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topendtorque
2nd Feb 2011, 02:47
i sincerely hope that unlike Tracy where aircraft and the Airfast S61 were being flown into Darwin on the eve of the cyclone that all aircraft, especially those assets that will be required as rescue aircraft have all been repositioned to the south. There will be no VHF, VOR's, mobile phones or power to pump fuel from underground stocks in the hardest hit areas for some time. I hope everyone has a serviceable HF if they are going in there afterwards and an ELT.

The first vis conditions after the event to be avbl for heli movements will be low coastal. Trying to reposition back to the coast from behind the range will be folly for some time.

Its the mini cyclones in the periphery that do the most damage, having attended the cleanup of Tracy for three weeks or so, I am almost at the stage where I wish to turn the media off, being too far away to help or be of service and frightened witless by what I am seeing. There was only two aircraft that survived on the darwin airport without damage out of a hundred or so. The big tough cyclone rated hangars counted for nought.

alomost certainly the Garbutt RAAF base and airport at townsville will be flooded.

Here is a link on the Jo Nova site to demonstrate the size. Its only 6hP short of the biggest ever to hit mainland OZ.

Yasi 2011 — Cyclonic force of nature « JoNova (http://joannenova.com.au/2011/02/yasi-2011-cyclonic-force-of-nature/)

mickjoebill
2nd Feb 2011, 07:18
The big tough cyclone rated hangars counted for nought.

Fingers crossed for the thousands of people, such as the 420 guests and staff at the Shangra La Hotel situated on the waterfront at Cairns, and the 2300 sheltering in a shopping Mall in Cairns, who are putting absolute trust that the "Cat 5 proof" buildings are up to spec.

Also 110 staff sheltering in Dunk and Bedarra Islands which are directly in the predicted path.


4000 troops and air support based in Townsville.
According to the experts, current max wind speeds of 285kph, which will be experienced across a 160 kilometer wide swath as it hits land.


Mickjoebill

catseye
2nd Feb 2011, 07:24
this should link to the Bureau of Met radar.

biggest cyclone in living memory. :rolleyes:


256 km Cairns Radar Loop (http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR192.loop.shtml#skip)

RVDT
2nd Feb 2011, 09:57
TAF AMD YBCS 021034Z 0210/0312
30040G60KT 3000 RA OVC010
FM021400 35075G90KT 3000 RA OVC010
FM030000 36040G60KT 6000 RA BKN015
FM030600 02020G30KT 8000 RA SCT015 BKN020
TEMPO 0212/0312 3000 SHRA BKN012
PROB30 TEMPO 0212/0306 0500 +TSRA BKN005 SCT015CB
PROB30 TEMPO 0306/0312 1000 TSRA BKN010 FEW020CB
RMK FM021200 SEV TURB BLW 5000FT TILL030600
FM030600 MOD/SEV TURB BLW 5000FT TILL031200
T 29 26 25 25 Q 988 985 986 993

Ouch!

RVDT
2nd Feb 2011, 10:13
Looks like ATC have cleared out!

TEMPO RESTRICTED AREA ACT
IN CLASS C AIRSPACE INCLUDING CTR C. DAH SECTOR VOLUME NAMES AFFECTED
ARE: CAIRNS APPROACH. INCLUDES CLASS C AIRSPACE WITHIN 36NM OF CAIRNS
DME, SFC TO FL180.
ATS IN THIS AIRSPACE AND AT CAIRNS AERODROME ARE SUBJECT TO
CONTINGENCY DUE TO OPERATIONAL RESTRICTIONS DUE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
YASI.
THE CARRIAGE AND USE OF TWO RADIOS IS REQUIRED FOR ENTRY TO THE
RESTRICTED AREA.
APPROACH AND AERODROME CTL SER NOT AVBL.
PRIOR TO OPERATING ON THE MANOEUVRING AREA OR IN THE AFFECTED
AIRSPACE, PILOTS/OPERATORS MUST:
1. OBTAIN A BRIEFING ON CONTINGENCY PROCEDURES FROM AIRSERVICES
AUSTRALIA ON +61 7 3866 3798
2. OBTAIN A LANDING, DEPARTURE OR TRANSIT TIME.
PILOTS-IN-COMMAND ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR TERRAIN AND COLLISION
AVOIDANCE WITHIN THE AFFECTED AIRSPACE.

AUTHORISATION TO ENTER THIS TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA DOES NOT
CONSTITUTE CLEARANCE TO ENTER ANY ADJACENT OR EMBEDDED RESTRICTED
AREAS.
LIMITED FIS AND ALERTING SERVICE MAY BE AVAILABLE ON REQUEST FROM
ADJACENT ATS UNITS OR HF.
TRAFFIC INFO BROADCAST BY AIRCRAFT (TIBA) AND MANDATORY BROADCAST
PROC AS DETAILED IN AIP GEN 3.3 APPLY ON 124.9 MHZ.
TCAS AND TRANSPONDER EQPT MUST BE SELECTED ON AT ALL TIMES.
OPERATE IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE IFR AND DISPLAY NAVIGATION AND ANTI
COLLISION LIGHTS.
SFC TO FL180
FROM 02 020222 TO 02 050000 EST

catseye
2nd Feb 2011, 10:50
SPECI YBTL 021130Z AUTO 12038G54KT //// // ////// 25/24 Q0996
RMK RF00.4/035.8
SPECI YBCS 021130Z AUTO 26018G29KT //// // ////// 27/21 Q0986
RMK RF00.0/015.0
:uhoh: