Southend-2
For the routes FR operate without competition CAA stats show loads are generally OK but some are better than others.
Bilbao is by far the worst at 90.9 average (48%). The mediocre ones are Dublin at 123.8 (65.5%), Brest at 125.5 (66.4%) and Copenhagen at 130.8 (69.2%). Everything else was between 77-85% full.
Looking at the load factors for the first two months of RYR ops at SEN I calculate the numbers being:
Bilbao 71% (I don't quite understand your 48% figure), Dublin 65%, Brest 73% and Copenhagen 73%.
The figures for other routes with no EZY competition were Corfu 82%, Reus 84%, Venice 81%, Bergamo (Milan) 79%, Kosice 79% and Cluj 84%
The 97% load factor quoted by Captain Caveman for June 2019 is based upon seats sold and not the pax numbers actually boarding flights.
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Yes but that doesn't mean that they are making money or couldn't make more money elsewhere with 1 of the aircraft say. It's good that SEN has got busier but airlines can be fickle beasts and also this being the first year many of the routes will be experiments.
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I would imagine the first dozen or so seats sold are equal to the cost of the last seat sold. Also the red line between profit and loss will be at the upper end of the number of seats sold with Ryanair.
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To have any sense of how well or otherwise FR are doing you would have to compare the figures from other new UK bases in their first full month of operation.
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Load factors
Ryanair publish the number of seats sold. The airport counts the number of passengers carried. The former will always be greater than the latter.
Ryanair publish the number of seats sold. The airport counts the number of passengers carried. The former will always be greater than the latter.
Ryanair publish the number of seats sold. The airport counts the number of passengers carried. The former will always be greater than the latter.
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The figures broadly reflect my prediction of some time ago...I suggested the DUB route for example may struggle to fill the early outbound and late return based on previous experience of EZY with their BFS/EDI routes. That seems to be borne out here. Similarly CPH is low-ish overall and that too has late returns back into SEN. This happened with EZY when they moved the Berlin flight from daytime to late - factually loads fell and anecdotally the outbound was popular and the inbound less so. In fact the next few departures for CPH show sold out, but inbounds are available. I’m not sure why Bilbao is so low.
The anomaly is Cluj and Kosice which do well despite early departures, but another lesson from history shows EZY had very high loads with their early departure to Krakow. Routes that particularly cater to migrants don’t seem to depend on public transport access.
Hopefully new late trains will help alleviate these issues going forward.
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The reasons behind this have been spoken about recently.
https://www.echo-news.co.uk/news/177...-flight-heavy/
https://www.echo-news.co.uk/news/177...-flight-heavy/
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Was it not stated here a few days ago that no one was kicked off any flight due to the hot weather even though it was predicted?
Also should the passengers kicked off the flight in question be told the whole storey about runway length issues. Clearly the person in question has no idea why the flight was overweight and is blaming the airline.
Also should the passengers kicked off the flight in question be told the whole storey about runway length issues. Clearly the person in question has no idea why the flight was overweight and is blaming the airline.
Last edited by LTNman; 17th Jul 2019 at 16:55.
I suspect the courts would pin the responsibility for bumping pax on the airline. The flights were not cancelled (so clearly not a safety issue due to bad weather), the airline(s) knew the runway length and aircraft performance capability, and in summer one should expect it to be warm. I don't believe that summer 2019 in Southend has seen exceptionally high temperature for the time of year
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Actually on reflection it is the airlines fault.
Clearly I have no idea what I am talking about as it was indeed confirmed a while back that folk were offloaded despite me claiming otherwise. Sorry
Was it not stated here a few days ago that no one was kicked off any flight due to the hot weather even though it was predicted?
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Could also be an aircraft swap to blame, ie Neo to standard or A319. This has happened at other airports, if you search around Google there have been other “distraught” pax with “ruined holidays”
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we have discussed this to death already - the runway has limitations that means during summer ops payloads are restricted. Nothing to do with aircraft swaps or anything else. Anecdotal evidence shows EZY staff know about the summer ops operational issues and have a plan in place to deny check-in for the last 15 or so pax on affected flights. Can't prove it, it's just what I've heard. However historical data proves the point.
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Fortunately for SEN 99.9% of the traveling public would not know this. Certainly it would put me off from making a booking if I knew I was going to have to spend months worry about a hot spell.
only translate into a payload restriction on the longer routes on the network. Short sectors like AMS, CDG and JER clearly should not be affected. It will also depend on the aircraft type planned for the flight. The runway performance of the A320 is superior to that of EZY's (relatively) low powered A319s. It is EZY's choice in terms commercial risk to continue to deploy their A319s on the more critical sectors such as FAO and AGP, though no doubt there are operational reasons such as rotational patterns why they do it.;. The need for this may well decline now that A320s form 50% of the SEN fleet. One might hope that the risk of tech stops or offloads will decrease accordingly..
