Airlines, Airports & Routes Topics about airports, routes and airline business.

Monarch - 3

Old 29th Sep 2016, 09:10
  #3481 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Europe
Posts: 136
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
From what I have seen, Monarch Arline is saying they are financially strong. What they have not said is whether Moarch Holdings and/or Monarch holidays are also.


Time will tell, but what I suspect we are seeing is a possible shutdown of the Holidays operation and a need to repatriate rapidly due to suppliers such as hôtels not being paid (possibly with outstanding debts), and the airline being unable to provide the adequate additional capacity to cover all routes.


If this is the case then it leads to an interesting question of the responsibilities when the Holiday part of a holding folds (or is folded) yet the airline part continues to operate. Indeed, it would be interesting to know at what price the Holiday arm is billed for the airline flights, and when i.e. have they already been paid for the return seats?


As to the role of internet and in particular blogs, yes it accélérâtes communication, but it is not like the planes flown in are done so by stealth and it is difficult to hide a 747 on an airport from anyone who is half-trying to be observant. The risk is that posters do not make it clear as to what is fact and what is supposition or even totally unfounded. Wikipédia requires cross-references to establish where the information was sourced.
daikilo is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 09:23
  #3482 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Europe
Posts: 136
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
A correction to my post above: it seems that it is Monarch Holdings who say they are financially strong and not the airline division, although I believe I have seen a post saying that the airline has been the largest contributor to profit in the recemt past.


My apologies for the misinformation.
daikilo is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 09:39
  #3483 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Anywhere
Posts: 79
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
How would you know that? Do you have access to the passenger information?

Anyway, were they 744 crew, or perhaps crew destined to operate UK schedules?

This is just the sort idle rumourmongering that will assist in sending Monarch under, along with their employees. Some spotters just won't give up will they? Hopefully your employer may find themselves in the media spotlight - imagine how you'd feel if others were indulging in idle speculation that put your job under threat.
Very easy, they were seen checking in and out of one of the Manchester airport hotels and the sign in sheet clearly said United crew.
MonarchOrBust is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 09:55
  #3484 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Newcastle
Posts: 1,974
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Well if holiday part was to close down they would just stop selling package holidays and by October 2017 that part of the business would be gone.
Still struggling as to why the company would want the brand to suffer.

As for management they should have just said the ATOL is paid end of story but they haven't.

Feel sorry for the crews that are reading this but if I was monarch crew I would be worried too it's not a nice thing to have to go through.
Hard to try and do you daily job excellent for pax with this all going on
HH6702 is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 09:58
  #3485 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: London
Posts: 355
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
United airlines crew check into hotels on a daily basis at manchester guven that united fly in daily. They also check into heathrow hotels, birmingham hotels, newcastle etc etc ...

Thats hardly evidence!!
cumbrianboy is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 10:02
  #3486 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Manchester, UK
Age: 51
Posts: 760
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
There were 20 odd of them got off yesterdays inbound as passengers rather than ending their shift working the inbound flight, as 20 odd went the opposite way.

That said although I believe they did arrive for "just in case" purposes I do fully believe they will not be needed and MON will announce any time license renewed....the sooner the better.
eggc is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 10:24
  #3487 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: UK
Age: 43
Posts: 139
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Expected renewal date is tomorrow - not expecting any news before then.

I'm 90% certain they'll get the green light from the CAA!
KyleRB is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 11:08
  #3488 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: RSW & Europe
Posts: 61
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by KyleRB
Expected renewal date is tomorrow - not expecting any news before then.

I'm 90% certain they'll get the green light from the CAA!
Brinkmanship like this does not inspire my confidence in the management of Monarch or the airlines future stability.
blackbeard1 is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 11:15
  #3489 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: UK
Posts: 182
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
There is some strange 'head in sand' spotter nonsense on here! Having spoken to my mates in Monarch, I can assure you they are aware of the risks and now know 'something' serious is still ongoing!

FACT: aircraft & crews in the UK are/have been on standby for over 7 days now, payed for!

As Kyle has said, Friday will no doubt reveal lots more and I hope to god a solution, I'm also 90% sure Monarch will be operating on Saturday.
Sean Dillon is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 12:01
  #3490 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: England
Posts: 1,008
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
There's still over 7 aircraft on standby across Europe, with crews in place to operate these flights (United 744 crew at MAN included). There's more than Just United/Omni/Air Transat included in these rescue flights, which it seems no one has noticed yet.
750XL is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 12:22
  #3491 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: London Whipsnade Wildlife Park
Posts: 5,038
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
ATOL deadline day is tomorrow for deposits with the CAA.
Buster the Bear is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 13:49
  #3492 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: malaga
Age: 79
Posts: 12
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
There seems to be a complete misunderstanding of the issues.
As a retired senior airline executive , I would like to add my ideas.
1. Monarch ( ATOL) is still selling package holidays, to repatriate these pax
will take some weeks if the ATOL is cancelled at midnight tomorrow.
2. If the ATOL is cancelled there is nothing to prevent the airline (ZB)
TO FLY as a lowcost carrier , providing the Airline is not in breach of
its AOC and a sound business plan is in place.
.
The percentage split flight only against tour operating is of course the key.
Maybe someone should look at Companies House to check latest
filings. ( Airline and Monarch Holidays ).
If the Package side is dropped I am sure a light weight cost Carrier can rise
from the ashes.
THE AIRLINE IS TOO GOOD TO VANISH.
warrior28 is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 14:26
  #3493 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Newcastle
Posts: 1,974
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Still struggling why they changed the name to monarch from cosmos holidays though if the plan was to sell the holiday side
HH6702 is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 14:27
  #3494 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Europe
Posts: 136
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Warrior28


I have read in this thread or from Monarch that over 6m pax are carried of which about 800000 are as part of the Holidays operation. I have not been able to ascertain whether these are one-way or round-trips but whatever, it looks as if Holidays is probably about 15% of pax carried.


Also, I have no idea how average revenue from a holidays pax compares with a seat-only ticket so revenue per market could be higher or lower in the above percentage terms.


Monarch was very clear in the past that they wanted to evolve into a scheduled carrier and I believe have done what was needed to structure costs in line with expected revenus, so yes, dropping holidays could actually strengthen the group in the long term (at least on a unit-margin basis). What was perhas an error was to rebrand Cosmos as Monarch Holidays which, if closed or spun-off, could indeed do the brand short-term damage if it is not handled well.
daikilo is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 15:11
  #3495 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: malaga
Age: 79
Posts: 12
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Just checked CAA stats.
Total Group authorised ( First Aviation/Cosmos/Avro) C 2.75 M pax , so maybe 800,000
on low side or they have over estimated their bonding requirements ???
warrior28 is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 15:23
  #3496 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: UK
Posts: 137
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Do they not need:

1 - An ATOL bond for package holidays
2 - A bond against the OL which is determined by a liquidity check completed by ERG at the CAA ???

I thought those not operating charters or scheduled flights still require a bond for Type A licences regardless ? or if you pay the ATOL you don't need an AOC/OL bond ? I.E 3 months of working capital and no income or thereabouts ?
Call Established is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 15:46
  #3497 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Europe
Posts: 136
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Warrior28


Which year was that?


However, the plot thickens as when I search Cosmos Holidays I get "Holiday Hypermarket" which is a TUI subsidiary, although it states that Cosmos is now Monarch Holidays. Is Holiday Hypermarket just a shop for other's Holidays or do they need an ATOL? Is Globus still involved?
daikilo is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 16:00
  #3498 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Europe
Posts: 136
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Also, what is the role of First Aviation as, although it appears under the Monarch (Holdings?) brand, it appears to lease capacity only to tour operators. As it doesn't appear to be an airline, presumably it is operating as a kind of broker or possibly intermediary. Indeed, do some/all Monarch Holidays seats go through First Aviation and thus may not be on Monarch Airlines flights?
daikilo is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 16:14
  #3499 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2000
Posts: 639
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Regardless of legal entities and minimum requirements, if Monarch can't sort out the ATOL point within 24 hours, its brand is knackered.

The last press release by them was Monday, it's now Thursday night and the funding is still not sorted. I would hope it would be done tonight as everyone will be getting very tired, or a sale announced.
FANS is offline  
Old 29th Sep 2016, 16:37
  #3500 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Runcorn
Posts: 17
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Does anyone know if these suspected CAA chartered aircraft are still in resort?
NotoriousREV is offline  

Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.