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Old 24th Mar 2009, 00:03
  #21 (permalink)  
 
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I disagree. Stansted was and remains something of a white elephant. It is only able to attract a small number of second rank operators and is dominated by a single carrier which is unwilling to pay market rates for the use of the facilities.
Even easyJet is struggling to grow the business at STN..

Without the cross subsidy from LHR and LGW I doubt very much they will get a Runway 2 at STN, especially as traffic is falling.
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Old 24th Mar 2009, 16:39
  #22 (permalink)  
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DSA is reliant on seasonal leisure travellers, there is only one route which may appeal to business pax but that is only 6x weekly after failing to bring in results on a 2xdaily service. Suggests to me that business potential is negligable.

STN is reliant one or two based airlines like skipness says, DSA relys one one comparitively small based operation from TOM. Taking both into account i know which one will have a better future, better an airport near London than one near Doncaster dont you think?
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Old 24th Mar 2009, 17:41
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Going Loco - I understand how my point can give the impression that I am just trying to defend Manchester. I am arguing that free market access to serve any route from any airport is damaging the development of regional hub traffic. The north of England doesn't generate enough of this to be able to spread it thinly across multiple airports. Up until the Millenium, Manchester provided some degree of international hubbing and offered a good range of international and intercontinental direct services to the north of England. Much of that has been eroded since the lo-co boom, as legacy airlines have lost the benefits of massing at MAN and been forced to look for lower costs or to drop marginal routes. There is only room for one hub in the North, logic says that is Manchester. If the North is to enjoy world trade links (direct services to as many destinations as possible at a good freqeuncy) only MAN can achieve this. The present situation is more concerned with having flights to the Costa Brava and new EU watering holes from every 'local airport' in the region. Whereas MAN is the local airport - that is the point about good surface transport access. MAN is within reach of nearly everyone in the North by car or train within a couple of hours, much less for many people. The other northern airports are not nearly as accessible. Until we move away from the need for every town and city to have its own airport, competing with its neighbours, we won't get a regional hub. As an analogy, would you want to get Sainsbury's closed down in your local town so that you can go to every little shop on the high street to do your weekly shopping? Manchester Airport benefits the cities of Liverpool and Leeds in a way that Liverpool Airport and Leeds/Bradford Airport can not match in return. They can complement by providing niche air services, but should not duplicate routes.
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Old 24th Mar 2009, 19:36
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There was no benefit to Leeds and Liverpool from the time when Manchester had a de facto monopoly on civil air transportation in the north. Older people will remember that it was favoured with a second runway in preference to Liverpool's aspirations, on the grounds that it had the potential to provide a gateway role. But it has entirely failed in providing that role, not because of the "nibble" or "tertiary" airports but because there was no need for such an airport in the North of England. The model was flawed.

What Leeds and Liverpool needed were good quality airports that were able to grow - and once the market was allowed to operate we saw in Liverpool's case just how much "captive" traffic and growth Manchester had. It leaked away because people didn't want the hassle of going to Manchester. Liverpool's catchment is, according to some fascinating CAA maps, very very similar - so once it is able to establish long-haul routes the market will be pretty much the same.

The particular need Liverpool has is direct connections to Heathrow, although the new KLM Amsterdam service will do for now. That was an important priority for Greater Liverpool's economy.
I'm afraid the fact is that a lot of Greater Liverpool people just don't like going through Manchester, they prefer their own regional airport, and good access to the national hub in Heathrow. I know people who live in parts of what is "officially" Greater Manchester, for example a mate in Wigan, who finds Liverpool more convenient and prefers to use it.

Manchester's economic development industry have claimed for years that they have a unique competitive advantage in the north because of their airport - so how come that Manchester airport can in one sense favour Manchester (eg in attracting inward investment) and at the same time favour the very cities it is competing with (eg Leeds and Liverpool)? It's nonsense to argue it both ways.

Manchester has failed to establish itself as a hub and failed as a "gateway". The industry changed around it. It isn't a hub, it isn't a gateway, and it can't become one. It's time to move on from that. The priority now is good links, preferably rail, to Heathrow, and building up good quality regional business services out of Liverpool, Leeds and other airports.

I would like to see Manchester de-designated as a "gateway" in the strategic plans of the North West and the Northern Way. It is an entirely unhelpful designation that may flatter a few provincial egoes in that town, but does nothing to build the connectivity of the north to vital business centres. I want to see Liverpool Airport achieve its full potential, competing head to head with Manchester on long haul in the future, and linked into high speed rail that will provide Greater Liverpool businesses with quick journey times to Heathrow.
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Old 24th Mar 2009, 20:26
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It leaked away because people didn't want the hassle of going to Manchester
Nonsense. It "leaked away" because the management at MAN were not bright enough to see that LO CO s would be able to both generate new traffic and leach business travellers. Had MAN offered easyJet and Ryanair deals at the turn of the century and a little before, Liverpool would now be struggling.

but because there was no need for such an airport in the North of England. The model was flawed.
Again nonsense. Have a look at the routes ex MAN in the period 1988 - 2001. A variety of factors - all well rehearsed here and elsewhere - have changed the picture regarding long haul and legacy carriers since then.

Your whole post smacks of uninformed isolationism. If easyJet and Ryanair were to vanish tomorrow, how long do you think Peel Holdings would carry on before building on the airfield?

Geomorphology and population centres in a small island favour certain metropolitan areas over others. Manchester has had, and continues to have, a greater economic gravitas than either Liverpool or Leeds.

Had Burtonwood not been undermined by the Lancashire coalfield, Manchester Airport would have been established there by around 1969. As it was, and is, the largest airport in the north of England is positioned on a site with excellent surface links, reasonably central to Liverpool, Leeds, Stoke and Preston/Blackburn and with land for further growth when the time comes.

As for condemning people to "gateway" via Heathrow, you obviously either enjoy "hell" or have little experience of connecting there.
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Old 24th Mar 2009, 21:02
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Manchester remains the dominant airport within the north of England...period. MAN will always be the place for longhaul traffic from the north of England, the fact that short haul from other fields has developed should be welcomed.

To lament the fact that other airfields have developed, at the expense of MAN, over the recent past, is a particularly Mancunian outlook. People that reside outside Greater Manchester would argue that more fllights from LPL and LBA, for example, were a long time coming. Yes Manchester has surface transport links that are superior, particularly compared to LBA...however travellers from the Leeds and Bradford conurbations are still likely to find LBA an easier option than MAN. As a former resident of a BD postcode, the thought of trekking the M62 to MAN, especially in winter, is enough to fill one with dread with regard to making one's flight in a timely fashion.

For years MAN benefited from the North of Engalnd public having almost no choice than to fly from Ringway on IT flights (the based units at MAN outnumbered the collective units at LPL, EMA, HUY, LBA, MME and NCL by a significant factor..and it still does today, albeit reduced). However, the market changed and IT opertions fell out of favour against loco scheduled, MAN thought they were above that market and in the end they suffered. The fact that these locos have erroded some routes outside the core bucket and spade routes offered by loco is just one of those things!

To say that LBA and LPL can complement MAN is fine but to duplicate is wrong....I disagree. Yes MAN ought to be serving the Far East and the US West Coast....MAN has the specific infrastrucure to handle such flights, but to say that LPL/LBA etc shouldn't also handle flights to European hubs, or holiday locations would relegate them to a route network that would not be able to support their ongoing operation. This is not a opinion that people to the east of the Pennines, at least, would not support.
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Old 24th Mar 2009, 21:27
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Had it not been for Liverpool offering Easyjet + Ryanair deals with cheap airport fees in the late 1990s along with an airfield big enough to support a B737, I very much doubt Manchester would have seen the need to talk in a significant way to the LCCs at all.

Yes, MAN is where a lot of the people are and the money is, but it needed LPL and LBA to unlock the LCC wave before MAN wanted to get involved. In 1995, LPL was little more than a token airport - it took a risk that MAN did not want and it paid off

For that alone, one should give credit to the management of LPL.
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 10:33
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Basically, as I said before, the management at MAN cocked up by not embracing the low cost era at the start.

There's nothing wrong with airports competeing but too many airports in too small an area just dilutes the mix and reduces the viability of the airports and the services they offer.

There was a joke about Ryanair serving the five Manchester airports:

Central (Manchester), West (Liverpool), Northwest (Blackpool), Northeast (Leeds), East (Robin Hood)

That's fine for an LCC developing new custom but for all those airports to aspire to serve a range of short, medium and long haul routes doesn't make sense.

You don't get people in Hampshire expecting a vast range of services from Southampton, or people in kent expecting Manston to be a major hub - they go to Heathrow or, to a lesser extent Gatwick.

Long haul from Luton and Stansted has never consistently worked and for an airport to develop it needs to attract a wide range of carriers and routes and provide the ground based infrastructure to handle volumes of aircraft, passengers, cargo and ancillary services - something only Manchester is physically capable of in the North of England.

Historically, Manchester has had to fight the problems of BEA/BOAC/BA interference in its bid for routes, yet it continued to grow until the current malaise (howsoever caused).

Even with excellent competing rail services it has maintained healthy figures on London services whereas Liverpool, since the demise of British Eagle, has never sustained a London service, even at the level of one return a day. Leeds is now going the same way. Unless I was interlining at Heathrow (God forbid!) there's no way I'd take the plane from anywhere in the Liverpool to Hull corridor to London but I'd be happy to use the excellent train connections to Manchester to fly elsewhere - even using the motorways outside peak periods.

Many years ago I was responsible for marketing what was then the GMC to business tourism. As such I sat on various committees belonging to Tourist Boards, Chambers of Commerce, Local Authorities and Manchester Airport. It was agreed by a wide spectrum of both business leaders and politicians on the west side of the Pennines that a single major airport needed to be backed and developed to attract direct air services to/from the region.

That was back in the early 1980s. From the end of that decade until the late 1990s Manchester achieved the aims set out ten years before.

Since then - and not helped by 9/11 (although Manchester seemed to suffer less in the immediate aftermath) - the story looks to have been one of missed opportunities, mismanagement and a lack of foresight and flexibility.
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 12:33
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Just my opinion...

the management at MAN cocked up by not embracing the low cost era at the start
I think you're being a little harsh on the MAN management. When Easyjet started up, LHR and LGW simply didn't want to know - they didn't want some upstart cannibalising existing business and harming long-term customers. LTN didn't have much scheduled business and were happy to take Easyjet.

MAN and BHX in the 1990s both had significant operations from BA, paying high airport fees. Offer an LCC low fees, and BA will demand the same. If a company has a monopoly (as MAN and BHX pretty much did on scheduled flights in the early 1990s in their regions), then you will make bigger profits by charging customers higher prices. When BA had their own terminal at MAN, it would have been absurd for MAN management to cut fees and support an upstart at the expense of their best customer. The management of MAN and BHX were only doing what was economically rational - they wanted to maximise profit for their shareholders.

In the 1990s, LPL and EMA did not have a significant scheduled operation, and could provide cheap fees to LCCs. The real factor that pushed MAN and BHX to talk to LCCs properly was BA significantly cutting, and eventually selling, their regional operations to FlyBE because other airports in the regions now had cheap scheduled flights to Europe.

Yes, the economics is warped, but MAN at the time had a local monopoly and a long established and very good customer in BA. If there had not been regional competition from LPL, the LCC operation in the north would look something like Toulouse does today - a locally dominant airline charging fairly high fares, other network airlines flying from their hubs, and a few LCCs flying in and out, but no LCC planes based locally.

Now that the market disruption event has occurred, it is up to MAN and BHX management to persuade LCCs to shift the emphasis of their operations away from LPL and EMA towards the population centres of MAN and BHX

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Old 25th Mar 2009, 13:45
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 15:33
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warringtonian

I have to agree with just about all of your comments re: Manchester airport.

People in the North of England are frankly fed up with being told that they must fly from Manchester everytime. This is why passengers are choosing to fly from their local airports on mass. No matter what politicians and local government boffins want, people vote with their feet. This is why airports such as LPL and LBA are starting to 'hold their own'. The proactive loco industry has capitalised on this at the regional airports. In the same period the long haul services from Manchester have collapsed and the charter market from Manchester has eroded.

The future of Manchester airport as a major regional hub or gateway will continue to look grim. When the economy picks up, the regional airports will continue to expand further reducing Manchester's airports role. Airports such as LPL and LBA will continue to expand and gain services to places like Dubai and onward from there which will in turn further reduce the need for long haul services from Manchester. On top of all this, improved rail links to London from the Manchester area will give another heavy blow to Manchester airport as London traffic is stripped from the airport over the next couple of years. The airport looks set to see more heavy reductions in passenger numbers.
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 16:54
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Funniest thread I've read for a while, this one. Nothing like seeing a bunch of fanboys desperately trying to 'big up' their own local airport while sniping at the competition.........
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 17:01
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MAN is the one airport that regularly showed a monthly drop in traffic when other airports were all growing (this is prior to the current downturn).

MAN is now showing one of the biggest reductions in traffic month by month...

This has not been due to the state of the economy, it has been a long term problem... anyone any ideas why this is if MAN is 'so much better' than other regionals???

Far from being a white elephant, Stansted was showing some of the strongest growth amongst the 'big' london airports (Southampton, Farnborough and LCY by far outstripping it)
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 17:03
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Warringtonian - a good post

Philbky - your posts reflect the continued deluded view that Manchester has ever or will ever be a significant hub airport. Yes it has a fair sprinkling of long haul routes. That doesn't make a hub. The trail of tried and failed long haul routes out of MAN grows longer by the year, and will continue to do so regardless of the presence of other airports in the region. Do you honestly believe that if LPL, LBA and BLK had never developed MAN would be a major hub? As I say, deluded.

The likes of EZY, RYR and LS have been great at growing local markets from regional airports. The fact that there are cheap and convenient flights from these airports has created a market that previously didn't exist and would to a great extent disappear should those LO-CO operations disappear. They would not lead to some mythical renaissance at Manchester or Gatwick whereby long haul carriers would establish routes fed by short haul traffic. Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Paris are all way ahead in the pecking order for that.

And any airport built at Burtonwood would not have been 'Manchester' Airport. It would have jointly served the needs of Liverpool and Manchester...
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 17:21
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Andy-s, cannot understand the reason for your posting other than to antagonsie...

In relevence to what i said, as the thread is titled, i believe that there are too many high aspiring airports in the north. I believe that all long-haul flights should be centred around one hub airport so as to not saturate that particular type of route. In order to be able to do that surely such an airport needs a critical mass as others have posted. I do believe that things will get better and MAN will again find itself in the sole position to claw back these lost long-haul routes, with the others such as LBA LPL and EMA continuing to do what they do best in serving their local cities with good cheap frequency services to European centres?

When i said DSA was not needed, something that many have believed since its conception, surely it is begining to hit home now with the loss of yet another regular service?
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 18:45
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Leodis said:

The future of Manchester airport as a major regional hub or gateway will continue to look grim. When the economy picks up, the regional airports will continue to expand further reducing Manchester's airports role. Airports such as LPL and LBA will continue to expand and gain services to places like Dubai and onward from there which will in turn further reduce the need for long haul services from Manchester.
Your basis for this in terms of land availability, multi-modal transport links and the continual increase in "extra" charges on LCCs at a time of recession is?

[Philbky - your posts reflect the continued deluded view that Manchester has ever or will ever be a significant hub airport. Yes it has a fair sprinkling of long haul routes. That doesn't make a hub. The trail of tried and failed long haul routes out of MAN grows longer by the year, and will continue to do so regardless of the presence of other airports in the region. Do you honestly believe that if LPL, LBA and BLK had never developed MAN would be a major hub? As I say, deluded.
Andy H52, before you even drew breath I had some involvement in the promotion of Manchester and its airport. My delusions are based on knowledge, experience and continued contacts with the industry - yours are based on???

BTW, I didn't use the word "hub" and your interpretation that a succesful airport needs to be a hub isn't borne out by either current realities or history.

And any airport built at Burtonwood would not have been 'Manchester' Airport. It would have jointly served the needs of Liverpool and Manchester...
You need to check your facts before posting. The move that was proposed when the USAF gave up Burtonwood was for Manchester Airport to move to Burtonwood and both Ringway and Speke be closed, Speke at the time having minimal service by Starways, Cambrian and Aer Lingus. It was proposed that the operator would be the City of Manchester as Liverpool City council was lukewarm about the idea - indeed was lukewarm at the time about Speke and even threatened to close it in the mid 1960s after ideas about Burtonwood had been abandoned due to subsidence and Manchester had continued to expand.

Nothing like seeing a bunch of fanboys desperately trying to 'big up' their own local airport while sniping at the competition...
Andy_S, for your information Manchester has not been my local airport for 23 years and in the last 10 years when visiting the UK I've used Liverpool 3 times for every time I've used Manchester - and I visit between 3 and 6 times a year.

davuidjohnson6, there is much in what you say but good management is all about looking at trends, foreseeing outcomes and adapting your business model to realities.

After years of a love hate relationship with BA and its predecessors, when the LCCs came along the management at MAN looked at BA and the amount of One World partners then serving the airport and decided they were the future and keeping LCCs out was the way to go. With many Star Alliance partners also serving the airport those in charge saw that LCCs would only dilute income and shunned them. Bad decision.

A better plan would have been to build an LCC terminal on the south side and charge lower fees for the different environment. easyJet would have been in there like a shot and income would have grown and the scenario of BA et al asking for lower fees would not have arisen.

As it was BA shafted the airport, by gradually withdrawing long haul services, playing games with the QANTAS service when BA was involved with that carrier and have pressurised other One World carriers to downgrade or withdraw services. It then withdrew all its own services but those serving its London bases - which it only keeps to feed its long haul from London and these services will go when the Heathrow rail link is made accessible to trains from the provinces.

Manchester's future lies in dealing with Star Alliance (led by LH), developing LCC routes and looking for niche long haul routes serving both business and leisure markets.

As for the other airports in the region, Blackpool hangs by a thread - currently Aer Arran and Jet2, Leeds is Jet2 and some of those flights now route by Manchester to fill seats, Liverpool has been doing well but Ryanair's downgrading will have real consequences for income - if easyJet do the same then trouble will set in.

As for Doncaster it would make an excellent freight port but East Midlands got their first - for once this century MAG got something right.
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 21:27
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<<<
...whereas Liverpool, since the demise of British Eagle, has never sustained a London service, even at the level of one return a day.>>>

I agree that Liverpool-London services have been unreliable and mixed over the years, but this statement is incorrect. After British Eagle collapsed, Cambrian, British Midland, VLM and easyJet all operated from Liverpool to one London field or another.
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 21:30
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I agree that Liverpool-London services have been unreliable and mixed over the years, but this statement is incorrect. After British Eagle collapsed, Cambrian, British Midland, VLM and easyJet all operated from Liverpool to one London field or another.
...and not one of them sustained the service. Some lasted a year or three, others months.

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Old 25th Mar 2009, 21:57
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philbky - the Jet2 split load flights operating across MAN/LBA are ski flights to Geneva and Chambery and reflect the weak ski-market from BOTH sides of the pennines on off-peak periods. Most of the split load flights are the Geneva services which originate in MAN and pick up pax in LBA. I appreciate you have a downer on anywhere that isn't MAN, but you'll need to find a better example than that
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Old 25th Mar 2009, 22:25
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I appreciate you have a downer on anywhere that isn't MAN, but you'll need to find a better example than that
Yes, I have a real downer on Manchester, regularly using Liverpool to visit relatives in STOCKPORT and using Leeds when my daughter lived there.

Jet2 may well have to use both airports to make the ski flights profitable but, in the context of the thread, that doesn't say much for the market in Leeds which needs the traffic more than Manchester.
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