Cyclone Debbie inbound

[PoppaJo]

MKY/TSV/PPP now ceased pax ops. Hats off to all those who pitched in to get the people out.

TAF AMD YBHM 270150Z 2701/2712 14045G60KT 6000 -SHRA BKN010 OVC015

Take it easy out there folks!

Color Infrared Loop: Himawari 8 - NOAA GOES Geostationay Satellite Server (http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html)

[Flying Binghi]

Its that Global Warming wot caused it..:ooh:

[Ejector]

Might be a Cyclone party out Hughenden or Emerald way in the pub tonight me thinks with all the bug smashers heading west !!! Good Luck.

[josephfeatherweight]

My wife's name is Debbie...
Oh the irony!!!
Misery and destruction in her wake...

[topdrop]

Its that Global Warming wot caused itDo you really think that anyone with any intelligence is going to think that would be a statement from a reputable scientist as against a misrepresentation that would come from a global warming sceptic?

[onetrack]

Cyclone Debbie is no bigger than any other large cyclone that has hit Australia in the last 200+ years of recorded Australian weather events.
In fact, if early weather recording equipment was more accurate, more widely positioned, and logged more comprehensively, I would hazard a WAG that some of the cyclones in the mid-to-late 1800's were considerably stronger and larger than any recorded in the 20th or 21st century - judging by the destruction caused by those cyclones in the 1800's.

Overall, the last 2 or 3 years has been a relatively quiet cyclone period for Australia. In Western Australia, we are approaching the end of the cyclone season and nary a cyclone of any note has been recorded for this whole "wet season".
This is quite unusual - usually a minimum of a couple of cyclones hit W.A., each wet season.

Yet, surprisingly, this wet season is promising to be one of the best for 20 or 25 years across the NT and the top half of W.A.
There has been a substantial increase in rainfall recorded all across these areas, but this has been largely the result of simple, large monsoonal lows, that have carried vast amounts of moisture into these areas, from the seas to the N of Australia.

I trust the destruction from Debbie isn't too bad, but a very large number of important vegetable crops in Nth QLD look to be in the firing line.

[gerry111]

"I trust the destruction from Debbie isn't too bad, but a very large number of important vegetable crops in Nth QLD look to be in the firing line."

I agree with onetrack. (But have far more empathy for those living there.)

So most importantly, stock up on your Cavendish bananas NOW!

[Gearup3reds]

"I can feel another tax coming on"................."oh wait"... it's a global warming thing right!!!

Either way, all BS a side, best to those poor buggers in her wake, take spacial care and seek shelter, stay safe.

[Flying Binghi]

Via topdrop: Do you really think that anyone with any intelligence is going to think that would be a statement from a reputable scientist as against a misrepresentation that would come from a global warming sceptic?

Who said anything about a scientist. I was thinkin of them 'news' providers...:hmm:

There's nothing tough about refusing to evacuate in the face of a cyclone. If you survive the winds and roaring storm surge you were just lucky, not resilient.

But if you live on the coast and you simply wait for the blast front and the tsunami because some pissweak little storm isn't going to scare you away, you're living in denial at best. At worst, you're a selfish idiot who will endanger the lives of everyone who has to come to your aid.

Cyclone Debbie will either smash down on Bowen in the next couple of hours or, in the undivinable way of these things, veer away, or weaken, and somehow spare the hundreds, maybe thousands of people who ignored the evacuation order.

And sure, some would have found it close to impossible to get gone. Everyone would have been inconvenienced. But there's a special sort of stupidity that revels in defying the violence of Mother Nature when she decides to get serious.

We love these idiots. We, the media. You, our readers and viewers.

We can't help but urge them on from the cheap seats, safe and dry thousands of miles away. Every doomed but noble gesture of defiance hums with the potential of a story that could go viral.

In that way we're even bigger morons and more culpable than those fools without the sense to get moving when they've been told the ocean itself could rise up and come for them.

It's a recurrence in miniature of the stupidity that powers climate change denial. The long-term trends are firming up now. Since about 1970, it seems, our local cyclone season has been changing, delivering fewer storms but of greater intensity. Elsewhere the pattern is different, and that difference is enough for dangerous idiots to deny there is a pattern to be discerned. It's all just weather, they say.

But it's not. We can't know what Debbie will bring, not in the particular. But we can predict that it will be destructive.

We can't know from day to day what climate change will bring. But we do know that it will be ruinous.

Or we would know that. If we were smart enough to simply open our eyes and see what's coming.

Only selfish idiots stay to look a cyclone in the eye, and we're fools for watching them (http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/comment/blunt-instrument/only-selfish-idiots-stay-to-look-a-cyclone-in-the-eye-and-were-fools-for-watching-them-20170327-gv7oo1.html)






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[IFEZ]

Current Speci for YBHM 272142Z AUTO 12080G103KT..!


Hard for us down South to comprehend winds over 100Kts. Scary stuff. The most we ever see on a TAF down here is gusting 40Kts or in extreme conditions, up to 50Kts. Hope everyone is ok up there and damage is kept to a minimum.

[Capt Fathom]

The south to west quadrant of the cyclone is the worst area for wind and rain. Hence the battering the QLD coast receives whenever one makes land fall.

Shouldn't be long before Hamo is out of that area and they can start to take a breather!

Hayman Island has not long finished a refurbishment after Cyclone Anthony 6 years ago!

:(

[Bleve]

The 2330Z Hamilton Island METAR:

YBHM 272330Z AUTO 120103G125KT 0150 // OVC005 36/36 Q0967

:eek:

[Flying Binghi]

We might get to see some inner eye photos from Hamo shortly.

[Car RAMROD]

Looks like Hayman is in the eye right now.


Definitely a little breezy up that way :eek:

[CYHeli]

and another,
SPECI YBHM 280008Z AUTO 29092G118KT 0200 // OVC004 35/35 Q0967
RMK RF01.6/012.8

[scavengepump]

Speci ybhm 280030z auto 30099g142kt 0350 // ovc004 36/36 q0966
rmk rf01.0/016.0

[IFEZ]

Yikes..!! 142Kts = 263Km/hr..!!

[josephfeatherweight]

It's so vicious it has blown away the "King Air down at Essendon" (or similar...) thread!

[Bleve]

The eye passed over Hayman Isl. Hamilton Isl looked like it copped the edge of the eye.

[Eyrie]

Take a look at Bowen radar and also the Queensland obs for this morning. There is something that doesn't fit about the Hamilton Island observations since 09:42 local this morning.

[Flying Binghi]

Via Eyrie: Take a look at Bowen radar and also the Queensland obs for this morning. There is something that doesn't fit about the Hamilton Island observations since 09:42 local this morning.

Equipment failure perhaps ?

[Flying Binghi]

The 'news' report i linked to earlier in the thread gets some comments from "Marcus"...

"...The theory that burning coal leads to more cyclones was quickly dubunked when the cyclones declined their invitation to the Earth Hour party. The theory was then altered to state that there would be more ‘extreme’ cyclones.

Of course, facts have a funny habit of playing their own game and the Climate Church’s unified theory of extreme carbon cyclontivity was also debunked some time ago:".....

Extreme Cyclone Carbon Theory Refuses to Die | Catallaxy Files (http://catallaxyfiles.com/2017/03/28/extreme-cyclone-carbon-theory-refuses-to-die/)






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[Capt Fathom]

Equipment failure perhaps ?

Me thinks the anemometer tower blew over some time ago!

[Capn Bloggs]

There is something that doesn't fit about the Hamilton Island observations since 09:42 local this morning.

It is still putting out SPECIs... but the METAR wind direction seems off by a lot. Earlier, it was 270, now it's 250, so the directional thingee's moving around. The wind direction cannot be that. Maybe it's bent 120°...

[IFEZ]

Bowen Radar down due 'damage from TC Debbie'. Mackay Radar still ok.

[Marauder]

Media coverage of these type events again are the worst.

Granted it is news, but do they need to send multiple crews to the same location, taking up valuable resources with each reporter and their hangers on. Evacuations are being ordered yet these parasites are arriving in swarms, why do they think they are except.

This morning sunrise are interviewing people outside yet at the same time reporting that authorities are telling residents to stay in doors. Go figure.

[bekolblockage]

This morning sunrise are interviewing people outside yet at the same time reporting that authorities are telling residents to stay in doors. Go figure.

Having been through Cyclone Tracy, I utterly concur.
Anybody who is voluntarily outside during those sort of conditions has rocks in their head.
Film crews showing roofing iron hanging off roofs and flapping in the breeze ready to rip off and head their way are mental.
The vast majority of fatalities in Tracy were people struck by debris flying at 250kph (the Darwin anemometer also failed at that speed, so nobody knows the ultimate figure).

[Capn Bloggs]

Me thinks the anemometer tower blew over some time ago!
Now it's blown over... Wind: //////

[wheels_down]

No doubt someone 'forgot' to hanger their bird. Ah well, nice new one inbound from Cessna courtesy of some insurance company I guess...

http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/c342a6950c1e7496d78996bf289dcda6

[megle2]

I see there is a picture and note on the media saying RAAF are inspecting damaged Chinook parked at Bowen. Did it get stranded there and Debbie took the opportunity to give it a slap as she passed by

[PoppaJo]

The ATC Tower at Hamilton Island has been destroyed alongside aerodrome navigation and communication equipment. Expensive mess.

I understand the Proserpine pax terminal has reduced in size minus a roof also.

[gerry111]

megle2,
Why would the RAAF be inspecting a Chinook parked at Bowen. Last time I looked, the Army operated them..

[Capn Bloggs]

The ATC Tower at Hamilton Island has been destroyed
Get the Unicom going!

[Car RAMROD]

Bloggsy, as long as it's only with untrained and unqualified people :ok:

[SnowFella]

Looks like most of the eastern seaboard is about to feel the tail end of Debbie, SE Qld is getting predicted 400-500mm rainfall and affecting things all the way down to Sydney.

[Eddie Dean]

Looks like most of the eastern seaboard is about to feel the tail end of Debbie, SE Qld is getting predicted 400-500mm rainfall and affecting things all the way down to Sydney.Wet weather in QLD is now an emergency situation.

[Capt Fathom]

Wet weather in QLD is now an emergency situation.

It is now an emergency, as it will affect Brisbane and Sydney! :E

[ACMS]

Any photos of Hamilton island tower and facilities?

I see a QLink Dash left there a while ago......

[OZBUSDRIVER]

Ha! Wife is doing a.course at Griffith Uni...class cancelled today as per the decree...one problem is, its online and we are in Melbourne:suspect::ugh::}

[megle2]

Gerry, either way we own it, what happened to it?

[gerry111]

Dare I say: "Blowed if I know?"