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Old 4th Aug 2009, 06:12
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I think BA will survive for a number of reasons. One, it is the flag carrier and as such the population would not want to see it go under, there would be a massive media campain to prevent a collapse.
Two, assuming it can get all its costs down, staff, pensions, capital, marketing, then it is in no worse state then any other carrier.
Three. it does have a unique route structure where its Longhaul traffic is fed by its Shorthaul traffic & vice versa. However where I believe it is going wrong at present is its steady destruction of this vital two way feed.
I note that lots of early/late European/domestic flights are being withdrawn. Without these its impossible for pax to interconnect, forcing them to travel with a competitor. You will notice its revenue is well down at present, circa 12%, is not a lot of this caused by the effect I mentioned above? If they marketed this interconnectivity agressively, they would have a headstart within the UK. Even LGW could be drawn in here, why can't they run their own link between LHR-LGW, making life easier for interlining.
BA like most business's at present has a revenue problem, they will not solve it by cutbacks which reduce revenue.
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 07:24
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Walnut

Being the flag carrier didn't stop Sabena and Swissair from going under.

Also across the country as a whole I don't believe BA is held in any higher esteem than Woolworth's and look what happened to them.
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 08:13
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A media campaign similar to the one to stop "Sir" Fred Goodwin getting his pension? Given how well that worked BA would be wound up overnight!!
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 08:37
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BA is increasingly become the flag carrier for london and not the nation, and with there continuen degrading of in flight service and customer care there is a real possibity they could become state owned and all its assets sold off.
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 10:00
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BA needs to retain at least 4 months operating capital or the CAA has ever right to pull its licence to operate.
BA is like any other business it can go under. Look at Rover, Woolworths.
BA is trying to be run with a low cost frame of mind and make it work on a full service airline not possible. Yes cut your cost base, but also look at way to improve your revenue stream and generate positive cash flow in the business.
Other airlines are profiting from the problems at BA. I see customers come past me saying they are unsure of BA and what is happening. It’s the negative headlines with the unions and Walsh banging their drums. Talk about talking an airline down.
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 11:02
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Walnut,

BA's route structure (hub&spoke) is not unique, AF-KLM and Lufthansa have the same system.

BA is the only flag carrier in Europe with a 3 billion pound pension deficit on it's books, that is unique...

Publicity campaigns will not save an airline, I really wonder if the average UK citizen is willing to part with some cash to save BA.
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 17:17
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I don't think anyone wanted the government to bail out Northern Rock, but they did to the tune of billions.

BA is far from needing saving but Mr Flaps is correct about Walsh talking the airline down-where's Colin Marshall when you need him !
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 22:34
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Longhitter

Perhaps the only reason that:
BA is the only flag carrier in Europe with a 3 billion pound pension deficit on it's books, that is unique...
Is because "BA is the only flag carrier in Europe" who's pension arrangements are subject to the legislative powers of TCGB?

That is unique!
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Old 4th Aug 2009, 22:53
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Gordon Brown as Chancellor was responsible for a massive tax grab on what was one of the best pension structures in Europe ( the country not BA ), however the UK public has the attention span of a retarded goldfish, so even the MPs stealing on expenses is fading and it's back to arsing things up as usual.

The money was redistributed to fund the client welfare state that keeps voting Labour back in.

Brown was named by the Daily Mail as "The Man Who Stole Your Pension" but since pensions are beyond the understanding of many of us, it's hard to make a case in the attention span required. That's a big part of the reason the BA scheme went into meltdown and may yet drag the company into danger.

"post neo-classical endogenous growth theory" anyone?

Last edited by Skipness One Echo; 5th Aug 2009 at 19:27.
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Old 5th Aug 2009, 09:03
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...and here are some of the figures to prove it, across some of the UK`s largest companies.
Scarey numbers!!!


BBC NEWS | Business | Top firms' pension funds plummet
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Old 5th Aug 2009, 16:34
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July Traffic and Load Factor up in July

BA have just released their July pax figures.

In July 2009

* Passenger capacity, in Available Seat Kilometres, was 2.7 per cent below July 2008.

* Traffic, measured in Revenue Passenger Kilometres, rose by 1.0 per cent.

* Load factor increased 84.6 per cent up 3.1 points on July 08.

* Their was a 11.0 per cent decrease in premium traffic

* Their was 3.5 per cent increase in non-premium traffic.

* Cargo fell by 6.8%


It looks like BA's removal of excess capacity is starting to work!!.
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 17:45
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LGW

Looking at the Winter shedules 09/10 ex LGW. Is there another 777 heading down there from LHR with the new routes they are operating MLE/SSH/MBJ?
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 20:49
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Latest plan that we have heard about, is that the 4 class aircraft currently operating JFK service will be swapped for a 3 class aircraft, so no more needed at the moment!
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 01:30
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A Take on BA's issues

I was talking to a City Analyst about British Airways last month, and here are some points. Please note cannot mention names as views expressed are personal and are expressed here for debating purposes.

Simplistically BA has been on the rack since the late 90s over 2 distinct issues, one imposed by the Labour Government, and second by making themselves slaves to an internal goal. There are others such as outdated working practices, and arguably passing over the opportunities presented by KLM and Swissair.

Despite the above BA has proven very adaptable and quite profitable over the period, with some exceptionable managers.

Firstly, Gordon Brown’s Great Pension Theft caused a long term funding problem which directly hit BA’s ability to develop the business as money that would have been re-invested had to be sunk into the pension pit to make up for the money Labour stole. The damage Brown’s Grab caused to British industry has been amazing. I believe an actuarial report a couple years ago showed that Brown’s Grab actually depressed the tax revenue received by the Inland Revenue over the period.

Secondly, the 10% Margin Rule. This was applied across the board, perhaps it would have been better to just apply this to Heathrow services and set a different standard for LGW and the regions. By keeping profitable routes outside LHR despite not hitting the 10% targets would have been cash flow positive to the business as a whole, retained potentially a significant and probably frequent flyer client base, although inevitably there would be losses to the locos.

BA now has virtually all its eggs in one basket, Heathrow, and while a strength as the World’s Premier airport, it is a weakness as BA’s does not seem to have anything else as a fallback, not even Iberia as far as anyone seems aware at this point. Perhaps a closer relationship with FLybe, though at arms length could provide a new start back at least in the UK and Europe, and avoid the cludge that de-evolved into Bacon.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 07:58
  #1135 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Nicc HK
IBA now has virtually all its eggs in one basket, Heathrow, and while a strength as the World’s Premier airport, it is a weakness as BA’s does not seem to have anything else as a fallback
While the financial points are also correct, BA has not only shrunk to just operating at Heathrow, but they narrowed further to over-concentrate on premium classes and corporate-level agreements, which there was a short-term rise in demand for but which has now dropped back, and wholly on the London market rather than connecting traffic. T5 is a poor terminal for connections, they take for ever and I suspect a substantial number are still lost.

Short-term pennypinching on the premium class catering and ancillaries will drive more such passengers away, while for connection BA should look at how many others do it - Lufthansa do published 25-minute connections at Munich, and I've never missed one yet, because they are organised for it. A Heathrowite writing here a while ago about these said firstly that they were illegal, and then when I showed they were officially published just said they should not be allowed. A typical BA attitude to life I am afraid. Lost connections because the inbound aircraft waited 20 minutes for a stand at T5, or because the flight connections security is disorganised and queues are huge, is just bad management.

Does anyone from Waterside ever come down to T5 to think up any improvements ? No, because the prevailing attitude is that management is all about generating spreadsheets in the office and showing conformance to budget, not about developing and improving a product so more people will want to buy it.

As for Willie Walsh, BA is just a placeholder for him until he gets the job he really wants, Chief Exec at Ryanair following Michael O'Leary. And he can indulge in upsetting his future competitor while he's at it. Wonderful.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 08:06
  #1136 (permalink)  
 
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I remember BA publicising short connection times (could have been 25 minutes) at Gatwick years ago - probably around the time North Terminal opened. It let that die quietly (the same as flying point-to-point services within Europe but outside the UK and through flights via London from and to points outside the UK).
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Old 23rd Aug 2009, 18:11
  #1137 (permalink)  
 
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For anyone interested, the registrations for the 77W will be G-STBA & G-STBF for the two 777-336(ER), and G-STBB/C/D/E for the four GECAS leased 777-36N(ER).
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Old 23rd Aug 2009, 21:10
  #1138 (permalink)  
 
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What's the significance of STB anyone?
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Old 24th Aug 2009, 08:40
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I think the significance is "BA", then "BB" etc.

ST could stand for "stretched", perhaps.
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Old 24th Aug 2009, 10:04
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"stretched triple" Surely not?
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