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Old 29th Mar 2016, 18:17
  #4561 (permalink)  
 
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Summer 2016

Good point about the increase in movements being very similar to the increase in seats, with average seats per movement at 173. If LFs hold up, with an extra 2.45m seats in total over the summer per the ACL report, 25m pax for the year should be achievable.

The airlines with the biggest increase in seats (no real surprises).

RYR 522,995 (+21.8%)
EZY 492,078 (+29%)
flybe 241,902 (15.4%)
Jet2 189,818 (11.9%)
TCX 186,436 (11.3%)

One disappointment is there are no slots for Air China. Had they applied but then cancelled them? It looks as if we won't be seeing them this year and one wonders what their intentions are.

Pegasus include a daily SAW from 1 July. Is that still likely to operate?
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 18:22
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Also new BA/Sun Air route to Gronigen (does the BEneLUX area really need all this capacity?) and Nouvelair route to Tunis
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 18:27
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What on earth happened with the Malaysian? Ages on the ground then flying home empty? Did MAS position another aircraft to LHR to operate the return flight?
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 18:33
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Virgin Atlantic have just announced a 3 weekly SFO and 2 weekly BOS from MAN:

Manchester to San Francisco flights lift northern England tech - FT.com

Perhaps why TCX backed off?

The link may be bad and take you to a pay wall. Google the news and it allows you past for free.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 18:53
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ACL Report

Continuing from Roverman's excellent post, I have the following summary to add:

The ACL Report makes for very interesting reading right from the beginning:

Summary for Summer 2016 Start

1/ Air Transport Passenger Movements - up 12.7% on Summer 2015 Start
2/Total Available seats - up 12.9% on Summer 2015 Start

Air Transport Movement Allocation by Operator - Peak Week (Double digit changes)

Aer Lingus - plus 10
Air X - Plus 16
Austrian - plus 14
easyJet - plus 102
Flybe - plus 102
Jet2.com - plus 84
Norwegian - plus 16
Pegasus - plus 16
Ryanair - plus 88
SAS- plus 10
Small PLanet - plus 40
Thomas Cook - plus 27
Vueling - plus 16

Egypt Air - minus 10
Enter Air - minus 18
Germania - minus 26

Total Peak Weekly Movements - plus 495 = 71 extra movements per day on average

Combined Hourly Arrival & Departure (Total) Allocation

The chart provided shows the biggest increases in movements during the periods between 1000 & 1700 and also from 1800 to 2000 - all times at UTC. There are smaller increases at most other times.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 18:57
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VS nibbling at a slice of TCX's cake with BOS, or getting in there before NAX, or a bit of both maybe, you decide.

One thing for sure, there is not room for 3 carriers to BOS from MAN.

SFO, about time and will be a winner I think.

With the frequencies it looks like another based unit though, which at times will make T2 look pretty impressive.

VS doing at MAN what BA and BMI failed at...good on them...lets hope for more, which may well be the case
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:06
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Cool

Virgin Atlantic have just announced a 3 weekly SFO and 2 weekly BOS from MAN:

Manchester to San Francisco flights lift northern England tech - FT.com
Can't view it says you have to register!
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:11
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You only seem to get 3 free views of the article before it blocks you again, so, unfortunately I cannot copy and paste the link.

Basically article interviews a few business people who are thrilled with the link, Ken O'Toole and his bit, tells that SFO will be 3 weekly and BOS 2 weekly starting in March.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:12
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Ah, spannersatcx, while you are online: Any hints / suggestions / rumours as to if and when we might see an increase in those CX frequencies?

Interestingly, the ACL summer report shows a slight decrease in CX seats. Does this suggest we might see the A350 before the end of summer?
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:21
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MANFOD

Interestingly if you look at the Full Season Allocation you will see that there appear to be 7 less movements for Cathay in the season.

Very odd?
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:29
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Cool

there are some cancelled flights in May, don't know why, lack of a/c or crew!

Cathay Pacific’s first A350-900 has completed its maiden flight in Toulouse, France. The six-hour flight over land and sea was conducted by the Airbus flight-test team.

The aircraft will now enter the final phase of production including cabin completion, further ground checks and test flights before being prepared for delivery.

The aircraft will be the first of 48 A350 XWBs acquired by Cathay which will include 22 A350-900s and 26 of the larger A350-1000s, for operation on long- and medium-haul services.

Cathay Pacific. Airbus A350-941. by JACQUES PANAS, on Flickr
about bloody time!
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:37
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The end of the FT article concludes:

"Manchester is the UK’s third largest airport. It recently announced the first scheduled flights to Shanghai and Beijing of any airport outside London."

So.... when did they announce Air China's Shanghai service as I though it was all hush hush for a few more months?
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:43
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Western and Eastern horizons open up.

Great news about Virgin, certainly didn't see that one coming. Whilst TCX are doing a sterling job to the USA from MAN they are non-aligned and very much leisure focussed. VS are a major brand worldwide, and with the Delta connection there's feed at both ends of these routes. Excellent.

Air China. I am told 'fear not', it will start in winter. Perhaps a good thing that we didn't have two new China routes starting the same month as there is bound to be some market overlap there. The delay will allow Hainan a chance to get some traction before facing competition direct out of MAN. I think Cathay's MAN-HKG market is distinct and different. Hainan/MAG do seem to be marketing the route - it keeps popping up on my laptop anyway.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:54
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Interestingly if you look at the Full Season Allocation you will see that there appear to be 7 less movements for Cathay in the season.
Thanks Scottie, I should have noticed that.

there are some cancelled flights in May, don't know why, lack of a/c or crew!
If it is absolutely necessary for either of those reasons, May is probably the right month. Last Year, May saw the lowest LF for CX flights, but even then it was 80.4%, which is hardly a disaster!
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 19:58
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Travel Trade Gazette has this article

Confirms both routes as summer only. Virgin to codeshare with Flybe and the 1st time I've seen reported anywhere: "It mirrors Flybe’s partnership with Thomas Cook Airlines at Manchester, where the regional carrier accounts for 10-15% of passengers on Cook’s US flights. "
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 20:01
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Manchester's first ever direct flight to San Francisco will take off next year in boost to northern tech industry - Manchester Evening News

A330 kit.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 20:07
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The M.E.N article mentions an increase in flights to BGI, but then it also states both SFO & BOS will be 3 x weekly which is at odds with the other 2 publications.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 20:08
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It's also nice to see Manchester now firmly shaking off the 'Gatwick fleet' shackles and venture ever more to 'Heathrow fleet' territory.

Along with Delta, this means Virgin customers now have direct access to New York JFK, Atlanta, Boston, Las Vegas, Orlando, San Fransisco and Bridgetown.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 20:16
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Big thumbs up to Andrew Bounds at the FT who scooped this....has put together some great articles pushing Manchester and the airport recently putting North on the map re FT.
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Old 29th Mar 2016, 20:46
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Great news! I assume this will be the summer based A330 which is doing the extra LAS flights this year?
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