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Update on the Wamos 744
Looking at Fr24 its over the Bay of Biscay at FL400 tracking towards Caen ? Cherburg - ETA Brum about Midnight. GS 480 Knots - At a guess routing to Kathy (Isle of White ) and a bit before the FR24 Estimate (updated arrival time 23.55- Complex Systems ? )
Last edited by Guest 112233; 1st Jun 2019 at 21:54. Reason: ETA update - sorry for the error
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The strange thing that possibly one specific post on one other forum (I am not a member but view) seemed quite a light-hearted rebuke but personally I thought the poster actually would have known about this flight unless referring to other posts on other forums. However on the Wamos flight, I agree there are plenty of databases and source this could have been sourced from and it is just a case of who was first
Oh by the way if anyone wants to repeat the rubbish I post on here - feel free
Back to BHX, difficult week at times with Jet2 suffering some delays (see Jet2 thread) and again Flybe targeting Friday for cancellations with two Glasgow's resulting in just 3 inbound flights (out of 7) as two other flights seem to have been non-ops beforehand as well one Edinburgh cancelled.
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A sad indictment of this forum at times and often people do have an over-inflated opinion of their own importance or just sometimes we don't get their humour. I know of a few people on various BHX forums that would have access to the Wamos information and some don't seem to be able to accept the fact others working at BHX do post on various forums or share information.
The strange thing that possibly one specific post on one other forum (I am not a member but view) seemed quite a light-hearted rebuke but personally I thought the poster actually would have known about this flight unless referring to other posts on other forums. However on the Wamos flight, I agree there are plenty of databases and source this could have been sourced from and it is just a case of who was first
Oh by the way if anyone wants to repeat the rubbish I post on here - feel free
Back to BHX, difficult week at times with Jet2 suffering some delays (see Jet2 thread) and again Flybe targeting Friday for cancellations with two Glasgow's resulting in just 3 inbound flights (out of 7) as two other flights seem to have been non-ops beforehand as well one Edinburgh cancelled.
Pete
The strange thing that possibly one specific post on one other forum (I am not a member but view) seemed quite a light-hearted rebuke but personally I thought the poster actually would have known about this flight unless referring to other posts on other forums. However on the Wamos flight, I agree there are plenty of databases and source this could have been sourced from and it is just a case of who was first
Oh by the way if anyone wants to repeat the rubbish I post on here - feel free
Back to BHX, difficult week at times with Jet2 suffering some delays (see Jet2 thread) and again Flybe targeting Friday for cancellations with two Glasgow's resulting in just 3 inbound flights (out of 7) as two other flights seem to have been non-ops beforehand as well one Edinburgh cancelled.
Pete
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April CAA stats - BHX up 4.3%
Source: CAA Provisional stats April 2019 1004085 up 4.3% from 962715 in April 2018 but April 2017 was 1063571
Obviously April was an interesting month for mid and long-haul going east due to the Turkish MAX, Dubai runway maintenance, Turkmenistan ban and Pakistani airspace issues affecting India. On the positive side it has resulted in very good load factors on what did operate -
Obviously April was an interesting month for mid and long-haul going east due to the Turkish MAX, Dubai runway maintenance, Turkmenistan ban and Pakistani airspace issues affecting India. On the positive side it has resulted in very good load factors on what did operate -
- Dubai down 10% but I think a BHX record (probably not far off world record) average of 538 per flight at 87% load factor.
- Qatar as expected gained by Emirates cancellations at 12448 pax up 13% 207 per flight or 81% load factor (1 x A359),
- Pakistan 7699 up 13%, 296 per flight at 85%
- Air India down massively but 229 per flight at 89% load factor.
- Turkish was down around 1000 at 11983 averaging 127 pax or 81% - possibly slightly disappointing considering the number of cancellations.
Usual disclaimer re the above - I used FR24 for the number of rotations and we know how risky that is although still an excellent source even if you do have to pay for that little bit of extra information.
How many routes around the world average 538 per flight for a whole month (Manchester was over 500 as well - I made it around 521).
Note - if you download the Excel version of the International Route Analysis it gives you the March figures but the PDF version is fine, This is for BHX and I haven't checked other airports.
Pete
Note - if you download the Excel version of the International Route Analysis it gives you the March figures but the PDF version is fine, This is for BHX and I haven't checked other airports.
Pete
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Ryanair Christmas extra flights
As in previous years the 4th based aircraft is activated from Thursday 19 December until Monday 6 January and extras to around the 8th.Some routes are more straightforward than others:
Thursday - RMU (Murcia) based and Krakow but 26th and 2nd away based. Modlin away based 19/12 & 2/1
Friday - BZG & TFS based plus Alicante away based
Saturday - MAD & MLA based
Sunday - KTW and an extra Gdansk basd making two departures within an hour
Monday - BZG
Tuesday - AGP (24 & 31) Arrecife 24th & 31st, Verona on the 31st only
Wednesday Verona on the 1st and Madrid restarts on a Wednesday
Madrid which is reduced this winter for the first time ever to three a week during off-peak" but is up to 5 a week over Christmas and New Year and the Saturday extra is a fist I think on a BHX based aircraft.
It is possible I might have missed some as there are gaps but all looks pretty similar to the last few years.
Pete
Pete
Thursday - RMU (Murcia) based and Krakow but 26th and 2nd away based. Modlin away based 19/12 & 2/1
Friday - BZG & TFS based plus Alicante away based
Saturday - MAD & MLA based
Sunday - KTW and an extra Gdansk basd making two departures within an hour
Monday - BZG
Tuesday - AGP (24 & 31) Arrecife 24th & 31st, Verona on the 31st only
Wednesday Verona on the 1st and Madrid restarts on a Wednesday
Madrid which is reduced this winter for the first time ever to three a week during off-peak" but is up to 5 a week over Christmas and New Year and the Saturday extra is a fist I think on a BHX based aircraft.
It is possible I might have missed some as there are gaps but all looks pretty similar to the last few years.
Pete
Pete
Last edited by OltonPete; 7th Jun 2019 at 12:15. Reason: formatting
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April Route Analysis - Provisional
Source: CAA for the passenger figure and some rotations for 2018 (2018 average pax should be accurate) and FR24 for 2019, which will mean some inaccuracies. For load factors I used various aviation and airline websites. Note, these are Schedule routes only but include Thomas Cook and not TUI, which is not my choice just the way the CAA process the figures.
The 2017 figures are also shown and as you can see some routes such as Lisbon and Gibraltar remain vacant. Some 2018 load factors have not been calculated as aircraft types (configs) are not known on certain days.
Some explanations needed as some big swings on certain routes.
Vienna, not much change but disappointing in as much as fewer frequencies and low factor not reflecting the change as hoped.
Brussels is a huge difference as it was the A319 the year before and only a 3% improvement in load factor so no problem filling the A319 but no doubt cheaper on the CRJ9.
As for Star Alliance European routes, Munich has seem more capacity via bigger aircraft, Frankfurt steady but Copenhagen shrinking. Zurich is a mystery as there were a few non-ops flights - so pre-planned cancellations which would explain for some loss of pax.
I think Amsterdam saw a reduction of one Flybe and one KLM daily flight although more seats on existing services for the latter but a remarkable load factor.
Not really much comment on the FR and Jet2 routes although a few seem to able to take more capacity but again I suppose why risk yields if you can fill them at current prices.
Flybe again seem not be affected by the takeover too much and although some routes were down, overall they look fine - superficially of course.
easyjet ended daily GVA at with the beginning of April rather than mid-April and hence the reduction but load factors improved (and hopefully yields) although prices went south in late April which is no surprise.
Wizz loads seem generally okay if not spectacular as I believe their network wide load factor is a bit higher (May was 93%).
Long-haul/medium-haul was excellent considering what went on although perhaps it might have been hoped that Qatar would gain more from the Dubai runway closure. Turkish you could say is not moving that much but hampered this year by the MAX problems.
Pakistan is still below 2017 in terms of passenger figures but better load factors.
Dublin, Shannon and Cork were affected by the rugby semi-final at the Ricoh with no doubt some light inbound and outbound legs at times.
Pete
The 2017 figures are also shown and as you can see some routes such as Lisbon and Gibraltar remain vacant. Some 2018 load factors have not been calculated as aircraft types (configs) are not known on certain days.
Some explanations needed as some big swings on certain routes.
Vienna, not much change but disappointing in as much as fewer frequencies and low factor not reflecting the change as hoped.
Brussels is a huge difference as it was the A319 the year before and only a 3% improvement in load factor so no problem filling the A319 but no doubt cheaper on the CRJ9.
As for Star Alliance European routes, Munich has seem more capacity via bigger aircraft, Frankfurt steady but Copenhagen shrinking. Zurich is a mystery as there were a few non-ops flights - so pre-planned cancellations which would explain for some loss of pax.
I think Amsterdam saw a reduction of one Flybe and one KLM daily flight although more seats on existing services for the latter but a remarkable load factor.
Not really much comment on the FR and Jet2 routes although a few seem to able to take more capacity but again I suppose why risk yields if you can fill them at current prices.
Flybe again seem not be affected by the takeover too much and although some routes were down, overall they look fine - superficially of course.
easyjet ended daily GVA at with the beginning of April rather than mid-April and hence the reduction but load factors improved (and hopefully yields) although prices went south in late April which is no surprise.
Wizz loads seem generally okay if not spectacular as I believe their network wide load factor is a bit higher (May was 93%).
Long-haul/medium-haul was excellent considering what went on although perhaps it might have been hoped that Qatar would gain more from the Dubai runway closure. Turkish you could say is not moving that much but hampered this year by the MAX problems.
Pakistan is still below 2017 in terms of passenger figures but better load factors.
Dublin, Shannon and Cork were affected by the rugby semi-final at the Ricoh with no doubt some light inbound and outbound legs at times.
Pete
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Wizz Air changed winter schedulles and now 6 hours will separate Wroclaw - Birmingham and Birmingham - Wroclaw. Most likely they will announce a new route to an airport that is not their base to be operated as out of base rotation with this Wroclaw based aircraft.
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Wizz & Air India Amritsar
This would mean a new route surely rather than one of the other services retimed?
Air India
Now put back until Tuesday 17 September, which I assume reflects what is still going on with their neighbours
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Turkish July 2019
Less cancellations and quite a few upgrades, including one widebody:
Thu 4th am A321
Wed 10th am A320
Fri 19th pm A321
Wed 24th am Cnx
Sat 27th am A321
Sun 28th am A321 pm A321
Mon 29th am A321 pm A333
Tue 30th pm A321
Wed 31st pm Cnx
Less cancellations and quite a few upgrades, including one widebody:
Thu 4th am A321
Wed 10th am A320
Fri 19th pm A321
Wed 24th am Cnx
Sat 27th am A321
Sun 28th am A321 pm A321
Mon 29th am A321 pm A333
Tue 30th pm A321
Wed 31st pm Cnx
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Blue Air - Larnaca winter
Reported on another forum there isn't any winter flights showing to Larnaca
I can't say I always remember to check Blue Air but OTP is bookable.
I seem to remember summer 19 was put on sale reasonably late.
Coincidentally Larnaca now 5 a week for the first time with Wednesday operating until mid September.
Winter is looking threadbare to Larnaca as Jet2 and TUI operate for a few weeks only.
Pete
I can't say I always remember to check Blue Air but OTP is bookable.
I seem to remember summer 19 was put on sale reasonably late.
Coincidentally Larnaca now 5 a week for the first time with Wednesday operating until mid September.
Winter is looking threadbare to Larnaca as Jet2 and TUI operate for a few weeks only.
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Larnaca has very poor winter service from the whole of the UK; These days most of the charters and quasi schedules go into Paphos catering for the villa owner market especially near Christmas.
THE EASTERN COAST RESORTS ARE DEAD AFTER THE END OF SEPTEMBER !
Indeed from November through to April the weather isn’t exactly brilliant either .
Spent the entire month of February in Dekalia some years ago on a construction project for the MOD and it was seriously cold and wet . Indeed went up Trudos on one weekend skiing !
Cyprus isn’t a winter sun resort island !
THE EASTERN COAST RESORTS ARE DEAD AFTER THE END OF SEPTEMBER !
Indeed from November through to April the weather isn’t exactly brilliant either .
Spent the entire month of February in Dekalia some years ago on a construction project for the MOD and it was seriously cold and wet . Indeed went up Trudos on one weekend skiing !
Cyprus isn’t a winter sun resort island !
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Larnaca
Larnaca has very poor winter service from the whole of the UK; These days most of the charters and quasi schedules go into Paphos catering for the villa owner market especially near Christmas.
THE EASTERN COAST RESORTS ARE DEAD AFTER THE END OF SEPTEMBER !
Indeed from November through to April the weather isn’t exactly brilliant either .
Spent the entire month of February in Dekalia some years ago on a construction project for the MOD and it was seriously cold and wet . Indeed went up Trudos on one weekend skiing !
Cyprus isn’t a winter sun resort island !
THE EASTERN COAST RESORTS ARE DEAD AFTER THE END OF SEPTEMBER !
Indeed from November through to April the weather isn’t exactly brilliant either .
Spent the entire month of February in Dekalia some years ago on a construction project for the MOD and it was seriously cold and wet . Indeed went up Trudos on one weekend skiing !
Cyprus isn’t a winter sun resort island !
However I have gone back as far as December 2000 and BHX has maintained some kind of service and I even remember Cyprus Airways schedule running all winter but with abysmal loads and perhaps just a sign of the times.
I am sure if there was money to be made Jet2 would extend the season and they clearly draw the line at mid November.
I even seem to remember several years ago (pre-Loco) an article suggesting a proposal to close Paphos for January and February let alone Larnaca, of course this didn't come to pass..
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