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IRELAND WEST AIRPORT KNOCK

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Old 26th May 2015, 12:16
  #1861 (permalink)  
 
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Your calculations are wrong!
Bit severe
Knock had 120 seats available to sell
I have no access to the exact stats which you appear to be quoting.

I am basing my calculations as guestimates based on the info in this thread.

B757 has typically 200 seats.

Knock filled 60% say 120
200/100*60 =120.

which is 85% of their allocation
Several posters claim this is the gospel figure so who am I to argue.

nd on a season average sold 102 seats of their allocation.
Out of a possible 120 seats they sold 102.
102/120 = 0.85. 0.85*100 =85%.

All is good in the world.

They had no ability to sell the remaining 80 seats which were allocated to Liverpool airport so Im failing to see your point on this.
They could not even sell 120 seats in the height of the boom so accessing the remainder of the aircraft is moot.

The problem is that the notional aircraft to be used (B757 or some future variant of the A320/B737 families) all have seating capacities of 180+.

102/180 = 0.57. 0.57*100= 57%.

Despite the claims there is no "pent up demand".

The pilgrimage later this year is a charter flight so is operated at no loss to the airline.

You can bet that this will be heralded as some kind of second coming but the numbers would appear to be against it.

Airlines are not charities.
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Old 26th May 2015, 12:37
  #1862 (permalink)  
 
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Aer Lingus were quite emphatic at the announcement of the charter flight that they won't be launching any scheduled USA flight from Knock anytime soon.
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Old 26th May 2015, 13:25
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The LF debate is interesting, but all a bit moot when you don't know the yields?!
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Old 26th May 2015, 13:54
  #1864 (permalink)  
 
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Given thelast airline to run the service went bust, and it hasn't been picked up despite the fact this year is on course to be the record year for Trans Atlantic movements, I think we can guess.
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Old 26th May 2015, 14:13
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The LF debate is interesting, but all a bit moot when you don't know the yields?!
If you are only filling less than 60% of the plane either the airport is paying you or the price (yield) for everyone is saucy.
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Old 26th May 2015, 16:51
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US flights from Cork face ?barriers? | Irish Examiner

“We would love to have a transatlantic flight from Cork into the East Coast of the United States, but I think we need to be realistic about that. There are a number of limitations that stop us; because of the length of the runway in Cork, there is only one aircraft that could actually fly to the east coast and that is a Boeing 757, which has 205 passengers,
Thats from the chairman of the DAA.

(Of course, hes talking out of his hole, because a Transatlantic Boeing 757 carries roughly 180 passenger. He also states that the knock on effect of the low capacity of the 757 could result in higher prices (Complete and utter BS) and would result in 1 or 2 flights a week (Like an A330 would do daily?)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Evening Echo ? Transatlantic flights on way to Cork Airport

“The runway is not suitable for aircraft to travel to the West Coast of the USA, but at 2.1 kilometres, it is capable of serving 757 aircrafts on flights to New York, Boston and Chicago.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


On the Knock side of Transatlantic flights, I found this fourm FlyGlobespan airline Transatlantic flts JFK and BOS to NOC Ireland west airport - Page 2 - FlyerTalk Forums
stating that the NOC-JFK flight was 50/50 NOC and LPL.
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Old 26th May 2015, 16:52
  #1867 (permalink)  
 
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If you are only filling less than 60% of the plane either the airport is paying you or the price (yield) for everyone is saucy.
They went bust, id say the yield was fairly saucy. They would need nice and Looww fairs to compete with the Airlines At MAN,SNN and DUB.
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Old 27th May 2015, 07:20
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Well if it's from the Evening Echo I bow to it's superior knowledge. It's never been shown to be wrong in the past

I won't comment on whether there could possibly be any ulterior agenda from DAA Chairman.....
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Old 27th May 2015, 12:17
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Back on topic - there was reference to Knock in the report on the IAG takeover of Aer Lingus, talk of connectivity into IAG's range of Euro routes from Gatwick. If IAG are serious about this they would perhaps want to restructure the flight times to and from Knock or look at going double daily (unlikely I would think). Longer term, Knock might benefit if Gatwick were to win the ongoing London airport battle against Heathrow for further expansion.
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Old 27th May 2015, 20:44
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Originally Posted by Kinocker
Back on topic - there was reference to Knock in the report on the IAG takeover of Aer Lingus, talk of connectivity into IAG's range of Euro routes from Gatwick. If IAG are serious about this they would perhaps want to restructure the flight times to and from Knock or look at going double daily (unlikely I would think). Longer term, Knock might benefit if Gatwick were to win the ongoing London airport battle against Heathrow for further expansion.
Agree an early to mid morning slot would work well on the Gatwick if the interlining possibilities are opened up as you would imagine they will be - looking at the BA network in particular potentially opens up access to the likes of Las Vegas and Orlando and s host of European cities - if you can book a through flight from knock would be certainly a major development for knock
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Old 9th Jun 2015, 22:04
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Flybe launched winter 2015/6 today no sign of noc/man after October could that be the end of flybe!
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Old 9th Jun 2015, 22:08
  #1872 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by iwak
Flybe launched winter 2015/6 today no sign of noc/man after October could that be the end of flybe!
No need to worry yet, the schedule isnt fully released yet. Only about half of it is.

If it does go, its not that much of the surprise as I'd imagine the SNN FR service has has a massive hit. No turboprob can compete with €9.99 fares on a 737.

Still, no need to worry.
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Old 10th Jun 2015, 11:42
  #1873 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by AerRyan
No need to worry yet, the schedule isnt fully released yet. Only about half of it is.

If it does go, its not that much of the surprise as I'd imagine the SNN FR service has has a massive hit. No turboprob can compete with €9.99 fares on a 737.

Still, no need to worry.
Be a Shame if goes its more the Ryanair liverpool service that has affected it from knock now doing 80000 per year says it all - a lot of the Manchester people I know now use the liverpool service
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Old 10th Jun 2015, 12:32
  #1874 (permalink)  
 
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Yep I'd say the two of those together has given a hit. Although I still know a few hardcore Man UTD and Man City fans who refuse to fly to Liverpool, so you never know, it may still be there.
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Old 10th Jun 2015, 14:28
  #1875 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by AerRyan
Yep I'd say the two of those together has given a hit. Although I still know a few hardcore Man UTD and Man City fans who refuse to fly to Liverpool, so you never know, it may still be there.
Even sir Alex Ferguson flew out on the Liverpool flight a few weeks ago !!! It's back to the age old problem Ryanair are cornering the market now from the regionals with the only regional options ie stobart and Flybe retreating more and more as it appears they can't compete against €9.99 fares and who can blame them ! As you say hopefully the service might appear on the next draft of the Flybe winter schedule
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Old 22nd Jun 2015, 10:12
  #1876 (permalink)  
 
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A320/A321/737 Transatlantic from Knock

Hi Guy's

I've been checking max distances for the A320 and 737 and most of them would be safe to fly direct from NOC to either JFK or BOS.

However, does anyone know the realistic technical limitations that may arise depending on pax load, fuel, weight, weather conditions, delays etc

Was just wondering as you know there is an increase in low cost long haul ops beginning to arise. WOW air or WestJet would be two i'd day may offer talks to Knock? WOW air would seem promising if they attempted direct service from NOC rather than via Reyjavik.

I work at LGW and was just announced WestJet will begin ops next March, and our Norwegian USA ops have increased, (low cost long haul) so I believe anything is possible once the airline and airport negotiate a suitable aircraft that's available to operate the route. (.ie 787)
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Old 22nd Jun 2015, 10:49
  #1877 (permalink)  
 
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Based on previous conversations.

*Very few airlines have made TATL on a 737/A320 viable.

*No airlines to put TATL in Knock. Wow air are in Reykjavik and Norwegian won't use 737's.

*Is there even a market.

*VERY heavy competition from DUB/SNN.
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Old 22nd Jun 2015, 16:47
  #1878 (permalink)  
 
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heneghan, still air distances don't translate into ground distance. A 100kt headwind westbound means a tech stop for fuel. Globespan usually tech stopped on the westbound whenever they used the 737. Pax don't like looking out the window at Gander or St Johns for an hour.
Also, as I mentioned above, a 737NG cannot take off at MTOW from Knock on days with low atmospheric pressure (i.e. winter) as the runway isn't long enough.
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Old 22nd Jun 2015, 20:06
  #1879 (permalink)  
 
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As part of their new focus on Ireland, Falcon are looking at starting operations from Knock again. PMI is a likely contender.
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Old 4th Jul 2015, 10:52
  #1880 (permalink)  
 
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Manchester

Anyone hear any further news on the knock - Manchester service and if it plans to operate beyond October - I know they still finalising schedule at present - hopefully it remains - from looking at CAA stats the airport hadn't been adversely affected by the loss of BHX service looks like the EMA service had improved considerably and picked up all this business in April anyway - would expect LPL to do same if they lose MAN service
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