BIRMINGHAM - 6
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Flybe STR
Insuindi wrote
Great news another long standing route seeing expansion. Third weekly flight starts 29th February 2016 and weekday departures ex BHX at 710 1250 (new flight) and 1640. 
FlyBE: BHX-STR
A third Mo-Fr flight has been scheduled from end of Feb'16. Total weekly then 16/7.
A third Mo-Fr flight has been scheduled from end of Feb'16. Total weekly then 16/7.
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June Domestic route analysis
Source: CAA for the passenger figures
Average pax from various sites including libhomeradar, flybe.
Load Factor: estimated based on seat-maps
Route...........2015......2014.....avg pax......load factor
Aberdeen......10038.....11572.......58...............72%
Belfast BHD...22057.....22326.......62...............77%
Belfast BFS...16623.....14893......143...............92%
Edinburgh.....24788.....24717........67...............81%
Glasgow.......20298.....21149........58...............73%
Inverness.......3809......3608........63...............81%
Isle of Man.....4266......4606........55...............70%
Jersey/GCI......9736......7754........57............. 65%
Newcastle........832........678.......10.............. 35% all estimated
Newquay........3643..... 3361........61.............. 78%
easyjet 6 fewer rotations and add nearly 2000 pax - I assume low-yielding going by the high season cuts but at least a big increase for winter.
Pete
Average pax from various sites including libhomeradar, flybe.
Load Factor: estimated based on seat-maps
Route...........2015......2014.....avg pax......load factor
Aberdeen......10038.....11572.......58...............72%
Belfast BHD...22057.....22326.......62...............77%
Belfast BFS...16623.....14893......143...............92%
Edinburgh.....24788.....24717........67...............81%
Glasgow.......20298.....21149........58...............73%
Inverness.......3809......3608........63...............81%
Isle of Man.....4266......4606........55...............70%
Jersey/GCI......9736......7754........57............. 65%
Newcastle........832........678.......10.............. 35% all estimated
Newquay........3643..... 3361........61.............. 78%
easyjet 6 fewer rotations and add nearly 2000 pax - I assume low-yielding going by the high season cuts but at least a big increase for winter.
Pete
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June International route analysis
Credits: Same as post 3220
Dubrovnik and the Canaries flights have IT mixed in with the schedule flights making it impossible to calculate the true average for the schedule flights.
Airport..........2015.......2014....Avg pax...load factor
Brussels.......12395.....10609.......64.........70%
Dubrovnik......5012.......4312......???.........???
Split.................0........3288........0..........0%
Larnaca........7362........7438.....175........83%
Paphos........3917.........2758.....157........82%
Copenhagen..8544........8686.......89........65%
Sharm..........5451........4638......165.......77%
Hurghada..........0.........1261........0.........0%
Avignon.........545..........502.......68........77%
Bastia...........477.............0.......60........68%
Bergerac.......527...........506......66........75%
Bordeaux.....2300.........2257......68........77%
Brest...............0..........378........0..........0%
Deauville.......238.............0.......30........38% started end of month
La Rochelle....794..........439.......50........60%
Lyon...........4101.........3845......70........79%
Nice...........4554.........5700.....134........80%
Paris (Cdg). 34798.......31915....108........ 82%
Perpignan.....1205..........486....151........ 80%
Toulouse..........0.........2850.......0..........0%
Berlin (TXL)..3850........3432......64........73%
Cologne............0........2481.......0..........0%
Dusseldorf...19530.......17242.....56.........64%
Frankfurt.....28072......25177....122.........75%
Hamburg.......2889........2833......54........61%
Hanover.......3589........5786......60 .........75%
Munich.......15306.......14422.....96..........78% Another route nearing 100
Stuttgart.....5846.........5975.....56..........64%
Gibraltar......3520.........3799....135.........78%
Athens........2041.........1253....128.........76%
Heraklion.....2691.........2264....150.........71%
Preveza......1294..............0....162.........76%
Keflavik......1691...............0....106........ 53%
Delhi......... 8811..........4460....147.........57% Excellent given the month
Cork.......... 6568......... 5719......59.........81%
Dublin .......55588........49115....132.........84%
Knock .............0..........2584.......0...........0%
Shannon.....1157......... 3973......51.........71%
Waterford.....856.........2153......25.........50%
Florence..........0......... 3718........0..........0%
Milan (Mxp).8830......... 8128......74.........84%
Rome (Fco).8103......... 9185.....156.........85%
Venice....... 6113..........5432.....146........81%
Kaunas.......3141......... 3194.....175........92%
Malta.........3054......... 3135.....170........90%
Amsterdam. 48475.......43208......94........82%
Islamabad....5846........ 5837.....225........65%
Bydgoszcz...4893.........4257.....175........92%
Gdansk.......2431......... 2762.....174........92%
Katowice....3196......... 3237.....178........94%
Krakow.......2861......... 3233.....179........95%
Faro.........21089........19004.....165....... 84%
Oporto...........0...........2232........0.........0%
Funchal......2840..........2611.....158........74%
Bratislava...4595..........4140......177.......94%
Alicante....25345.........31427.....169.......84%
Almeria...........0...........3838........0
Barcelona..22417........17079.....162........88%
Ibiza..........5377........11437.....168........88%
Madrid....... 4030..............0......155....... 83%
Mahon....... 5584..........5410.....164....... 80%
Malaga.....31165.........24626.....175.......87%
Murcia....... 6547..........5271......182...... 96%
Palma......19354.........24228......183...... 90%
Reus..............0.......... 2684......... 0........0%
Arrecife...13694.........13500.......???.......???
Fuerteventura..9434.....7697.......???.......???
Las Palmas. 9680..........8983.......???.......???
Tenerife...17147.........17541.......???.......???
Goteborg........0...........1516.........0
Stockholm......0...........2413......... 0
Zurich.......8042............9188.......77.......79%
Bodrum.....3493...........3855.......134.......70%
Dalaman...8942........... 8269.......149.......70%
Istanbul...12438.........10609.......122.......79%
Ashkhabad.1582...........3276........61.......36% oh dear
Dubai......38567..........35203......321.......75% record June I believe
Toronto....2081............2608......260.......90%
New York..7195.................0......122.......69%
Newark....8052............8134.......134.......80% Not too bad considering AA
Pete
Dubrovnik and the Canaries flights have IT mixed in with the schedule flights making it impossible to calculate the true average for the schedule flights.
Airport..........2015.......2014....Avg pax...load factor
Brussels.......12395.....10609.......64.........70%
Dubrovnik......5012.......4312......???.........???
Split.................0........3288........0..........0%
Larnaca........7362........7438.....175........83%
Paphos........3917.........2758.....157........82%
Copenhagen..8544........8686.......89........65%
Sharm..........5451........4638......165.......77%
Hurghada..........0.........1261........0.........0%
Avignon.........545..........502.......68........77%
Bastia...........477.............0.......60........68%
Bergerac.......527...........506......66........75%
Bordeaux.....2300.........2257......68........77%
Brest...............0..........378........0..........0%
Deauville.......238.............0.......30........38% started end of month
La Rochelle....794..........439.......50........60%
Lyon...........4101.........3845......70........79%
Nice...........4554.........5700.....134........80%
Paris (Cdg). 34798.......31915....108........ 82%
Perpignan.....1205..........486....151........ 80%
Toulouse..........0.........2850.......0..........0%
Berlin (TXL)..3850........3432......64........73%
Cologne............0........2481.......0..........0%
Dusseldorf...19530.......17242.....56.........64%
Frankfurt.....28072......25177....122.........75%
Hamburg.......2889........2833......54........61%
Hanover.......3589........5786......60 .........75%
Munich.......15306.......14422.....96..........78% Another route nearing 100
Stuttgart.....5846.........5975.....56..........64%
Gibraltar......3520.........3799....135.........78%
Athens........2041.........1253....128.........76%
Heraklion.....2691.........2264....150.........71%
Preveza......1294..............0....162.........76%
Keflavik......1691...............0....106........ 53%
Delhi......... 8811..........4460....147.........57% Excellent given the month
Cork.......... 6568......... 5719......59.........81%
Dublin .......55588........49115....132.........84%
Knock .............0..........2584.......0...........0%
Shannon.....1157......... 3973......51.........71%
Waterford.....856.........2153......25.........50%
Florence..........0......... 3718........0..........0%
Milan (Mxp).8830......... 8128......74.........84%
Rome (Fco).8103......... 9185.....156.........85%
Venice....... 6113..........5432.....146........81%
Kaunas.......3141......... 3194.....175........92%
Malta.........3054......... 3135.....170........90%
Amsterdam. 48475.......43208......94........82%
Islamabad....5846........ 5837.....225........65%
Bydgoszcz...4893.........4257.....175........92%
Gdansk.......2431......... 2762.....174........92%
Katowice....3196......... 3237.....178........94%
Krakow.......2861......... 3233.....179........95%
Faro.........21089........19004.....165....... 84%
Oporto...........0...........2232........0.........0%
Funchal......2840..........2611.....158........74%
Bratislava...4595..........4140......177.......94%
Alicante....25345.........31427.....169.......84%
Almeria...........0...........3838........0
Barcelona..22417........17079.....162........88%
Ibiza..........5377........11437.....168........88%
Madrid....... 4030..............0......155....... 83%
Mahon....... 5584..........5410.....164....... 80%
Malaga.....31165.........24626.....175.......87%
Murcia....... 6547..........5271......182...... 96%
Palma......19354.........24228......183...... 90%
Reus..............0.......... 2684......... 0........0%
Arrecife...13694.........13500.......???.......???
Fuerteventura..9434.....7697.......???.......???
Las Palmas. 9680..........8983.......???.......???
Tenerife...17147.........17541.......???.......???
Goteborg........0...........1516.........0
Stockholm......0...........2413......... 0
Zurich.......8042............9188.......77.......79%
Bodrum.....3493...........3855.......134.......70%
Dalaman...8942........... 8269.......149.......70%
Istanbul...12438.........10609.......122.......79%
Ashkhabad.1582...........3276........61.......36% oh dear
Dubai......38567..........35203......321.......75% record June I believe
Toronto....2081............2608......260.......90%
New York..7195.................0......122.......69%
Newark....8052............8134.......134.......80% Not too bad considering AA
Pete
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Birmingham Passengers July 2015
Birmingham sets a July record 1,071,259 passengers a 2% increase on 2014. Great news and an even busier Winter ahead. Link below.
https://www.birminghamairport.co.uk/...senger-record/
Daza
https://www.birminghamairport.co.uk/...senger-record/
Daza
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July Stats
Total pax: 1071236 (+2.1%)
Aircraft movements: - 4.3%
12 months passengers to July 2015 9961096 (+ 5.4%)
Compared to July 2014:
Amsterdam . . . +15%
Ashkhabad . . . -28% (LHR -68%)
Barcelona . . . . +48%
Brussels . . . . . +40%
Copenhagen . . -34%
Dubai . . . . . . . +8%
Dublin . . . . . . +11%
Dusseldorf . . . +15%
Istanbul . . . . . +23%
Newark . . . . . . -3%
Paris . . . . . . . +10%
New York JFK 7219 pax (Load factor 66%)
Waterford 1022 pax (Load factor 57%)
Total pax: 1071236 (+2.1%)
Aircraft movements: - 4.3%
12 months passengers to July 2015 9961096 (+ 5.4%)
Compared to July 2014:
Amsterdam . . . +15%
Ashkhabad . . . -28% (LHR -68%)
Barcelona . . . . +48%
Brussels . . . . . +40%
Copenhagen . . -34%
Dubai . . . . . . . +8%
Dublin . . . . . . +11%
Dusseldorf . . . +15%
Istanbul . . . . . +23%
Newark . . . . . . -3%
Paris . . . . . . . +10%
New York JFK 7219 pax (Load factor 66%)
Waterford 1022 pax (Load factor 57%)
Last edited by jon01; 15th Aug 2015 at 14:57.
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Birmingham-Copenhagen is likely being pincered from 3 sides as LTN has seen big expansion on the route from Easyjet and Ryanair, as has MAN from SAS and Easyjet and I think BRS has seen slight increases from Easyjet too.
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The past few weeks has seen a reduced operation,I think could be a seasonal thing.
The morning SK2533/4 has not operated,and the evening SK2535/6 has seen a CRJ900 on the service.
However at the start of the past week a return to the normal 2x daily op.with a mixture of A320/319s.
The August figures may give us a better idea how we are being affected by services elsewhere.
The morning SK2533/4 has not operated,and the evening SK2535/6 has seen a CRJ900 on the service.
However at the start of the past week a return to the normal 2x daily op.with a mixture of A320/319s.
The August figures may give us a better idea how we are being affected by services elsewhere.
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MEB3
Just a thought, with no research having been undertaken, BHX is triple daily Emirates, is that the highest frequency service where neither of the other two MEB3 operate?
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Birmingham-Copenhagen is likely being pincered from 3 sides as LTN has seen big expansion on the route from Easyjet and Ryanair, as has MAN from SAS and Easyjet and I think BRS has seen slight increases from Easyjet too.
Stansted (-86%), Heathrow (-2%), Manchester (-1%) and Bristol (-19%)
Luton (+100% with 35,669 Pax)
UK total all airports +14%
Luton is the winner
A lose-lose situation for all concerned. Hopefully, a scenario that will not play out BHX-wise.
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Copenhagen
Boeing737-8
In my opinion the simple answer is yes. SAS have increased BHX to double daily Airbus but pax have not increased from when it was one CRJ9 and one Airbus. Whatever you think of SAS they would not have committed mainline aircraft to the route if they thought there wan't a chance of filling them both.
bhx bod is correct in that the July adjustment happens each year but the main difference to 2014 is that they kept the one flight this year was the CRJ9 compared to 2014 when it was all Airbus.
In that sense SAS got it right as 3941 pax over 54 flights is an average of 73, which is a load factor of 81% compared to 65% in June, 62% in May and 61% in April. This route before the Luton surge was around 70-75%.
ATNotts
I agree a bit of a worry and winter is still showing double Airbus until Christmas when action like last year has been taken and it becomes all CRJ9 until summer.
In general
Also the other factor Luton - CPH is clearly point to point but BHX-CPH is clearly not aimed at this market any longer.
When the service went double daily Airbus you could pick up a return for under £100 well in advance but these seem to have disappeared and a couple of the connecting flights of longer distance are coming in cheaper than CPH as a final destination.
Helsinki came in at £35 cheaper (TLL & WAW as well) and closer to CPH, Billund is also less than CPH as a final destination. Stockholm which apparently receives a lot a transits is actually fairly expensive and the same with Oslo.
If Norwegian ever entered the fray direct to HEL, ARN or OSL it could really stir things up although I would imagine they would be low frequency.
Pete
In my opinion the simple answer is yes. SAS have increased BHX to double daily Airbus but pax have not increased from when it was one CRJ9 and one Airbus. Whatever you think of SAS they would not have committed mainline aircraft to the route if they thought there wan't a chance of filling them both.
bhx bod is correct in that the July adjustment happens each year but the main difference to 2014 is that they kept the one flight this year was the CRJ9 compared to 2014 when it was all Airbus.
In that sense SAS got it right as 3941 pax over 54 flights is an average of 73, which is a load factor of 81% compared to 65% in June, 62% in May and 61% in April. This route before the Luton surge was around 70-75%.
ATNotts
I agree a bit of a worry and winter is still showing double Airbus until Christmas when action like last year has been taken and it becomes all CRJ9 until summer.
In general
Also the other factor Luton - CPH is clearly point to point but BHX-CPH is clearly not aimed at this market any longer.
When the service went double daily Airbus you could pick up a return for under £100 well in advance but these seem to have disappeared and a couple of the connecting flights of longer distance are coming in cheaper than CPH as a final destination.
Helsinki came in at £35 cheaper (TLL & WAW as well) and closer to CPH, Billund is also less than CPH as a final destination. Stockholm which apparently receives a lot a transits is actually fairly expensive and the same with Oslo.
If Norwegian ever entered the fray direct to HEL, ARN or OSL it could really stir things up although I would imagine they would be low frequency.
Pete
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CPH
With LTN having 8 flights a day it gives the flyers so much choose of timing of when there want to fly. Not only does LTN have lots of flights but the 2 low cost airlines are so cheap. I went for a day trip a few weeks ago for about £28. Looking now every day in Novemeber and most in December it's £9.99 with Ryanair and £13.99 with easyjet. I don't think SAS will ever be that cheap.
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Code:
With LTN having 8 flights a day it gives the flyers so much choose of timing of when there want to fly. Not only does LTN have lots of flights but the 2 low cost airlines are so cheap. I went for a day trip a few weeks ago for about £28. Looking now every day in Novemeber and most in December it's £9.99 with Ryanair and £13.99 with easyjet. I don't think SAS will ever be that cheap.
What did it REALLY cost you with Airport taxes , credit charges, ADP etc...- REALLY !
Thats the real price - just think about it.
Those flexible fares operators de-bundled fares systems are a Tesco style lie.
As much most of the so called taxes duties etc are really part of the true fare as is ADP they not optional are they !
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Right now its not through - for a realist time frame with Easy its nearer £50 and Ryan typically £60 +
The below tenner is one way and excludes the card fee .
Return leg as almost always between £40 and £60 plus card fee .
And that at 60 days out.
Much closer and you will be looking at something in the region of £90 + return.
And its' not a criticism it's simply the flexible fares business model working
(REFUSE TO CALL them Low Cost or LCC- they are not)
BTW i do use them and my next trip will be Orange to and from Porto but from a port rather further south
The below tenner is one way and excludes the card fee .
Return leg as almost always between £40 and £60 plus card fee .
And that at 60 days out.
Much closer and you will be looking at something in the region of £90 + return.
And its' not a criticism it's simply the flexible fares business model working
(REFUSE TO CALL them Low Cost or LCC- they are not)
BTW i do use them and my next trip will be Orange to and from Porto but from a port rather further south
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The £9.99 fare includes all fees. The only other fee is use of credit card which is .50p or use a debit card and get it for £19.98 return. This is in November and any months after apart from around Christmas. Easyjet seem to be a bit more but not much.