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Old 4th Feb 2016, 15:57
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JANUARY TRAFFIC STATS.

Now on the airport web site:

Terminal pax + 7.76%

Movements + 5.01%

Freight + 2.60%

http://mag-umbraco-media-live.s3.ama...nuary-2016.pdf
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Old 4th Feb 2016, 16:19
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Already up to 23.3 million. Who's willing to guess a month to pass the 24 million mark?


Also interesting that Pax is still outstripping movement growth. When was the last time that we didn't see that? Load factors and/or aircraft size continues to grow.
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Old 4th Feb 2016, 16:36
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Very interesting when you look at domestic as the Virgin Heathrow
don`t factor out of the figures until after March and the drop in figures are a lot less than they have been for a long time. Charter we all
knew was going to take a hit because of Egypt and Tunisia but
scheduled up a huge 17.9% WOW

Ian
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Old 4th Feb 2016, 17:11
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Very encouraging numbers for January 2016. Domestic pax still in nosedive mode, but other sectors mainly positive. We must keep in mind that the distribution of pax between 'charter' and 'scheduled international' has become increasingly blurred with most flights to Spanish resorts (and others) now firmly categorised as the latter. So those leisure customers are still travelling.

These January stats are also an excellent indicator of underlying trends. There was unusually low disruption to planned schedules this year. Four(?) divs away due to the hole-in-the-runway incident, three of which returned soon after (post spash-and-dash) with pax still aboard. I can't recall any other significant spell of divs away during January. And a modest number of divs-in from neighbouring airports to offset the effect too. No industrial action to speak of. Just afew cancellations due to weather disruption at destinations (US East Coast, Scotland etc.). In fact, I can't recall any previous January which resulted in negligible disruption (some were a nightmare).

A good start to the year and Summer '16 still looking positive. The principal risk factors here are the loss of programmes to Egypt and Tunisia, plus very poor bookings for Turkey. Some aircraft can be re-tasked to Spain, Portugal, Canaries etc., but there is a limit on good quality uncontracted accommodation available at these destinations. All the other Western European markets are scrambling to redeploy programmes there as well ... not all will fit.

MAN requires approximately +8.25% pax growth across the calendar year to achieve 25 million throughput. January has come in a tad below that (still very good though). At this stage, Summer '16 is still looking sufficiently strong for 25 million to be achieved by year-end. Terrorism in the resorts (and fear thereof) is the main statistical challenge we need to monitor going forward.
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Old 4th Feb 2016, 17:48
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Anyone explain near 50% drop in transit?
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Old 4th Feb 2016, 21:37
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House of Commons Hansard Debates for 02 Feb 2016 (pt 0001)

If we have any scholars prepared to join me in the trenches the full text of the debate is actually found here.

Personally I find it utterly compellingly stuff although I admit others may be more inclined toward Eastenders or alas Take Me Out......
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Old 4th Feb 2016, 22:37
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Shed
You should notice a big difference in April on domestic
Oct Domestic was down 24582 pax Nov 33830 Dec 33833
and Jan a much smaller 19628 which is 633 per day which when you
split that between 6 VS LHR and 2 BA works out at about 80 per flight
plus of course ABZ is in free fall because of oil industry.

Ian
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Old 5th Feb 2016, 01:14
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Shed
You should notice a big difference in April on domestic
Thanks Ian. This aspect of the stats is addressed in depth in my posting no.3978 on this thread [3rd Jan, P199]. This was the detailed 'look ahead to the year' forecast.
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Old 5th Feb 2016, 10:01
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House of Commons Debate re Regional Airports.

I've not read the full Hansard text yet Bagso but I was somewhat surprised when the MP who had got the debate, Catherine McKinnell, after mentioning her local airport, Newcastle, then very quickly started to emphasise the need to expand Heathrow.

It wasn't just my reaction as later I see that Sir Alan Hazelhurst, a great supporter of Manchester Airport, commented:

"I was a little worried that her speech was becoming slightly political. She sounded somewhat like a cheerleader for Heathrow,"

But Sir Alan and the Wythenshawe & Sale East MP, Mike Kane, certainly did their bit for MAN and good to read that the Minister had some positive words for MAN too.

Now to scan the rest of the report!

Whether anything will come of the debate is another matter and it's a pity Davies seemed to be rather dismissive of long haul flights from the regions.
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Old 5th Feb 2016, 11:26
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About to make you all feel old....

MA Com Rels ‏@MAComRels
Fifteen years today, at 14:11 hrs, @manairport Runway 2 opened with first takeoff; by an @emirates @Airbus A330-200!

I forgot to send the tarmac a card.
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Old 6th Feb 2016, 08:32
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Northern Powerhouse agenda - still steaming ahead? - Manchester Evening News

Bit of a puff piece in the MEN last night.

At least Airport City may be building some momentum albeit in the press if not actually on the ground.

Have they started building on North side ?

As you know I am evangelical about Mancunia but this seems to be painfully slow ?

And also......

http://www.manchestereveningnews.co....iting-10832412

Last edited by Bagso; 6th Feb 2016 at 09:29.
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Old 6th Feb 2016, 11:16
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My understanding is that we will see the utilities, roads and probably car parks for Airport City North over the next few months with buildings to follow. This is a pretty sensible way of doing it with 'front loading' of infrastructure making plots more desirable.
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Old 6th Feb 2016, 12:12
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Of course they need to put utilities , car parks in first !

Is anybody is questioning the order in which to execute the construction?

Of course not, but to be fair it seems to be taking an agonising amount of time just to start the earthworks !

This project started in 2012 4 years ago !!!!!!
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Old 6th Feb 2016, 12:29
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The first thing they were going to do was fill the existing offices down
Aviator way which has now happened and then they could start on second sector which is going happen very soon as has been mentioned
with utilities and the Chinese offices and I think a hotel and multi storey car park which I`m sure someone said the utilities work will be linked with T2 work

Ian
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Old 7th Feb 2016, 20:52
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Hole in the runway?

Missed that, Shed. What took place and where? I was once sat at the 'T' hold of 23L and watched a departing heavy blow a patch of tarmac out of the threshold. We ended up last in the queue to depart from 23R, but that was inevitable given the traffic flow.
No big deal, just wonder if this has been a recurring problem?
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Old 8th Feb 2016, 11:26
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Roy - The runway surface repair on 05L/23R took place on Sunday January 17th. The runway was closed for approximately three hours around 09:00-12:00. However, the airport got 05R/23L snow-cleared, de-iced and open to traffic in around one hour. This took the strain until the original runway was fully serviceable again. 05's were in use at the outset, but IIRC a switch to westerly ops was arranged for 23L opening. As a result four inbound aircraft diverted away but three of these returned with pax after a 'splash-and-dash'. A long-haul Thomson de-planed at EMA presumably due to crew hours. The repairs were handled well, especially considering Sunday staffing availability. There was some dissatisfaction expressed over inaccuracy of re-opening estimates, but it is impossible for staff to predict exactly how long will be required for a unique repair.

This was a one-off issue, not a recurring problem. It was actually mentioned in the stats posting above to emphasise that January 2016 was one of the least-disrupted Winter months in memory. I can't recall any other episode of diversions away from MAN during that month.

If you are interested, there was some discussion of the repair on this thread around Jan 17th/18th, though looking back I think a couple of the posts have since been deleted.
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Old 8th Feb 2016, 11:37
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Thanks Shed. I've only diverted once from MAN in many years, shallow fog, quick trip to EMA and back.

Good to hear the diversions record is sound, just wish MAN could accept more. Unlikely in the coming years I reckon until the improvement plan is complete.
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Old 8th Feb 2016, 12:21
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Hainan

Sorry if this as already been mentioned


NEWS Hainan boosts capacity on Manchester-Beijing route


It is a very happy Chinese New Year for the UK’s third largest airport, as Hainan Airlines has increased capacity on its Manchester-Beijing route, before it has even launched. Starting on June 10th 2016, Hainan Airlines will fly four times a week to the Chinese capital and has announced this week it will increase capacity on the aircraft, going from an Airbus 330-200, to an Airbus 330-300.
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Old 8th Feb 2016, 14:37
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Paul

It has already been discussed as it was announced over a week ago now.
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Old 9th Feb 2016, 07:28
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TAP is pruning back its network in the wake of large losses and the Portuguese government's decision to unwind the recent privatization. The MAN route appears to have survived but is being reduced to a single daily flight for the summer :-
TP322 LIS/MAN 1340/1630 Daily
TP323 MAN/LIS 1715/2005 Daily
Makes you wonder how TAP will fare if/when fuel prices rise

On a more positive note, in addition to AA upgrading JFK to 763 earlier from 04 March, DL is also upgrading their JFK flights to 763 on selected weekend dates in March (including a 767-400 on 5th and 26th !) before going daily 763 for the summer.
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