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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 11:07
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Originally Posted by ib26uk
Anyone know when June 2019 onwards will go on sale

They have dates and times now but prices are STUPID !? £300 one way to Glasgow from Birmingham and Manchester ................

I need to book 1x flight and change an existing booking
Was expected to be sometime this week... not sure if anything's changed however.
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 11:49
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1. The trains are ludicrously expensive these days and you're lucky if you get a seat unless you book first class or super early.

2. Flybe operate largely a monopoly from a lot of their bases.

Given these two points how can they still be loss making?
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 12:06
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If the trains are ludicrously expensive, why are they so full that you can't get a seat?
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 12:28
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Trains are generally not ludicrously expensive if booked in advance. Passengers expect still to pretty much turn up and travel on trains as they have been used to whereas they expect to book in advance for air travel.

For example recently traveled Milton Keynes Glasgow return with one large bag booked one week ahead (£84). Point to point neither LTN (Easy) or Flybe (BHX) were competitive on time or fares.
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 12:34
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Precisely. And when the media compare train and plane prices they always compare the full fare, turn up and go, refundable, train price and the the advance, inflexible, non-refundable plane ticket.
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 13:48
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Originally Posted by Nakata77
1. The trains are ludicrously expensive these days and you're lucky if you get a seat unless you book first class or super early.

2. Flybe operate largely a monopoly from a lot of their bases.

Given these two points how can they still be loss making?
I guess it depends on what you define as super early and 'ludicrously expensive'. Most train companies don't release trains for sale more than 12 weeks in advance, with promotional fares being more like 8-10 weeks in advance, I agree the experience on CrossCounty isn't great.

MAN-SOU on the 13th of December, returning on the 14th, flyBe is about £115 return, the train 227.00 (cheaper fares are available at different times, the cheapest trains are ~£115). The flight takes an hour, plus commute to/from airports, the train 4h15m for the direct options. I don't think there is much in it from a time or convenience point of view - these will vary depending on actual endpoints. It is interesting that one of the poorer intercity train companies can command a higher fare relative to air travel.
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 14:25
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Are both of these prices for open, flexible tickets? If your meeting finished early, or you had to stay an additional xtra night, what would it cost to rebook?
I agree that SOU is awkward to get to, either slow, quite frequent, but direct, or, usually quicker via London but needing to change stations. There's a reason why SOU is central to the Flybe network.
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 15:42
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Oh dear the share price 12.70p
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 15:43
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Originally Posted by fjencl
Oh dear the share price 12.70p
....give me 11.50p and I might be tempted to buy!!
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 18:30
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Originally Posted by tophat27dt
....give me 11.50p and I might be tempted to buy!!
You'd be wasting your money !
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 19:12
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As far as i'm aware, there's been no press release even for reassurance either from the CEO or anyone else senior? I think the only news has been the Stobart NQY route which hardly directs attention... It's almost as if they're wanting the share price to continue to drop...

Releasing the remainder of the summer 2019 schedules and making a song and dance about it would create positivity, stimulate bookings and pull people away from the negativity of this "profit warning" headline... Again something they seem have been holding off on for long enough now?
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 21:05
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May be there's more to come in the interim statement on 14Nov?
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Old 23rd Oct 2018, 22:27
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Originally Posted by kcockayne
You'd be wasting your money !
Thomas Cook hit lower than that, I think it was 10p sometime around 2011/12 before shooting up to £1.80 within a year or so. I think the chance of BE shares doing that are slim to nonexistent, but at current low levels even a rise of a few pennies gives big returns. Such rises could come from takeover talk for instance.
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Old 24th Oct 2018, 07:35
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Originally Posted by Cazza_fly
As far as i'm aware, there's been no press release even for reassurance either from the CEO or anyone else senior? I think the only news has been the Stobart NQY route which hardly directs attention... It's almost as if they're wanting the share price to continue to drop...

Releasing the remainder of the summer 2019 schedules and making a song and dance about it would create positivity, stimulate bookings and pull people away from the negativity of this "profit warning" headline... Again something they seem have been holding off on for long enough now?
Maybe they did not expect such a strong market response?

There is one media report today pointing to possible base closures but it's all very vague at this point:
Flybe to axe Belfast to Liverpool service from end of December - The Irish News

There was another interesting statement by Loganair yesterday which basically says the same what flybe posted in their trading update:
https://buyingbusinesstravel.com/fea...nkles-loganair

They do not expect to return to profit before 2019 and "the outlook generally is not all rosy." and then

"It’s certainly getting tougher and tougher in the industry as a whole.”He points to downward pressure on yields as customers expect cheaper fares against a background of currency movements that do not favour an industry that purchases in dollars.“A third of our cost base suddenly became one-third more expensive after (the vote for) Brexit, it equates to 10 per cent increase in overall costs. It’s challenging to be able to withhold that – the trading environment is such that you can’t pass that directly onto customers.”In addition, airlines are increasingly being hit by delay claims under EU 261, he says. Hinkles blames the compensation culture of ‘no win, no fee’ lawyers. “They are trying to push that even to include weather delays,” he adds.Another burden for the industry is the rise in airport charges, often to fund major infrastructure projects. “They are rising at six, seven, eight per cent this year. There’s no way we can recover that through ticket prices.”The industry will also have to cope with the oil price rise this year. “It will have an impact for us on the portion we have not hedged, but if the price stays there, the whole industry will run out of hedging. We have hedging in place for fuel and currency, but no-one has that in place for the end of time.”

It really looks like that we will see more market concentration over the next 6-12 months. And I don't expect IAG and alikes to be involved in this.
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Old 24th Oct 2018, 07:43
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The only way I don't see them pulling out of GLA or ABZ is concern that it allows a competitor to grow, but financially I'd imagine they'd be among the first to go.
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Old 24th Oct 2018, 09:49
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Stobart franchise to end

Stobart incurred a loss of £18m in relation to the flybe franchise according their first half report.

Jet routes at Southend to be discontinued by the end of March 2019. ATR routes go by March 2020.
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Old 24th Oct 2018, 11:17
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How long before Flybe pulls the plug on the Eastern partnership given the recent news, Easterns poor reliability and OTP can’t exactly be helping the Flybe name...
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Old 24th Oct 2018, 12:26
  #658 (permalink)  
 
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Summer 2019 on sale

Further flights have finally been released for sale until 18.9.19. So far, mainly as an extention to those already on sale and have not spotted any major changes which is actually a good thing all considering.
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Old 24th Oct 2018, 13:46
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Hopefully they get some good revenue from these forward bookings and keep afloat. I have no issues with the airline and wish all involved good luck onwards throughout the winter.
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Old 24th Oct 2018, 14:45
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Cazza_fly

Thank you !!
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