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Old 26th Jan 2019, 08:25
  #861 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by bycrewlgw


wasnt the reason why they increased the prices last time is that FR didn’t deliver on its 2 flights a day to Dublin though or was it a base? Can’t remember now :-)
I don't think it was ever confirmed, and was always rumour that CWL wouldn't do a deal with FR that would meet FR's requirements. Things were very different back then, it must've been 2006. That was when TUI were growing, bmiBaby were still growing, there were numerous other Tour Operators like Goldtrail still going, long haul was growing and things were looking up at the Airport. I'm not sure of timescales for FR pulling out but Air Wales folder in April 2006 too. The Airport were probably being a bit over confident and thinking they didn't need to make deals with FR. Things have taken a big change since then, and there's a lot less options for CWL and Airlines to pitch towards due to so much consolidation happening in recent years.
FR seem to be working well with CWL at the moment, especially after the recent APD press release, but no Airline will favour good relationships over business, especially FR. Provided FR are getting what they want, they will stay, if they don't, they'll pull the plug. You could argue that is whats happening at BRS at the moment. EZY and TUI/TCX are dominant in their markets at the moment. Why FR haven't expanded is anyones guess. BRS may not be willing to give FR the deals they want and are comfortable that their other carriers will pick up the routes, that where FR are being stagnant and looking to the other Airports in the region, (CWL, EXT, NQY, BOH) that you could argue are desperate and all have catchments that are leaking to BRS.
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 08:55
  #862 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by caaardiff
I don't think it was ever confirmed, and was always rumour that CWL wouldn't do a deal with FR that would meet FR's requirements. Things were very different back then, it must've been 2006. That was when TUI were growing, bmiBaby were still growing, there were numerous other Tour Operators like Goldtrail still going, long haul was growing and things were looking up at the Airport. I'm not sure of timescales for FR pulling out but Air Wales folder in April 2006 too. The Airport were probably being a bit over confident and thinking they didn't need to make deals with FR. Things have taken a big change since then, and there's a lot less options for CWL and Airlines to pitch towards due to so much consolidation happening in recent years.
FR seem to be working well with CWL at the moment, especially after the recent APD press release, but no Airline will favour good relationships over business, especially FR. Provided FR are getting what they want, they will stay, if they don't, they'll pull the plug. You could argue that is whats happening at BRS at the moment. EZY and TUI/TCX are dominant in their markets at the moment. Why FR haven't expanded is anyones guess. BRS may not be willing to give FR the deals they want and are comfortable that their other carriers will pick up the routes, that where FR are being stagnant and looking to the other Airports in the region, (CWL, EXT, NQY, BOH) that you could argue are desperate and all have catchments that are leaking to BRS.

Just for the record can I reiterate once again that Air Wales didn't fold or go bust or have unpaid debts. The decision was taken to cease commercial operations. Two very different things!
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 11:25
  #863 (permalink)  

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Originally Posted by caaardiff
FR seem to be working well with CWL at the moment, especially after the recent APD press release, but no Airline will favour good relationships over business, especially FR. Provided FR are getting what they want, they will stay, if they don't, they'll pull the plug. You could argue that is whats happening at BRS at the moment. EZY and TUI/TCX are dominant in their markets at the moment. Why FR haven't expanded is anyones guess. BRS may not be willing to give FR the deals they want and are comfortable that their other carriers will pick up the routes, that where FR are being stagnant and looking to the other Airports in the region, (CWL, EXT, NQY, BOH) that you could argue are desperate and all have catchments that are leaking to BRS.
Ryanair has stagnated to a degree at BRS in recent summers: 2016 27 destinations; 2017 29 destinations; 2018 32 destinations; 2019 31 destinations (Reus yet to appear) but within this there have been frequency tweaks to accommodate the additional routes, giving a broadly flat pattern of overall seating capacity in recent summers.

Winter is entirely different with Ryanair expanding at BRS each winter over the past four winters (as is easyJet), from 15 destinations in winter 15/16 to 25 destinations in the current winter with seating capacity up over 60% during that period. Ryanair and easyJet have competed on the main sun routes for many years but increasingly Ryanair is replicating some of easyJet's non-sun routes such as Krakow, Venice MP and (new for this winter) Seville and Sofia.

It might not be then that Ryanair isn't getting the deal it wants with BRS but rather it recognises that CWL has been under provisioned for many years and now is the time to do something about it - in particular with the main sun routes. For example, in 2007 which was CWL's best ever year with nearly 2.1 million passengers Palma handled 170,000 passengers, Alicante 161,000 and Malaga 150,000. In 2017, despite Vueling and the charter carriers, the figures were respectively 112,000, 105,000 and 85,000.

CWL has invariably done well with its sun routes in the main summer period in terms of passenger numbers - as always I know that high loads anywhere don't necessarily bring successful yields - so perhaps it's something of a surprise that airlines haven't sought to exploit this particular market more quickly as the airport recovers from its nadir in 2012.

Originally Posted by cymru
But have Vueling reduced capacity to Barcelona and Malaga compared to last summer or has it remained the same?
Vueling is not operating Barcelona from CWL in summer 2019.
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 12:39
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Originally Posted by cymru
Great news FR have added another route and the number of Welsh passengers flying to Malaga from Bristol still should easily be able to fill these once they are aware of the option of the CWL flight. But have Vueling reduced capacity to Barcelona and Malaga compared to last summer or has it remained the same?
Vueling dropped BCN and Ryanair took it over.
Malaga is 5 weekly same as last year
PMI is 4 weekly same as last year
Alicante is 6 weekly up 1 weekly form last year
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 13:36
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Originally Posted by caaardiff
I don't think it was ever confirmed, and was always rumour that CWL wouldn't do a deal with FR that would meet FR's requirements. Things were very different back then, it must've been 2006. That was when TUI were growing, bmiBaby were still growing, there were numerous other Tour Operators like Goldtrail still going, long haul was growing and things were looking up at the Airport. I'm not sure of timescales for FR pulling out but Air Wales folder in April 2006 too. The Airport were probably being a bit over confident and thinking they didn't need to make deals with FR. Things have taken a big change since then, and there's a lot less options for CWL and Airlines to pitch towards due to so much consolidation happening in recent years.
FR seem to be working well with CWL at the moment, especially after the recent APD press release, but no Airline will favour good relationships over business, especially FR. Provided FR are getting what they want, they will stay, if they don't, they'll pull the plug. You could argue that is whats happening at BRS at the moment. EZY and TUI/TCX are dominant in their markets at the moment. Why FR haven't expanded is anyones guess. BRS may not be willing to give FR the deals they want and are comfortable that their other carriers will pick up the routes, that where FR are being stagnant and looking to the other Airports in the region, (CWL, EXT, NQY, BOH) that you could argue are desperate and all have catchments that are leaking to BRS.

Bristol is not alone in stagnant Ryanair growth - Birmingham Leeds and East Midlands are the same. If Ryanair wanted to it could have expanded in a big way at bhx when monarch collapsed. I just don’t think the UK regional bases interest Ryanair too greatly at the moment.
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 15:00
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It might be a case of that in those airports Ryanair hasn't be offered a good enough deal to expand compared to other airports across Europe. They have expanded quite a lot lately into Ukriane and Israel and Germany and the UK regional airports are up against that competition just as much as their local competition which for CWL would be BRS and BHX. I doubt APD helps many of the smaller UK airports in attracting routes from them when they can deploy the aircraft to places that don't have that.
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 15:07
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Originally Posted by marko1



Bristol is not alone in stagnant Ryanair growth - Birmingham Leeds and East Midlands are the same. If Ryanair wanted to it could have expanded in a big way at bhx when monarch collapsed. I just don’t think the UK regional bases interest Ryanair too greatly at the moment.
I heard something passing on BBC Radio 4 I think it was, that in the event of a no deal Brexit (sorry for mentioning the "B" word!) the EU would permit continued operations by British carriers but capped at similar levels to 2018. I'd not heard that before, but I suppose given the preeminence of London in UK, perhaps currently the regions, away from London and Manchester are feeling the effects of a potential no deal.

I may have heard wrongly, or the information broadcast may have been imprecise, so please don't shoot the messenger!
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 15:33
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Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL on common rules ensuring basic air connectivity with regard to the withdrawal of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the Union

Subject to Articles 4 and 5, in the provision of scheduled air transport services pursuant to this Regulation, the total seasonal capacity to be provided by UK air carriers for routes between the United Kingdom and each Member State shall not exceed the total number of frequencies operated by those carriers on those routes during respectively the IATA winter and summer seasons of the year of 2018
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 21:32
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Note that this restricts UK airlines to 2018 frequencies, but EU carriers can expand.
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Old 26th Jan 2019, 21:40
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Originally Posted by LGS6753
Note that this restricts UK airlines to 2018 frequencies, but EU carriers can expand.
Because it's talking about what access a non-member country will have to the EU market.

Clearly the UK will also be able to control access to it's own market.
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Old 27th Jan 2019, 09:45
  #871 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by SWBKCB
Because it's talking about what access a non-member country will have to the EU market.

Clearly the UK will also be able to control access to it's own market.
Doubt even May's government is daft enough to do that!
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Old 27th Jan 2019, 11:20
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Originally Posted by ATNotts
Doubt even May's government is daft enough to do that!
So we would allow EU airlines uncontrolled access to the UK, when UK access to the EU is controlled?

Apologies for going off topic
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Old 28th Jan 2019, 07:13
  #873 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by SWBKCB
So we would allow EU airlines uncontrolled access to the UK, when UK access to the EU is controlled?

Apologies for going off topic
I only say that as to do so would be (another) potentially self inflicted wound.
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Old 29th Jan 2019, 12:13
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Cardiff Airports annual update.
https://www.cardiff-airport.com/news...l-update-2019/
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Old 30th Jan 2019, 13:43
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737 700 for 5 weeks from KLM starting 24th February
https://twitter.com/Cardiff_Airport/status/1090619742212235264?s=19
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Old 30th Jan 2019, 14:23
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It's an extra flight a day!
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Old 30th Jan 2019, 15:31
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Are KLM just increasing CWL flights over this period or also BRS aswell ?

Great to see a jump in capacity to the B737-700 for this period too.

Things certainly look a lot rosier for CWL this year, including the additional TOM aircraft, new FR flights and the MT upgrade to A321

Last edited by Letsflycwl; 30th Jan 2019 at 16:13.
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Old 30th Jan 2019, 15:46
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Originally Posted by Letsflycwl
Are KLM just increasing CWL flights over this period or also BRS aswell ?

Great to see a jump in capacity to the B737-700 for this period too.

Things certainly look a lot rosier for CWL this year, including the additional TOM aircraft and the MT upgrade to A321
Just at Cardiff. It's a bit odd because the airport says KLM 737 700, the website then says Transavia France but then says KLM 737 800 under flight details. And Google flights apparently says Transavia! So it'll be interesting to see what happens!
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Old 30th Jan 2019, 16:15
  #879 (permalink)  
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Well it’s good news I guess regardless, onwards and upwards in 2019 hopefully with some more destinations and airlines hopefully.

Shame about Iberia Express as it was reported the loads were pretty good to MAD.
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Old 30th Jan 2019, 16:19
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Originally Posted by Letsflycwl
Well it’s good news I guess regardless, onwards and upwards in 2019 hopefully with some more destinations and airlines hopefully.

Shame about Iberia Express as it was reported the loads were pretty good to MAD.
It sounds like it'll be KLM operated by Transavia France.
Yeah it is a shame about Madrid. Hopefully the route will come back one day.
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