DURHAM TEES VALLEY AIRPORT - 4

[mmeteesside]

Well I've finally found time to do an analysis of the June 2007 passenger numbers...

Total for June 2007 was 80881 (-19.3% on June 2006)

Aberdeen 2742 (54%)
Alicante 6112 (93%) [shared GSM, JKK, TOM]
Amsterdam 10611 (74%)
Arrecife 1366 (95%)
Bodrum 1791 (102%)
*Bourgas 2093 (83%) [shared BGH, TOM]
Brussels 922 (38%)
Corfu 1750 (93%)
Dalaman 3172 (92%) [shared OHY, TOM]
Dublin 4956 (62%)
Gerona 3805 (77%)
Faro 1732 (74%)
Heathrow 7229 (71%)
Ibiza 3804 (87%) [shared GSM, JKK, TOM]
Jersey 152 (58%)
Larnaca 1436 (95%)
Mahon 1949 (91%) [shared GSM, TOM]
Malaga 6048 (84%) [shared GSM, TOM]
Palma 11260 (95%) [shared GSM, IWD, JKK, TOM]
Paphos 1493 (99%)
Reus 2958 (94%) [shared BMA, TOM]
Tenerife 1118 (74%)

* - Bourgas is based on a full B738 (TOM) and half an A320 (BGH) as this is shared with LBA

An extra for this month was Oslo 598 (67%) which I believe was school trips from Norway (operated by SAS Norge)

Analysis...
Quite a few of the charter routes are looking strong, Larnaca and Paphos both doing well, an increase on these for next summer is looking unlikely however (Paphos is dropped at the moment)
Another strong performer is Turkey, Bodrum and Dalaman both pulling in decent load factors. The load factor for Dalaman may well drop in July with the Goldtrail flights finally starting
Some of the Flyglobespan routes seem to be doing well, Palma, Mahon and Alicante being some of them. Jersey was low due to the inbound flight presumably not having too many passengers on it due to it being the first outbound!
As for scheduled routes, well Dublin continues to languish around the 55-65% mark, Gerona seems to be doing better, 77% this month, 78% in May
KLM's Amsterdam increased again, and bmi's Heathrow is starting to look up now that regional run the route, however it does prove that an A319 is too big for this route!

[DTVAirport]

BRU doesn't look good, I thought it was picking up?

[skyman771]

Bodrum 1791 (102%)

[mmeteesside]

Not sure, I based this one on weekly A321 (Onur for Goldtrail). Does the BD8156 route BJV-LBA? Could be why as this diverted in from LBA once during June. Thats why the figures may be skewed slightly.

[carbheathot]

DTV -"New terminal building work will commence in 12-18 months and is likely to include an indoor terrace/restaurant on the upper floor which is landside, so we'll have views similar to the old rooftop terrace"

Unless there is a big increase in the terminal pax stats this won't happen.It is pure spin

"Going back to an earlier post in the thread - you're not seriously suggesting that the airport would draw up plans and submit them for approval with no intention whatsoever of going ahead with those plans???"

It is frequently the case with Developers that they submit applications to increase the value of the asset (the land) An accountant would tell you the trick with the balance sheet
Good example locally is the Tall trees housing development near Yarm


Groundhand
" doubt whether the council will prioritise funding for the airport ahead of essential services to their community at large."
I don't believe that any of the local authorities who now have only a nominal interest in the Airport have any plans to fund anything. Most of them seem to be barely able to fund the emptying of the bins.
But I really did enjoy the Typhoon yesterday, thats what aeroplanes are all about..........

[mattfalcus]

Unless there is a big increase in the terminal pax stats this won't happen.It is pure spin

Well this is only information that the guy from the airport freely offered at the meeting. He wasn't asked about the plans.

[DTVAirport]

Exactly. So if they are lying to the public then they're also lying to their staff.

[carbheathot]

I didn't say "lying" I said "spin"(not the sort that you do after a wing drops at 42knots)
The CAA website gives the stats for the current rolling year, it's looking like 780K pax through the terminal this year.That doesn't justify a massive terminal expansion, and with Globespans reliability(check other threads for corroboration) I can't believe Peel any more than I believed them last year or the year before that.
The companys' development plans are to open up the southside of the airport as a Business Park, (something that they have a good track record at doing) and then there could be some cash generated which could fund terminal improvements.The big question is in the timing, if they leave it too late ,GSM will have either gone or b***ered up the pitch sufficiently to discourage other operators and then Peel are left with a significant development asset which many think has been their game plan all along.
We shall wait and see.

[DTVAirport]

I know you said spin, that's what I meant too, not lying, ignore me.

[carbheathot]

Thats Ok DTV I don't take any offence at anything ,unlike some of these "professional" pilots on some of the other forums,they really get stuck in to each other particularly the ones on about Airbus software, jesus!!
Hope you saw that typhoon yesterday, I don't "spot" very often but that was awesome

[uklad007]

MME Teesside, not a criticism at all but re your point on MME-LHR use of an A319 being too big, its down to BMI that have turned this route into one where an A319 is now too big. I can recall only a few years back a few at BMI telling me this route was one of BMI's most profitable and it was using bigger aircraft than an A319 (apart from the use of a Fokker 100 for a period). A couple of years back you could fly for £48 return, cheapest now is around the £80 mark so they have priced a section of the pax out of the market. With BABY to LGW and the chopping/changing of frequencies and timings on LHR its turned a very profitable domestic route which could take far higher loads of pax to the current aircraft and reduced nos. Its a shame really as BMI/MME's relationship on this route goes back 30-40 years I think and i believe at its height it was five times daily on DC9's/737's.

[DTVAirport]

uklad007 - everything you said is true, but thanks to bmi regional taking over, the route has now stabilized with decent-ish load factors and in theory is making profit again.
Whether this will be enough to save the route (doubtful) is anyones guess, but I do know they are staying for the winter, when the route will be partially handed back to mainline as the Saturday night-stopper is to be upgraded to an A319.

[mmegh]

have been told by aviance ground staff that LHR route will not be running for next summer, also same staff are saying that they have won the KLM contract, so it's goodbye to SERVISAIR at MME, it is alos said by managers at SERVISAIR that the loss of the KLM contract could mean pulling out of 5 other stations.

[DTVAirport]

Servisair still have Ryanair and Wizz, and presumably the majority of the charters, hardly a reason to pull out?

Unfortunate about the bmi route, but we all saw it coming, and if that's what Aviance have said, that is likely what will happen, they're not often wrong.

[mmegh]

DTV yes they still have RYANAIR and WIZZ but as only 1 THOMSONFLY next year nowhere near enough to keep them at MME and that has come from the station manager

[DTVAirport]

Yea I suppose, and the Aviance station manager told me that Wizz originally approached them and asked for the full turnaround service for just £125 a time, but they needed at least £175 to make a profit, so they went to Servisair who accepted it, he then went on to say that he didn't think Servisair would make a profit.

[mmegh]

thats surprising as i heard that WIZZ approached SERVISAIR direct for the handling. and it wasn't until everthing was agreed that AVIANCE heard about WIZZ, as the AVIANCE station manager approached the S'AIR manager asking if he had heard anything about WIZZ, then days later was telling everyont that they are getting the contract but thought that S'AIR was going to take FLYGLOBESPAN off them. however am amazed how AVIANCE keep going as they pay more if wages than S'AIR but under bid them all the time in handling cost

[DTVAirport]

Well that's what the Aviance station manager at MME told me.

I'm sure however that we'll almost certainly get an immediate replacement for bmi into London, obviously though it won't be into LHR, especially since this will break the agreement bmi has with MME that says only they can fly jet equipment to/from London on scheduled flights.

Who the replacement will be is open to speculation but it will probably be into LGW, although this situation kinda fits Eastern's business model - snapping up business routes the second a carrier drops one.

[mmegh]

have been told by eastern staff that the have had a MME-LCY route pencilled in for a long time, which i think would work out very profitable for them.

[Jamesair]

They will need to use a larger aircraft than the J41 or it will go the same way as the NCL route.