Wikiposts
Search
Airlines, Airports & Routes Topics about airports, routes and airline business.

Aer Lingus - 6

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 12th Feb 2013, 16:47
  #1241 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Dublin
Age: 37
Posts: 95
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
4 A319s this summer, not much smaller but it makes a difference in viability. Proposed to add two shorthaul craft a year for the next few years - I'd imagine they'll mostly be A319s.
Cian is offline  
Old 12th Feb 2013, 16:48
  #1242 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Aug 1999
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Posts: 1,879
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
As Bearcat says, it's too early to do handstands ... or pop the champagne (and very bad to both at once anyway).

MO'L is going to make life as difficult as possible for Aer Lingus, so he won't be selling out anytime soon. I'm just wondering when the OFT decision on the FR shareholding in EI might come; that might throw up some interesting results.

It is good news; FR plans to appeal, but since the EU has not issued its reasoning, it's hard to know what the grounds for this might be. Maybe the ECJ might end up throwing FR's case out as being vexatious and time-wasting.
akerosid is offline  
Old 12th Feb 2013, 17:55
  #1243 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Exit stage right.
Posts: 290
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 2 Posts
MO'L is going to make life as difficult as possible for Aer Lingus, so he won't be selling out anytime soon. I'm just wondering when the OFT decision on the FR shareholding in EI might come; that might throw up some interesting results.

It is good news; FR plans to appeal, but since the EU has not issued its reasoning, it's hard to know what the grounds for this might be. Maybe the ECJ might end up throwing FR's case out as being vexatious and time-wasting.
I have doubts about whether ECJ would do that as basically EU can't ask for remedies and then ignore them all because it has already made a decision based on Govt pressure.

Could end up being finanically costly for EU as any case will request and receive disclosure of all documents for EU.

Interesting to watch share price in coming weeks.
racedo is offline  
Old 12th Feb 2013, 21:15
  #1244 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Up The Road
Age: 53
Posts: 54
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
And where is your proof to back up these allegations ?
Zag23 is offline  
Old 12th Feb 2013, 21:32
  #1245 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Antrim
Posts: 1,601
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
I think racedo you will find the EU won't be for turning. Like them or loathe them they will have their way. Lets face it BE wouldn't stand a chance against FR and the combination of handing EI routes to them and also BA actually serves FR more than it does the flying public. How about FR dropping routes and handing them over - that would never happen. Wiping EI out of LGW and LHR is MOL's dream situation and the EU know this.
mart901 is online now  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 08:49
  #1246 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: on the road...
Posts: 176
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
it has already made a decision based on Govt pressure
Racedo - Please provide the source for this comment as most posters will be very keen to understand more about how the bid was defeated......
Angry Rebel is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 10:15
  #1247 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Nr Aston Down, Cotswolds
Posts: 160
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Government pressure has nothing to do with it.

Problem is the EU, like almost everyone else, didn't believe the Flybe solution to be a credible solution.

MOLs style of management doesn't fit with the idea....

Ok Flybe here's a mill, do what you like with it... I don't mind!
Epsomdog is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 10:24
  #1248 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Nr Aston Down, Cotswolds
Posts: 160
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
There are suggestions online FR may off load shares at the same time as the Irish gov. Is that more FR scaremongering, I wonder?

How do we feel about someone else snapping up 55%?
Epsomdog is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 13:40
  #1249 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: in a house
Posts: 96
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
That's the risk that exists for a publically traded company.

FR could dump their shares tomorrow, depress the share value, allowing a predatory hedge fund to hover up the 29% (maybe more) This could then lead to asset stripping of the company. It has already been noted that EI is worth more than it market capitalisation implies.

EY have hinted that they would like to increase their stockholding but unless they do a deal directly with FR or the Govt then this scenario could occur.
DollarBill is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 15:06
  #1250 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Noo Yoik
Posts: 126
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
FR could dump their shares tomorrow, depress the share value, allowing a predatory hedge fund to hover up the 29% (maybe more) This could then lead to asset stripping of the company. It has already been noted that EI is worth more than it market capitalisation implies.
But a hedge fund could've 'snapped it up' at 60 cents or so just 18 months ago, when it was just as cash rich as today! Even better value. Why didn't they?
Well for one thing, what good would 29% do a hedge fund? They'd be in a worse scenario than FR, with not a hope in hell of getting to 50+%.
For another thing, it is a political hot potato, and that's an undeniable fact.

Isn't it amazing FR hasn't already sold up, given all the predictions for the EI share price if this bid failed?

Truth is, FR has a lot to lose now in a fire sale.
Besides the crystallisation of losses on the original investment, and the huge loss of face that brings, there's the risk that (as some predict above) a stronger competitor airline could get it and create bigger headaches for FR than EI ever was.

What to do?

Jumped in with both feet. Not so easy to jump out.

Last edited by Meccano; 13th Feb 2013 at 15:16.
Meccano is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 16:06
  #1251 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Ireland
Posts: 1,167
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Aer Lingus to halt increments over pension deficit

Aer Lingus has told unions it is halting payment of all wage increases, including increments, until the long-running dispute over the massive deficit in its pension fund is resolved.
The airline was due to resume paying increments in April following a three-year pay freeze.
The deficit in the joint Aer Lingus - Dublin Airport Authority scheme known as the Irish Aviation Superannuation Scheme stood at over €770m in December.
Aer Lingus to halt increments over pension deficit - RTÉ News
Jack1985 is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 19:40
  #1252 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Ireland
Posts: 35
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Maybe the Ryanair board are hanging Micko out to dry on this one. He'll take the fall for making a balls of the takeover. Ryanair would do very well with a new CEO and a new ethos. A softer image would work very well.
no slot is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 19:42
  #1253 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Exit stage right.
Posts: 290
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 2 Posts
Racedo, I understand you have to do your master's bidding but it detracts from your credibility,
Given crap above and it being wrong then not worth reading rest of the diatribe.
racedo is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 19:52
  #1254 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Exit stage right.
Posts: 290
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 2 Posts
Besides the crystallisation of losses on the original investment, and the huge loss of face that brings, there's the risk that (as some predict above) a stronger competitor airline could get it and create bigger headaches for FR than EI ever was.
Oh you mean the one they wrote down in 2009

Hardly loss of face as they have ONLY paid out £1.2 Billion in dividends since and carried 200 Million passengers so guess they really worred
racedo is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 20:08
  #1255 (permalink)  


Moderator
 
Join Date: Oct 1997
Location: EU
Posts: 720
Received 2 Likes on 2 Posts
Ah here leave it out!

Guys

Please stick to the discussion or dont contribute. We dont want anymore personal attacks.
were all mature here!!

AA&R Mods
Hogg is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 20:13
  #1256 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Europe
Posts: 373
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Aer Lingus to halt increments over pension deficit
Poor EI staff. Mindgames at play here. Yesterday's good news followed immediately by bad news in less than 24 hours. So, all you EI analysts why is this announcement made the day after the day before?
ayroplain is offline  
Old 13th Feb 2013, 20:29
  #1257 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Nr Aston Down, Cotswolds
Posts: 160
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Personally I don't think events in the last 24hrs have any bearing on this.

Continuing the freeze on increments is a useful way of keeping people focused on achieving a settlement.

Eventually there will have to be an agreement. Just like most companies Aer Lingus will not want to give away something for nothing.
Epsomdog is offline  
Old 14th Feb 2013, 07:54
  #1258 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: on the road...
Posts: 176
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Quote:
Racedo, I understand you have to do your master's bidding but it detracts from your credibility,

Given crap above and it being wrong then not worth reading rest of the diatribe.
I haven't had a go at you, but you haven't answered my query about substantiating your claim about government pressure being behind the decision. Well?
Angry Rebel is offline  
Old 14th Feb 2013, 10:21
  #1259 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 1999
Location: Quite near 'An aerodrome somewhere in England'
Posts: 26,806
Received 270 Likes on 109 Posts
In a few weeks time, I have to fly from UK to Ireland. Probably from either London or Birmingham.

Looking at the websites, Ryanair appears to be the least expensive. Although I haven't looked into all the pre-printed boarding card, luggage costs etc.... But when I looked at Which? Jan 2013, I noted that of the 16 short haul airlines reviewed, Aer Lingus was no.4 scoring 74%, ba was no.6 scoring 67%....and Ryanair was in bottom position with a mere 34%.

So it'll be Aer Lingus for me. Particularly when I read comments in Which? such as 'A typical comment (about Aer Lingus) was : 'Worth the extra few pounds to avoid Ryanair' '

Thank heavens that Aer Lingus won't now be swallowed up by Ryanair. I don't have any safety concerns about Ryanair, but I will not fly with an airline about whom people (in Which?) write "It's a constant battle to get transparency at Ryanair. It always makes travelling with them a disagreeable process from the start" - or an airline whose attitude towards both staff and customers is the way it is widely reported to be at such an airline.
BEagle is online now  
Old 14th Feb 2013, 14:54
  #1260 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Baltimore, MD
Posts: 67
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
A321

....back to more mundane route talk, I've always wondered why EI haven't used a two class A321 to fly thinner L/H routes like Philadelphia, Dulles, Moscow? Given the success American carriers seem to have with deploying their 757s on such routes.
riptack is offline  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.