies, damned lies and statistics.

See Tables A.3 and A.12 here. https://www.casa.gov.au/sites/g/files/net351/f/ar1516_part6.pdf?v=1476938431

[Lead Balloon]

According to the stats in the linked document:

Total of initial issues and current pilots in the 2011/12 reporting year: 38,271

Total of initial issues and current pilots in the 2015/16 reporting year: 30,547

It is not possible to infer much from the medical certificate statistics over that period, because of the changes in query parameters and the fact that a Class 1 certificate comes with a Class 2 as well, and the durations of each are different.

But anyone who thinks GA is in robust good health and growing is either delusional or a paid spin doctor.

[The Banjo]

While not wishing to bat for CASA, I do think that as with many industries technology has changed ours. Take Kunnunurra as an example. Many of the 40 year old C206/207210 etc that used to swarm around the Bungles in the dry season have been replaced by newer, safer, more efficient and HIGHER CAPACITY C208's. Bank running reduced through technology.

At the other end regional airline coverage has expanded reducing the demand for point to point charter flights (not to mention occ health and safety, risk aversion of potential clients).

Rightly or wrongly, cadets are becoming a more common path to fill the cockpit as the opportunities in GA diminish.

Thirty years ago 50 percent of new CPL pilots were unable to gain employment and gave up with very expensive debts to pay off. Perhaps things are no better or worse today-simply different.

[advo-cate]

Advo-cate
Cobblers! Lies, damned lies and statistics.

See Tables A.3 and A.12 here. https://www.casa.gov.au/sites/g/files/net351/f/ar1516_part6.pdf?v=1476938431

So, if you go and look at the annual reports, there is more information than just taking a "spot point". However, the data #casa use is quite poor and jumps about from year to year.

http://vocasupport.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Pilot-Community.jpg