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Old 7th May 2012, 12:12
  #1841 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by CabinCrewe
the 767 are currently stretched on existing services. The frequency would need to drop significantly or there would need to be significant 767 reshuffling.
Even though the 787 is supposedly "alright now", they are creeping out into service in such penny numbers per month that it is obviously going to be many years before any of the BA order turn up, regardless of what Boeing might promise. Therefore it does look like an A332/A321 mix is the best answer.

BA must be regretting selling all the 757s.
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Old 7th May 2012, 12:59
  #1842 (permalink)  
 
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CabinCrewe - not strictly true BA, some Caribbean routes are double drop;but some of the Caspian routes cannot sustain a 767. I remember GYD and ALA were originally 767 routes from Gatwick, before BMED took them over and switched to the 320/1 and they were fitted out with the old Club World product
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Old 7th May 2012, 14:09
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On past performance BA would certainly want a consistent longhaul product, which would imply a 767 or 777. Ideally they would probably want an aircraft with more cargo capacity than an A321 can offer.

It seems unlikely they have sufficient spare longhaul aircraft to replace the 320/321 on these routes and the plan appears to be that the 332s will be disposed of soon. But if they discontinue them there will be more uncovered slots to protect at LHR. Why close them unless the economic performance is shown to be unacceptable ?

There would seem to be a case for continuing them to see how they can perform under BA ownership. The A321 seems to be a good size in terms of passenger numbers, and BA will presumably make the decision whether or not to accept its limitations in the short to medium term.

LHR-FRU I believe started life as a BMed contract with a Canadian mining company. Does anyone know if those mining contracts still sustain the route ?
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Old 8th May 2012, 06:55
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Some interesting views on BA expansion but is there not an issue with the lack of aircraft to undertake this extra work. In addition T5 at times cannot cope with the volume of arriving passengers as it is.

I am guessing that Heathrow East (T1 and T2) will also be full to capacity very soon after opening.
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Old 11th May 2012, 06:59
  #1845 (permalink)  
 
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Advised that Heathrow to Rotterdam, Zagreb and, wait for it, Leeds have just been announced.
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Old 11th May 2012, 07:08
  #1846 (permalink)  
 
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Fuel hikes and Iberia strike costs send IAG losses higher | 11 May 2012 | Stock Market Wire
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Old 12th May 2012, 17:51
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With the BMI slots will we see some of the lgw routes move to lhr ??
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Old 12th May 2012, 18:00
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LHR - RTM ? Really?

Only a couple of years ago KL dropped this route. Was op by F50's.

Are you sure BA are not opening LCY - RTM?
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Old 12th May 2012, 18:03
  #1849 (permalink)  
 
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Quote: "With the BMI slots will we see some of the lgw routes move to lhr ?? "

Wouldn't have thought so, flyer55, think it's more likely that these slots will be used for the expansion of long haul business routes and/or routes attracting transfer passengers, with some new routes opening up in the so-called "emerging" economies.

Some of the former BD routes will be kept if BA find them to be viable.

Suspect that the mostly point-to-point leisure routes will remain at LGW, as will some short haul to give U2 a "run for their money".

Could be wrong of course!
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Old 12th May 2012, 18:22
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Fair Deal Frank
I believe you are correct in your assumption. In a question and answer session at the Q1 Results Session Willie Walsh says IAG and BA remain committed to Gatwick.

Some quotes from the session below:
"Gatwick is an opportunity for both BA and IAG.

Pleased with restructuring and believe there is growth opportunity for IAG within the Gatwick market.

The new [airport] owner has a brought more ambitious focus for Gatwick.

We believe particularly longhaul will provide us with some additional opportunities going forarwd, we're convinced Gatwick will continue to play an important part and believe there is more to exploit from our presence there.

Longhaul operation is very successful, with some feed from shorthaul, but typically very low. Rejigging our connecting feed to Heathrow creates opportunities for renewed network focus including the network at Gatwick.

We are absolutely committed to Gatwick, we've reduced scale over past few years but don't see further reduction. May well be opportunities to grow presence there through IAG developments and BA developments.

We believe there are opportunities at Gatwick, and these plans are in the £1.5bn 2015 target." ( I think this is a profit target)

So some positive news hopefully.

V.
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Old 12th May 2012, 19:36
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Could we now be seeing BA utilise it's slots more effectively in the UK? I'm really pleased to see them looking at both UK and worldwide expansion.

MAN I would imagine is going to see more 767/A321 flights when they use some of the BD MAN-LHR slots for long haul/new European destinations.

Are we to see the same for GLA and EDI?
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Old 12th May 2012, 19:38
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MUFC_fan:

As we see BA taking its 76x's off LH and quite commonly appearing in BCN, CPH and other major Euro destinations I think we can safely say they will begin to appear domestically too.
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Old 12th May 2012, 19:52
  #1853 (permalink)  
 
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You notice how he did not mention short haul......
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Old 12th May 2012, 22:36
  #1854 (permalink)  
 
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He did however mention about Gatwick longhaul having 'some feed from shorthaul' which could be increased if longhaul were to be expanded and this in turn would benefit the shorthaul routes to an extent. Although BA have been downsizing Gatwick shorthaul they seemed to have slowed down significantly recently and the 20-22 based shorthaul aircraft suggest that there is a market for BA on shorter routes and they prehaps need to look into markets where their more upmarket brand and product could help them to gain their own part of a market.

On a similar topic I could possibly see IAG's 'other' airlines Iberia possibly starting a LGW-MAD route fairly soon to make the most of Iberia's longhaul routes. Also worth considering that Madrid form Gatwick grew significantly last year and with Ryanair's pullout there should be a reasonable gap in the market. Either that or Air Europa and the Orange will add an extra flight or two!

However the commitment to Gatwick by IAG is good to hear of regardless and I guess we will just have to wait and see what happens.
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Old 13th May 2012, 00:20
  #1855 (permalink)  
 
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Quote: "BA dont do double drop routes."

Quote: "CabinCrewe - not strictly true BA, some Caribbean routes are double drop"

Indeed, as are BAH/DOH and AUH/MCT out of LHR.


Quote: "LHR - RTM ? Really?"

Must admit, also found this a strange one.....but LBA and ZAG are very welcome new destinations!
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Old 13th May 2012, 21:18
  #1856 (permalink)  
 
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G-MIDX returned from EMA today and immediately entered service. Apparently her interior has been modified to BA standard as expected. However, she has returned in the same Star Alliance scheme that she left with. Wonder if BA are planning on painting her elsewhere such as LHR?
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Old 13th May 2012, 22:25
  #1857 (permalink)  
 
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G-MIDS was also around LHR today in STAR colours. Oddball arrival was G-DOCU positioning in from Genoa for repairs to the gash in the fuselage.
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Old 14th May 2012, 00:56
  #1858 (permalink)  
 
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By all accounts some very expensive repairs if they carry them out
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Old 14th May 2012, 06:53
  #1859 (permalink)  
 
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Well... ouch.
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Old 14th May 2012, 07:58
  #1860 (permalink)  
 
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Regarding LGW and short-haul, I suspect the extra 56 bmi slot pairs at LHR has changed the dynamic considerably.

KW said that 1/3rd of the bmi slots would eventually be converted to long-haul leaving a lot of extra short-haul capacity at LHR to be filled.

Leeds-Bradford and Rotterdam took most people by surprise so who knows what is next?!
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