The key part to this is the jump from 1.87 to 3m in 2 years. All this was facilitated by the addition of BHX/STN and also off the back of the 34 737-8MG's. There is nothing like this on the cards for the next few years (i.e. no new large bases or large amount of new aircraft joining the fleet). so i would have guessed no more than 1/2 m extra hols pax per year, meaning 6m is hit in 6 years. Still not a bad performance.
As for the market, while TUI would stay about the same and Thomas Cook drop slightly further, the growth would be from other areas such as Expedia/On The Beach. Also there's competition from BA holidays. Even U2 are starting up their holidays product as well though their no different to Expedia & co...

Moving on from all that though, the prospect of a new fleet order to replace the 757's is intriguing. Since they already have their B738's, we'd be looking on the larger side. Initial thoughts would be the Max9/10 or the A321neo filled with around 220 to 230 seats, similar to the 235 seats the 757's operate. Or do they make the jump to widebodys as they have done with the leased A330's. The smallest widebody would surely come into consideration as well (A332/A338) or B788. They'd probably be able to get around 350 seats in each which could probably be sustained on a decent amount of routes. Also opening up the prospect of Long-Haul operations too (tying in with the TCX rumour).

Interesting times ahead, and im sure they'll make a huge success of it, regardless of what 'it' is

LS612 Divert
 

LS612 GRO - EMA G-GDFL has diverted to Rennes after a rapid 180 at altitude.
Hope everyones OK.
Update - according to Nottingham Post, diversion due to "poorly pilot". Doesnt say if PF or PM.

I think you mean FO or Capt. As soon as someone is incapacitated, the PM is also the PF, or vice versa.

Doesn't have to be flight deck, it could be one of the flight crew, meaning they need to divert and either source replacement crew, which at RNS is unlikely, or they unload pax and continue with a reduced load. Might not explain the 'rapid 180' but just throwing that out there

Yes, what they said. ;-)
Although the '''newspaper" does say 'pilot'.

Summer 2019
 

Whilst realising it is still very early days, I have had a look at the currently filed Summer 2019 peak programme (based on August 2019)
It presently shows 1236 departures per week (+103 on Summer 2018)
Manchester (262 departures per week (+17)) Leeds Bradford (202 departures per week (+16)) London Stansted (190 departures per week (+34)) Birmingham (166 departures per week (+39)) East Midlands (115 departures per week (+8)) Newcastle (99 departures per week (no change)) Glasgow (81 departures per week (+2)) Edinburgh (68 departures per week (-13)) Belfast (53 departures per week (no change))
There are presently 329 airport pairs on offer, an increase of 26 from the Summer 2018 peak

Surprising reduction at EDI. I know they've dropped VIE, much to the annoyance of friends, and Murcia of course, and reduced BUD (FR competition),and of course they're gradually eliminating the 733's. But anyone know more?

The reductions are for August only as it looks like they're sending an aircraft South for English peak, so EDI temporarily drops from 6 to 5 aircraft. I've heard EDI is meant to be going all B738 next Summer though, if this does turn out to be the case it will mean even one aircraft down total seat capacity won't be miles off what it was this August when it was 3 B738/3 B733.

That makes sense. This year there was an extra ALC-based flight which only operated in the Scottish peak.

Hopefully a nice old girl. Ready in time for 2019 season?
Sweet Sixteen yrs, Ex-Pegasus (2002-2011) and then a few other lease-outs over the years before ending up in Russia, who'd had enough of it after 2 yrs. Likely coming out white with blue tail, do you think, as Orenair was white with red tail? Easy make-over?

TTAN/JET2 G-POWH flying GIB-BHX today
 

Looks like FR24 are showing the Jet2 Titan 757 G-POWH running ZT631 and 632 codes on STN - Gibraltar - Brum runs.
Curious - are these some sort of ''proving runs' as GIB is not a listed destination and I believe its a Captains Only Landing airfield.

Titan POWH ops for EZY at STN today...(non GIB without saying.)

Red rudder.

http://i64.tinypic.com/2dv4c2c.jpg

Thank you, Buster.
I can quite see that it can turn out as all white fuselage with big, red ''Jet2” on nose and red tail

https://app.box.com/s/2010vb2j2wgo2yrykcocyagxbm43503d

but it wouldnt take more than a tin or two of blue paint and the 'sunrise' motif either. 😉

PS - can anyone please tell me how to put the link up so it shows the pic.
Ta

SOU base on the cards?

Have you had a tip-off?
The consensus earlier was no new base in 2019.
As it happens, SOU of no use to me, living in the Midlands. I've (possibly temporarily) abandoned BHX for my Jet2 flights due to their ever-increasing Security queueing times and rdiculous waits for bags in Arrivals, for EMA. Gotta give it a Can't be any worse and car parking is SO much cheaper.