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Old 1st May 2019, 15:27
  #421 (permalink)  
 
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USERNAME_

The TUI group is one company also being put forward as one of the interested parties.
I would not put it that Transit is up for sale, but it has had some expressions of interest.
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Old 1st May 2019, 18:03
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Old 1st May 2019, 21:18
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Originally Posted by Mr @ Spotty M
The TUI group is one company also being put forward as one of the interested parties.
I would not put it that Transit is up for sale, but it has had some expressions of interest.
I'll eat my hat if TUI went in for them considering the recent reductions in the Nordics and 3rd party flying they employ in the UK. Not to mention their entirely Boeing fleet....
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Old 2nd May 2019, 06:42
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TUI would be blocked from buying TC by the EU. Too much of a monopoly.

Last edited by goldeneye; 5th May 2019 at 14:32.
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Old 2nd May 2019, 08:47
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Please note that my reference to TUI was to the post by USERNAME_, this with regards to Transit and not them buying Thomas Cook.
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Old 2nd May 2019, 12:24
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Originally Posted by goldeneye
TIUI would be blocked from buying TC by the EU. Too much of a monopoly.
Wouldn't be too much of a problem in the UK at least
I'm pretty sure those with the Sunshine tail, would love the challenge, they already kicked TCX down to 3rd in the Atol's and on course in the next few years to top TUI. On that basis (by the time the propsed merger goes through), they'd need the combined strength to compete
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Old 5th May 2019, 10:49
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Originally Posted by rog747
Can anyone concur that TCK Premium is any good for LGW-CPT ? I have seen a review that dinner is a cold sandwich in Premium!
Next March 2020 they have o/w seat for £450 (night flight) yes, a great price with 30 kgs of bags.
seems row 7 back row of cabin - I gather full recline - a good seat
A bit late... but we recently did Premium on MAN-JFK return. Very reasonable and perfectly comfortable for 7 hours.

The return was overnight at 22:00. There was a cold sandwich served after take off, and a hot breakfast 1.5 hours out of MAN. We'd had a full meal at JFK, so it was perfect for us.
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Old 5th May 2019, 12:45
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Originally Posted by goldeneye
TIUI would be blocked from buying TC by the EU. Too much of a monopoly.
However would Lufthansa be barred from buying TC? In Germany that would lead to LH having too great a share of that domestic market, but it doesn't appear to have stopped them gobbling up the competition so far.

I suspect that the UK CMA would look upon a merger of TUI and TC in a similar vein as the way they did when squashing the ASDA / Sainsburys merger; and I think for same reasons they'd be quite right to do so.
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Old 5th May 2019, 13:59
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Can anybody please confirm the full number of seats - all classes - that MT have on the MAN-JFK/SFO flights?

Many thanks

SD
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Old 5th May 2019, 14:11
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Originally Posted by ATNotts
However would Lufthansa be barred from buying TC? In Germany that would lead to LH having too great a share of that domestic market, but it doesn't appear to have stopped them gobbling up the competition so far.

I suspect that the UK CMA would look upon a merger of TUI and TC in a similar vein as the way they did when squashing the ASDA / Sainsburys merger; and I think for same reasons they'd be quite right to do so.
Yet they let BMI/BA etc go through?
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Old 5th May 2019, 14:31
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Bmi / BA went through because everyone understood Bmi was losing lots of money every year and Lufthansa would subside Bmi no more. Virgin's bid for Bmi was not taken seriously as a viable long-term business plan (or they didn't offer Lufthansa enough money) so it was either a BA takeover or Bmi closing

Is Thomas Cook (either the airline or the travel agency) at risk of closure in the next 6 months ?

Last edited by davidjohnson6; 5th May 2019 at 15:15.
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Old 5th May 2019, 15:09
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Imho a merger of TUI AND TCX flying operations would easily pass the regulatory agencies in the UK . Caveat the issues would likely be more about remaining high street shops - Here there would be issues to contend with due to dominance in that ever declining market place .

These companies are far from monopolies and there are mountain ranges of competition out there today, however much now resides in the ethereal domain of the internet, the consolidators and those flexible fares operators peddling “custom” built packages; Some even offering taxi or car hire transfers ( at less than competitive rates when looked at in more detail !)

Still it gives the millennials something to do calculating true cost viz value quotient I suppose !

That being said Thomas Cook looks to be getting some finance and bonds elsewhere right now.

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Old 5th May 2019, 22:03
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I'm not sure how a merger of Thomas Cook Airlines and TUI Airways would have relevance on high street shops. It would only become relevant if there was a merger of the tour operation, which looks highly unlikely.

Thomas Cook is likely to become a specialist hotel operator (Casa Cook etc), with its own tour operation. Fosun is said to be interested in buying this - they already own Club Med who operated on a similar model. It isn't dependant on an airline for its tour operation, and neither would Thomas Cook.
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Old 6th May 2019, 09:09
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The real problem is the fleet.
Condor have a fleet of 20+ year old A320, B757-300 and B767-300 which will need replacing soon.
Thomas Cook UK and Scandinavia have a slightly more modern fleet of 15 year old A320 and A330, and younger A321ceo.
Any new owner will be investing in an airline group where significant capital costs of fleet replacement will be required in the fairly near future.

Lufthansa may be interested in purchasing Condor and running it alongside Eurowings with a more modern A320/A330 fleet mix. But the existing Condor fleet will not bring any efficiencies. Apart from a few airport slots at FRA and MUC, there seems little benefit from what could be achieved by simply internally growing Eurowings.
Virgin may be interested in some of the A330 long-haul leisure routes, but the short-haul fleet is less appealing. The market is now dominated by easyJet and Ryanair who have their own order books of next generation Neo and Max aircraft, so little need for a non-standard A321ceo fleet. Again there is a slot holding at LGW and MAN, but nothing worth the big price tag of buying a whole airline.

So the other alternative is an investment group such as Indigo Partners. These companies are purely looking for a short term return on investment. I'm not sure they would see value in purchasing an aged fleet requiring a large future investment in fleet renewal. Particularly, when they will have no reliable income stream once the tour operator is divested from the airline.
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Old 6th May 2019, 10:02
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The paragraph concerning Indigo Partners themselves is hardly the case.

Indigo are not `flippers` it would appear witness their investment in Wizz Air & Frontier amongst others.

TCX or any airline investment come to that could become a recipient operator of part of the 430 Airbus MoU that Indigo Partners obtained.
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Old 6th May 2019, 11:13
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Originally Posted by rkenyon
A bit late... but we recently did Premium on MAN-JFK return. Very reasonable and perfectly comfortable for 7 hours.

The return was overnight at 22:00. There was a cold sandwich served after take off, and a hot breakfast 1.5 hours out of MAN. We'd had a full meal at JFK, so it was perfect for us.
Cheers for that R
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Old 6th May 2019, 11:19
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Lufty may still want Condor for the name - The Germans like it, it is a strong brand in Germany, and LH had it once - maybe LH do buy Condor, and then rename Eurowings to Condor ?

Stranger things have happened
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Old 6th May 2019, 12:07
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Originally Posted by rog747
Lufty may still want Condor for the name - The Germans like it, it is a strong brand in Germany, and LH had it once - maybe LH do buy Condor, and then rename Eurowings to Condor ?

Stranger things have happened
Eurowings must be about due for another makeover, it must be all of two years since the last one!!

In a leisure market where which carrier you fly on still carries some weight, renaming Eurowings as Condor may be a very smart move.
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Old 6th May 2019, 12:20
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The cost of acquiring rights to the Condor name may be modest. The cost of rebranding Eurowings to Condor and communicating that message across Europe will be high. The Germanwings brand was replaced by Eurowings partly to allow for neutral brand expansion (and yes, also to cut staff salaries)

There would need to be a very compelling reason for rebranding Eurowings to Condor to outweigh the costs involved
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Old 7th May 2019, 04:25
  #440 (permalink)  
 
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Most likely buyer I think, could be Indigo/ Lufthansa.
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