Holiday Market Growth in 2016
 

Looking at growth in holiday market for 2016 there seems to be a potential swing with a couple of destinations changing completely and older destinations not yet sure what will occur.

Tunisia.................... expected to be well down in 2016 and ignored by most people with a forecast decline.
Egypt ........................ similar with people staying away
Turkey....................... again potentially losing a significant proportion of the 3.5 Million Russians who holidayed there.


Looking at where this demand will get picked up I see Greece, Italy in South, Costa and Islands in Spain and Crimea benefitting.

I think Blackpool should brace themselves :E

But seriously, I think it might be a little early too early to tell at this point in time. Many may wait to see what develops before booking anywhere.

Hope it could encourage growth to some new markets, different areas of Spain, Cape Verde, Sicily etc.

With the ME3+Turkish, long haul is becoming more affordable, we could see growth there.

Sharm might suffer, not sure how badly, hopefully Hurghada might escape unscathed

With the general risk averse attitude displayed by many governments, notably the UK, tourists will be running out of places they will be "allowed" to travel to, at least so far as packages are concerned. Turkey may well find itself on the seemingly ever growing list of countries that the UK warns against travel to, especially if their president continues his willy waving antics towards Russia. If that were to happen, and it's a long way off at present, would other "safer" European destinations have the capacity for absorbing the numbers of bucket and spade refugees?

Cape Verde this summer was full of building work on hotel complex's so that one may have a big future in the next few seasons with UK tourists certainly.


It just needs something more to do out of the complex like water parks maybe as it is very sparse of anything so needs something to attract families a bit more.


I loved it though.

Spain gained in 2015
 

Spain gained already thie year see link to Reuters

Whether this will continue in 2016 or not is another question.

Personally I think Spain will be the country benifitting most and probably the one that should be bulking up its marketing effort.

No matter where I have been in summer they have been busy but not over flowing so adding an extra million or two across their coast and islands will not get to overflowing.

In addition from a security perspective Spain is used to dealing with Terrorism.

Skegness has potential:zzz:

As does Baltic coast of Poland. Supposed to have sensational summer weather. FAO will do well. In a change way Eliat could become popular again. Still red sea but IsraelBut the bottom line will still be cost for people not security

Agadir perhaps? Banjul? I think Bulgaria could do well with the lower end (only because I've heard it's a bit "dumpy" and "cheap") but there's a good few resorts. Madeira and perhaps even Porto Santo although I don't know what the tourist infrastructure is there... Azores? Then of course there's the dalmation coast!

Plenty of space within 5/6 hours of the UK to fill up with holidaymakers. My only hope would be that Greece and Cyprus don't suffer out of all of this

I struggle to understand why Bulgaria isn't more popular with the British. I've been to Sunny Beach twice and the place really should have twinned with Benidorm signs up. Its got everything the British tourist would want and its a lot cheaper than most other places. Yes it might not be the classiest place to visit, but I would of thought it would appeal to your average Benidorm, Magaluf, Faliraki customer.

Blackpool and Skeggy, letter in the post to Mr Miller of PIK. 752 full of bucket/spade could be a goer :ugh:

Spain will gain big this coming year. Croatia is lovely (spent 2 months private work flying around the lovely coast line) but maybe just to close to the troubles.

A forgotten destination is Romania - still a destination from central Europe, but largely ignored by Brits. The Black Sea coast there has good beaches, and resorts like Mamaia and Neptun already have the (communist era) tourism infrastructure, that I'm since I was there back in the 1990s has been improved and updated. Problem is that your average Brit wants "Britain abroad" which you won't get, at a stroke, in these less popular destinations.

The Azores, you mentioned, are fantastic, but totally wrong for the bucket and spade brigade. The climate is like Wales, damp and changeable, though warmer (standing by for incoming from Welsh posters!!!) especially in winter. Although we talk about the Azores high pressure area it doesn't seem to do that much for the weather down there. If don't want to laze on the beach all day, then for an active holiday with great scenery and landscapes the archipelago is hard to beat.

It's a question really of whether people, especially at the lower end, are that adventurous.

Perhaps there is an opportunity to construct a new beach resort near Castellon, it's time may yet come!

I'm sure there are some retro resorts that may come back in fashion, such as Lloret de Mar.

New motorhome sales were up 18% and caravan sales up 22% last year and sales growth this year expected to be even higher if that helps....:=

Build a huge resort close by with water parks and stuff with some indoor stuff for winter and you never know.

But let it be your money definitely not mine :E

Faro should do well - (there were a number of rebookings from Tunisia and Sharm evident in the weeks after the "events") however- the airport is undergoing extensive renovation work which won´t be ready until June 2017 - its a bit of a mess at the moment - how it will fare in the Summer months may be a little stressful.....:sad::{

Just to add to the mix, there are moves afoot in Russia to dissuade Russians from visiting Turkey due to the shooting down of the Russian Sukhoi.

Russians are the second largest group of visitors to Turkey (after Germans) so there could be a lot of them displaced too.

Looks like Spain/Canaries, Portugal and Italy are in for a bumper year in 2016. Holidays in Turkey could be cheaper, and I would expect Cyprus (both North and South) to do well.

This might, however, possible be due to the improving economy and previous owners replacing older equipment, not to mention the ever rising number of pensioners.

I think you will find non pensioners are allowed to drive motorhomes as well....:):):)