Manchester-2

[Scottie Dog]

Manchester Statistics - August 2019

Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.

No new routes

Million passenger routes (Rolling annual figures)
Amsterdam - 1,055,088 passengers

The following domestic statistics are missing from the CAA report for August.
Belfast City & London City have not reported for this month
In August 2018 these accounted for 27,904 passengers.

Moving monthly and annual figures - based on CAA statistics/MAG statistics
Monthly passengers - 3,336,826 + 5.79%
Annual Total – 14,523,228 + 5.41%
Moving Annual Total - 29,402,454 + 4.99%

Monthly Movements - 20,791 + 3.07%
Annual Movements – 95,690 +2.19%
Moving Annual Movements - 203,729 + 1.44%

Manchester Airport's August statistics

Top destinations with highest percentage increase.

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers


Figures for the European and long-haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic.

Istanbul figures are affected by the start of the Pegasus service to Sabiha Gokcen airport which I now show separately.

Comparison of top 25 destinations - August 2009 versus August 2019


Major changes to Domestic traffic

CAA statistics for August are provisional.

[DUB19]

Originally Posted by Scottie Dog

Manchester Statistics - August 2019

Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.

No new routes

Million passenger routes (Rolling annual figures)
Amsterdam - 1,055,088 passengers

The following domestic statistics are missing from the CAA report for August.
Belfast City & London City have not reported for this month
In August 2018 these accounted for 27,904 passengers.

Moving monthly and annual figures - based on CAA statistics/MAG statistics
Monthly passengers - 3,336,826 + 5.79%
Annual Total – 14,523,228 + 5.41%
Moving Annual Total - 29,402,454 + 4.99%

Monthly Movements - 20,791 + 3.07%
Annual Movements – 95,690 +2.19%
Moving Annual Movements - 203,729 + 1.44%

Manchester Airport's August statistics

Top destinations with highest percentage increase.

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers


Figures for the European and long-haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic.

Istanbul figures are affected by the start of the Pegasus service to Sabiha Gokcen airport which I now show separately.

Comparison of top 25 destinations - August 2009 versus August 2019


Major changes to Domestic traffic

CAA statistics for August are provisional.

Load factors analysis on certain routes

Calculations are based of FlightRadar24 for days of flight operation, Planespotter.net for Seat Plans and CAA data for monthly figures.

some of the LFs aren’t great, such as Singapore Airlines and Saudia,Unless the yields are strong

[CabinCrewe]

Originally Posted by DUB19

some of the LFs aren’t great, such as Singapore Airlines and Saudia,Unless the yields are strong

Oooft! not great. IAH, Iraq, Ethiopian, Saudia all pretty dire. They surely can't be sustainable. Doubt anyone believes they're being bolstered by yields.

[eggc]

MAN doesnt get 100% of the a/c to IAH, SIN or ADD, all are shared with SIN, IAH or BRU. Fares to Iraq are sky high and SV will be probably mostly be used by business, so I'd suggest yeilds aint that bad.

[Scottie Dog]

Originally Posted by CabinCrewe

Oooft! not great. IAH, Iraq, Ethiopian, Saudia all pretty dire. They surely can't be sustainable. Doubt anyone believes they're being bolstered by yields.

You have to remember that both IAH & ADD are split loads. What I don't know is what the split is for Manchester? Does MAN have 50pc, 30pc of the seats allocated to them - I don't know. Remember the flown seats are presumably the uplift at MAN and therefore the load-factor might need adjusting accordingly.
With regards to BGW & JED yes, i would agree but I understand that IA are able to charge high fares which should, if true, give a reasonable yield on a lowish load. What freight does SV carry - a good cargo figure could offset a lower passenger number.
These are only my thoughts as a non-airport person.

[chaps1954]

I was told that ETH only allocated 30% of seats to Manchester but has a good uplift of cargo, there are due to be quite a few B772 this winter so guess all OK ( ps someone I know said loads out of Brussels are very high)

[Mr Good Cat]

Quick question:

The terminal extension was planned to be open by summer next year but now hearing from MAN-based colleagues that it has been delayed until autumn as it’s six months behind schedule.

Is this official? Not seen anything in the aviation press but maybe it’s appeared in the local papers?

[Rutan16]

Originally Posted by Scottie Dog

You have to remember that both IAH & ADD are split loads. What I don't know is what the split is for Manchester? Does MAN have 50pc, 30pc of the seats allocated to them - I don't know. Remember the flown seats are presumably the uplift at MAN and therefore the load-factor might need adjusting accordingly.
With regards to BGW & JED yes, i would agree but I understand that IA are able to charge high fares which should, if true, give a reasonable yield on a lowish load. What freight does SV carry - a good cargo figure could offset a lower passenger number.
These are only my thoughts as a non-airport person.

Both the Iraqi and Saudia flight have huge subsidies (block booking and guaranteed revenue) from BAe Systems and certain other government and private security agencies that shall remain nameless (quite number coming from places rather close to Telford, in North Wales and around Warrington). And some pilgrim traffic to boot - Yes even the Iraqi flight carries a number of Shia pilgrims going to Najaf.
Singapore ship a magnitude of boxes both west and east ! and the available seats available for Manchester varies. Revenue targets and yield more than adequate one would have thought

Ethiopian only one of any concern , however again loads of boxes going in the belly and some home office support in bolstering the cabin from time to time , along with NGOs . They need to address the backfill through with those paying customers with their African connection advantages .
If they cant do that it tells us all how weak sub Saharan traffic demand from the North of England is in reality.

[Betablockeruk]

Biman now bookable on website. 3 weekly with 788 from 4th Jan

[Matty Rich 83]

Originally Posted by Mr Good Cat

Quick question:

The terminal extension was planned to be open by summer next year but now hearing from MAN-based colleagues that it has been delayed until autumn as it’s six months behind schedule.

Is this official? Not seen anything in the aviation press but maybe it’s appeared in the local papers?

Not heard anything myself but from what I have seen via the many photos it looks on schedule. Summer 2020 is the opening which I suppose could be anytime until September next year

[Scottie Dog]

I had it in my mind that April had been quoted previously.

[eggc]

It was April, but it wont be April.

[Ex Cargo Clown]

SQ an ET are distorted as we've already established.

SV is a strange route as it's sort of seasonable with the Hadj.

Sep/Oct figures will just look very weird with TCX etc.

[Nostoodian]

Originally Posted by Ex Cargo Clown

SQ an ET are distorted as we've already established.

SV is a strange route as it's sort of seasonable with the Hadj.

Sep/Oct figures will just look very weird with TCX etc.

In the next couple of years as Saudi Arabia relaxes its visa regulations and opens up to mass tourism, the Saudi route may well see an increase in loads.

[back to Boeing]

Originally Posted by eggc

It was April, but it wont be April.

Depends which April!!

[CabinCrewe]

Originally Posted by Nostoodian

In the next couple of years as Saudi Arabia relaxes its visa regulations and opens up to mass tourism, the Saudi route may well see an increase in loads.

That route cant last til' then surely with those loads?

[Nostoodian]

Originally Posted by CabinCrewe

That route cant last til' then surely with those loads?

The loads have been worse than this in the past and the route is still going. Heavily subsided by the Saudi Government and plenty of cargo in the belly obviously making it a viable route.

[Rutan16]

Originally Posted by CabinCrewe

That route cant last til' then surely with those loads?

Why again it’s massively subsided by BAE Systems both mid cabin and in the belly .Yield is adequate.

Tickets at the back are cream but ain’t cheap most of the time

Please stop applying pure capitalist profit loss and bums on seats methods- they are irrelevant here and In the case of the weekly Iraqi service

[CabinCrewe]

Originally Posted by Rutan16

Why again it’s massively subsided by BAE Systems both mid cabin and in the belly .Yield is adequate.

Tickets at the back are cream but ain’t cheap most of the time

Please stop applying pure capitalist profit loss and bums on seats methods- they are irrelevant here and In the case of the weekly Iraqi service

Experience suggests otherwise. There is a sweetspot and this aint it. We'll see what remains in a year or two...
Meanwhile, BE MAN-GLA gone.

[Rutan16]

You don’t know what that sweet spot is or indeed the depth of the BAE Systems contract I have an idea on the boxes alone !

There Heathrow flights rarerly touch much over 60% cabin loads either.

Saudia go where the family and BIG business want them to and let me the you BAE Systems are HUGELY important to the Saudi’s . That freight is their very life line I can tell you. Oh and yes they’re projecting the Saudi Whiabi ”message” at the same time

These flights are part of the reason you no longer see to many 4 and 12th squadron Hercs these days!