Manchester-2
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Join Date: Aug 1999
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Manchester Statistics - May 2019
Introduction
Back in September 2015 I decided that I should start to correlate statistics for Manchester and use 2005 as a reference point for historical data. My file now consists of 14 years of monthly figures and 486 destinations that have been served from Manchester over that period.
Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.
No new destinations were served in May 2019.
Million passenger routes (Rolling annual figures)
Amsterdam - 1,048,038 passengers
The following domestic statistics are missing from the CAA report for May.
Neither Belfast City nor Belfast International and Exeter have reported for this month
In May 2018 these accounted for 63,527 passengers.
Moving monthly and annual figures - based on CAA statistics/MAG statistics
Monthly passengers - 2,644,546 +5.78%
Annual Total - 10,694,668
Moving Annual Total - 28,982,780 +3.83%
Monthly Movements - 18,609 +1.42%
Annual Movements - 77.188
Moving Annual Movements - 202,372 +0.22%
Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers
Top 25 destinations with highest percentage increase
Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic
Comparison of top 25 destinations - May 2009 versus May 2019
Major changes to Domestic traffic
CAA statistics for May are provisional.
As a separate item I have now started to analyse May's statistics to obtain load factors on certain routes
Introduction
Back in September 2015 I decided that I should start to correlate statistics for Manchester and use 2005 as a reference point for historical data. My file now consists of 14 years of monthly figures and 486 destinations that have been served from Manchester over that period.
Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.
No new destinations were served in May 2019.
Million passenger routes (Rolling annual figures)
Amsterdam - 1,048,038 passengers
The following domestic statistics are missing from the CAA report for May.
Neither Belfast City nor Belfast International and Exeter have reported for this month
In May 2018 these accounted for 63,527 passengers.
Moving monthly and annual figures - based on CAA statistics/MAG statistics
Monthly passengers - 2,644,546 +5.78%
Annual Total - 10,694,668
Moving Annual Total - 28,982,780 +3.83%
Monthly Movements - 18,609 +1.42%
Annual Movements - 77.188
Moving Annual Movements - 202,372 +0.22%
Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers
Top 25 destinations with highest percentage increase
Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic
Comparison of top 25 destinations - May 2009 versus May 2019
Major changes to Domestic traffic
CAA statistics for May are provisional.
As a separate item I have now started to analyse May's statistics to obtain load factors on certain routes
Join Date: Apr 2019
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Great work Scottie Dog. Some interesting analysis here. Some of the American routes seem to be doing well in May accept for Boston for some reason.
Some low load factors for a number of airlines though. Is May sometimes a slow month for routes heading East?
Eithopian is a little low but I think this route needs more time to bed in.
Is the MAN - BGW catering for oil & gas workers with high fares or is it catering for local Iraqis & Kurds visiting home? I remember Libyan Airlines running a similar service not to long ago.
Hainan seems to be fairing quite well with other airlines heading East in May.
Some low load factors for a number of airlines though. Is May sometimes a slow month for routes heading East?
Eithopian is a little low but I think this route needs more time to bed in.
Is the MAN - BGW catering for oil & gas workers with high fares or is it catering for local Iraqis & Kurds visiting home? I remember Libyan Airlines running a similar service not to long ago.
Hainan seems to be fairing quite well with other airlines heading East in May.
Ethiopian is a difficult one as we are the second city after Brussels which is well established so I guess we get what Brussels can`t fill or at least not the major share
Iraqi carries a lot of security people or advisors who seem to have bottomless pockets as fares are HIGH
Chinese operators don`t work like the rest of the world so who knows if they are happy but as it looks as if the second route is going to happen with another airline they probably are
Boston started later this year so we will have to wait until June figures are out
Iraqi carries a lot of security people or advisors who seem to have bottomless pockets as fares are HIGH
Chinese operators don`t work like the rest of the world so who knows if they are happy but as it looks as if the second route is going to happen with another airline they probably are
Boston started later this year so we will have to wait until June figures are out
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A couple of observations - already partially covered by chaps1954. According to the ACL Start of Season report for S19 Ethiopian have 135 seats per flight from Manchester. This equates to approximately 30% of the aircraft capacity and so if this is correct then the Manchester loads are within an acceptable level.
Singapore Airlines is a harder one to ascertain as the aircraft operates as a through service from Singapore to Houston. Again according to the ACL report the number of seats available from Manchester to Houston is 194 against the aircraft capacity of 253. On this basis Manchester should be looking for a load-factor of approximately 74% of the full aircraft configuration to be operating at 100%.
In both cases I have used the total aircraft capacity for my calculations.
The load-factor calculations of mine are still in their infancy as I am finding, for an example that both Air Transat and Thomas Cook don't stick to a single flight number on a route, but have multiple numbers. I'm doing a daily search of the FR24 database to find anything that I've missed - in the same way that Emirates have various configurations on their A380 and therefore, to be truly accurate, I need to check exactly which aircraft is being used in each flight.
I hope that helps a little.
Singapore Airlines is a harder one to ascertain as the aircraft operates as a through service from Singapore to Houston. Again according to the ACL report the number of seats available from Manchester to Houston is 194 against the aircraft capacity of 253. On this basis Manchester should be looking for a load-factor of approximately 74% of the full aircraft configuration to be operating at 100%.
In both cases I have used the total aircraft capacity for my calculations.
The load-factor calculations of mine are still in their infancy as I am finding, for an example that both Air Transat and Thomas Cook don't stick to a single flight number on a route, but have multiple numbers. I'm doing a daily search of the FR24 database to find anything that I've missed - in the same way that Emirates have various configurations on their A380 and therefore, to be truly accurate, I need to check exactly which aircraft is being used in each flight.
I hope that helps a little.
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Scroll past them then, Sinbad. For ex-pats like me it's great to see how the face of the airport is changing. Thanks to Scottie Dog for taking the time to upload them.
Given that this forum is intended to discuss airlines, airports and routes I don't think that having updates on the airport development are inappropriate.
Given that this forum is intended to discuss airlines, airports and routes I don't think that having updates on the airport development are inappropriate.
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I've just 'tweaked' the figures for Ethiopian Airlines, which routes via Brussels, and Singapore Airlines to reflect the actual number of seats that I understand are offered on their routes, as against the aircraft capacity which I had used in my chart.
On this basis we get the following:
Ethiopian Airlines - 57.88% (assuming Manchester is limited to 135 seats - available seats varies between 270-315 dependant on aircraft type)
Singapore Airlines - Houston - 63.33%(assuming Manchester is limited to 194 seats out of 253)
Singapore Airlines - Singapore - 74.62% (assuming Manchester is limited to 194 seats out of 253)
You also have to remember that freight can make a big difference as to how viable a route can be and, I am led to believe that Manchester almost fills the Ethiopian aircraft on each operation.
On this basis we get the following:
Ethiopian Airlines - 57.88% (assuming Manchester is limited to 135 seats - available seats varies between 270-315 dependant on aircraft type)
Singapore Airlines - Houston - 63.33%(assuming Manchester is limited to 194 seats out of 253)
Singapore Airlines - Singapore - 74.62% (assuming Manchester is limited to 194 seats out of 253)
You also have to remember that freight can make a big difference as to how viable a route can be and, I am led to believe that Manchester almost fills the Ethiopian aircraft on each operation.
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The Boston route only resumed late May and the number of seats I believe reflects 6 sectors (3 return trips). If pax on the route are primarily MAN originating, it's likely the early return sectors would be very lightly loaded. However, I'm surprised that doesn't appear to have applied to LAX which has a high LF. Is that 5 sectors from VS Scottie? When did TCX resume the route?
SFO with TCX also has a high LF, and personally I was surprised VS dropped that route, leaving it to TCX, while TCX dropped BOS for VS to be the sole operator. I would have thought VS could have benefitted through Virgin Holidays / Fly-Drives of flying into one airport and out from the other but no doubt there were good reasons for what happened.
Many thanks for all the stats Scottie.
SFO with TCX also has a high LF, and personally I was surprised VS dropped that route, leaving it to TCX, while TCX dropped BOS for VS to be the sole operator. I would have thought VS could have benefitted through Virgin Holidays / Fly-Drives of flying into one airport and out from the other but no doubt there were good reasons for what happened.
Many thanks for all the stats Scottie.
You would think someone could satisfy the demand for LGW. A figure of 27000 should support a double daily 6 days a week?
PS The "demand" comes from me - I would use that route over my current options of train via Euston or BA to LHR and bus..........
PS The "demand" comes from me - I would use that route over my current options of train via Euston or BA to LHR and bus..........
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SFO with TCX also has a high LF, and personally I was surprised VS dropped that route, leaving it to TCX, while TCX dropped BOS for VS to be the sole operator. I would have thought VS could have benefitted through Virgin Holidays / Fly-Drives of flying into one airport and out from the other but no doubt there were good reasons for what happened.
Many thanks for all the stats Scottie.
Many thanks for all the stats Scottie.
Last edited by brian_dromey; 5th Jul 2019 at 11:20.
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Maybe a point 2 point service without any onwards connections would work well. I'm not sure either airport would be keen on a hub airline connecting traffic because of leakage. Can't see it happening though. Route has been dead for to long. Didn't we used to have a point 2 point Stansted service as well?
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Scroll past them then, Sinbad. For ex-pats like me it's great to see how the face of the airport is changing. Thanks to Scottie Dog for taking the time to upload them.
Given that this forum is intended to discuss airlines, airports and routes I don't think that having updates on the airport development are inappropriate.
Given that this forum is intended to discuss airlines, airports and routes I don't think that having updates on the airport development are inappropriate.
