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OFSO
26th Oct 2013, 20:52
It is possible that the media are exaggerating as usual, but if that's not the case, the South of England and Channel Isles are due to be hit by some exceptionally nasty weather in the next two days. It would be interesting to have some reports posted here from trusted sources as it happens......

Not schadenfreude as the wife's up there in London right now.

500N
26th Oct 2013, 20:57
"It is possible that the media are exaggerating as usual,"


Still trying to compensate for that fateful report before the last big storm.

treadigraph
26th Oct 2013, 21:00
Exactly what I think 500N. Well, hope...

500N
26th Oct 2013, 21:08
Don't know if this is the correct way but I look at the Pressure, pressure drop speed and the wind speed plus the size of the storm across.

A 150kmh (or mph or whatever wind speed just off the coast and I live near the coast, it isn't going to drop that much immediately after it crosses land.

Rain, well not much you can do about it except get to higher ground.


How do other people read storms, cyclones, hurricanes ?

tony draper
26th Oct 2013, 21:12
Always thought the Met Office tended to ignore the wind until the Fish thing,living in a place not subject to flooding the rain was annoying but it was the wind that caused structural damage,always thought the tended to underestimate gust speeds as well,it might be fifty or sixty in flat countryside but in towns when it whips round building it seems a lot faster.
It's ok for you rotund 300 lb folk but we lightweights can get blown over.
Lets hope they are over estimating this time.
:uhoh:

500N
26th Oct 2013, 21:25
Tony

I have since learnt from going up North (NT) that sustained high winds can be as destructive as high gusting winds, especially if the ground is soaked wet from previous rainfall.

vulcanised
26th Oct 2013, 21:31
Last I heard was that the storm only exists in the Met Office computer.

Hope it stays there!

CathayBrat
26th Oct 2013, 21:43
Just went out, i can see stars,is a bit windy but nothing major (Dartmoor location). Met office covering their butts me thinks (and am happy to be proved wrong)

dead_pan
26th Oct 2013, 21:44
Given the number of trees still in leaf, I reckon even a small blow is going to cause quite a bit of disruption. Mind you, there's still a chance it will track further north or south and someone else will cop it.

yotty
26th Oct 2013, 22:03
Fecking thing was abreast Newfoundland at 13-00 saturday! Weather and climate change - Met Office (http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/surface-pressure/#?tab=surfacePressureColour&fcTime=1382788800)

tony draper
26th Oct 2013, 22:06
Think of the lecky it will generate,oh no! I forgot, they have to turn those useless bastard things orf when the wind blows.
:rolleyes:

handsfree
26th Oct 2013, 22:11
Supposed to be 25kts gusting 40 here in heavy rain.
Wind is 8 kts and although we've had a bit of rain it's nothing like the forecast.

superq7
26th Oct 2013, 22:16
Tony

They were erecting some wind turbines in Avonmouth this week, I got hold up in my skip lorry by them anyway I got chatting to one of the fitters apparently they have a life of twenty years after which they have to come down.

coldair
26th Oct 2013, 22:16
Meteorologists are having a natter about it here ;

Monday 28 October 2013 Potential Storm Chat - (http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/100054-monday-28-october-2013-potential-storm-chat/)

At the moment it's uncertain exactly how it will develop.

May well be interesting.

Shannon volmet
26th Oct 2013, 22:37
Sorry old chap, we don't have Hurricanes any more, and Tornado's are so passe. We only have Typhoons now!

Wxgeek
27th Oct 2013, 00:24
North Atlantic Surface Wx analysis (https://sites.google.com/site/acnetworkweather/home/north-atlantic#swa) - Theres a big low mid-atlantic, fairly steep gradient so there is some wind blowing.

Looks like it is going to track over Ireland and S England. (https://sites.google.com/site/acnetworkweather/home/north-atlantic#swf)

Here is the Shannon weather. (https://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/metars?station_ids=EINN&std_trans=translated&chk_metars=on&hoursStr=past+3+hours&chk_tafs=on&submitmet=Get+Weather) - translated version.

If you want some other stations go here. (https://sites.google.com/site/acnetworkweather/home/METAR-TAF-requests)

Charlie Foxtrot India
27th Oct 2013, 01:22
I remember this well, was living in Jersey at the time and studying for my PPL met exam....!

BBC weather blooper by Michael Fish storm of 1987 - YouTube

Never did trust that Michael Fish, I was more of an Ian McGaskill fan!

Spitting Image - Ian McCaskill Weather Wrong - YouTube

Good luck guys hope it isn't as bad as '87.

ricardian
27th Oct 2013, 01:31
Looking at the BBC weather chart for Monday I cannot see any "hurricane" force winds. London (http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2643743), Birmingham (http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/6296572), Leeds.

500N
27th Oct 2013, 02:14
I'd look at the weather charts for the South West considering that is where the storm is coming from.

It's only once it crosses land that charts for further away places - like London, Birmingham will be more accurate.

Cacophonix
27th Oct 2013, 02:30
Oh the humanity. I have just soiled my keks...

Caco

Cacophonix
27th Oct 2013, 02:31
Apart from having just flown in the face of a stiff breeze and some rain from Germany... :p

Caco

OFSO
27th Oct 2013, 07:35
a life of twenty years after which they have to come down.

The line of wind turbines which were on the mountain above Roses (Catalunia) were put up abt 30 years ago and taken down over the past 12 months at "end of life". Not replaced which surprises me. The infrastructure, power lines, road etc, must all still be in place. Could it be that they were not economic to operate ? (snigger).

500N
27th Oct 2013, 07:40
"The infrastructure, power lines, road etc, must all still be in place."

Which means the "Green" power is still blighting the landscape ?

B Fraser
27th Oct 2013, 08:06
One was a meteorologist back in 1987, drawing the Atlantic pressure chart reminded one of a zebra's arsehole. The "woman" who was said to have called in to say there was a hurricane on the way was said to have been another TV weather forecaster. Beyond that, my lips are sealed. ;)

C130 Techie
27th Oct 2013, 08:50
Despite all the warnings, media hype, etc a large number of muppets will still put their wheelie bins and recycling boxes out on the street tonight meaning tomorrow morning's drive to work will be an obstacle course. The streets will also be covered in litter and rubbish.

500N
27th Oct 2013, 09:04
We had a big blow in Melbourne a few weeks ago.
It was well forecasted and lasted a good 36+ hours if not more.

And yes, as you said everyone around me put bins out the night before
and more than a few were blown over, rubbish spread along the street.

radeng
27th Oct 2013, 09:05
Prediction here is for 35 mph. Fortunately, there are trees and a hedge providing a windbreak, so the wheelie bin will be OK....Currently 15mph from SW according to Lyneham.

yotty
27th Oct 2013, 11:15
Latest wind readings gusting over 40kts. CHIMET - Weather Reports from Chichester Bar (http://www.chimet.co.uk/%28S%28ttuvm445jafeuw55zrpxq145%29%29/wind.aspx)

Natstrackalpha
27th Oct 2013, 11:44
Well, we are doing balloon rides for the juniors on Monday and we are not cancelling under any circumstances, nor the kite flying contest in the afternoon.

The origami competition will take place - outside as planned at teatime.

there is also a microlight fly-in at 15:00 we are expecting about 15 aircraft they should all be on the ground by 21:00

-the next day.

I pity Corwall, Devon and Sweden/Denmark South, but watch out for the Atlantic baby follwing close behind too . . .say, 6 days later ?

Lightning Mate
27th Oct 2013, 12:26
It's already blowing like :mad: here already.

All three cars under the house. The conservatory has withstood stuff like this for over twenty years.

OFSO
27th Oct 2013, 12:27
Mullaghmore Head (Ireland) currently shows:

Wave height 5.6-8.7m *****
50kph Gale Force,
Offshore Primary Swell 6.6m at 18s
274.4
Showers
Air 14c Sea 13c

Little cloud
27th Oct 2013, 14:54
Well, there's a silver lining!

n e t a | Electricity Summary Page (http://www.bmreports.com/bsp/bsp_home.htm)

Wind currently providing 14.7% of the UK's electricity (fixed wholesale price), gas providing 13.5% (fluctuating wholesale price based on supply and demand). Without wind that would have been gas at 28.2%, hence the fact that wind (when available) reduces peak production cost totals.

MadsDad
27th Oct 2013, 15:22
Yotty. Just wondering which bar in Chichester you are publishing the met. reports from.

beaufort1
27th Oct 2013, 15:35
Gusts to 52 Kts already and this ahead of the main event later.

Little cloud
27th Oct 2013, 15:39
Handy map here of recorded peaks/gusts:

Peak gusts, Map: United Kingdom (27.10.2013) Current Observations (http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=ukuk&LAND=UK&REGION=0003&SORT=2&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=windspitzen&ART=karte&RUBRIK=akt&DATE=1382875200&CEL=C&SI=mph)

500N
27th Oct 2013, 15:40
Beaufort1

A very suitable name for someone providing windspeeds :ok:

cavortingcheetah
27th Oct 2013, 15:53
Lovely afternoon in Nelson's patch and it's breezy enough in the garden so that the cigar smoke rings don't stay rung.

Dushan
27th Oct 2013, 15:54
We had a big blow in Melbourne a few weeks ago.
It was well forecasted and lasted a good 36+ hours if not more.



Shouldn't this go in the Jenna Jameson thread?

OFSO
27th Oct 2013, 17:09
There's a webcam on Trafalgar Square and you can see the tents for the festival* blowing about.

*Doolally ?

flying lid
27th Oct 2013, 17:16
Will this wind...? - YouTube

Lid