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Old 24th Sep 2006, 07:46
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Continuation of: http://www.pprune.org/forums/showthr...225260&page=14

I wonder if a runway extension at LBA would havs affected Thomsons decision to start pulling out.
It does not make sense to operate the short haul programme from LBA and the long haul programme from DSA.
Could the airport not see this coming? DSA have been shouting about their long runway for about 5 years.Maybe I am wrong but this is what I would be thinking about if I was a Thomson decison maker.
Once DSA becomes established, there is no going back and LBA has lost the chance for ever.
EA once said, "We do not see DSA as a threat, we can work together".
I assume he means, LBA provide the passengers and DSA the flights!!!!
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Old 24th Sep 2006, 19:05
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I think these two airports will always be in competition no matter what anyone says for one very good reason. In geographical terms the south side of Leeds might be LBA catchment, but in travelling time it's up for grabs. As a Leeds lad dragged up in Armley (not the jail!) who now lives 5 minutes driving time from DSA I know that it takes me about 45 minutes to visit the relatives in Leeds and then depending on the time half an hour to an hour to get to Yeadon. (Using the old name to prove I know what I'm talking about.) If you were talking to a travel agent and didn't like the sound of travelling to DSA, then the agent said 'well it might actually be quicker than LBA' it might make you more amenable, in spite of local loyalties.

Tim
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Old 3rd Oct 2006, 17:10
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Have noticed on Jet2's website that Toulouse shows as an available destination from LBA, could this be another imminent announcement?

BD have tinkered with their new late evening ER4 LHR flight, which starts at the end of this month. It's now planned to operate 40 mins earlier than originally scheduled, so departs LBA at 20:20 and arrives back at 22:50, rather than 23:30.

BD will also be operating the ER3 on a Sunday evening LHR service, alongside the usual Airbus flight. Must surely be the smallest pax aircraft operating a scheduled service into LHR this winter! Most definitely a slot retainer, given that it leaves LHR about 20 mins after the 319 flight!
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Old 3rd Oct 2006, 19:07
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I can only see Toulouse is available from MAN??
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Old 3rd Oct 2006, 19:42
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Jet2 Leeds and Manchester

So with the recent announcement of 6 new routes from Manchester does it now have more destinations than Leeds ? and how long do we think it will be before Manchester offers them a deal to move the main base across the hills as has happenen in the past.
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 08:23
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I understand that today, Bradford City Council will announce their decision on whether to sell their 40% share in LBA or not.Leeds and other shareholders have said yes.
Again on TV last night it was mentioned about selling the family silver.
If their decision is negative, then the family silver would become very expensive. If the holder of the 60% decided 100million should be invested, where will Bradford find 40million? Or do Bradford Council believe they will only collect money from the airport and are happy for it not to grow.
Ownership of the airport should be left to the experts and not local councillors.
I just hope they make the right decision.
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 09:34
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A300BOY
By my reckoning MAN now has 23 routes and LBA has 26 from Jet2.
I don't see the whole Jet2 story as a M v L thing anymore. Look at the pax figures and you'll see that both bases can co-exist quite happily.
Now, I believe when MAPLC approached Jet2 in the first place their opening gambit was a straight transfer of the Leeds routes to Manchester which thankfully Jet2 declined. Quite sensibly they took-up the offer of a base however and the rest is history.
Let's hope that Bradford Council do the right thing (my parents are Bfd Council taxpayers!) so we can see some developments on CatII ILS for runway 14 and RSEA works around the 32 threshold.
BTW Did anyone see that pathetic journalism on BBC Look North last night? Reason NOT to sell the airport....it will disturb my golf swing!
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 17:47
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Breaking news....Bradford Council Executive approve sale, just awaiting the full Council to nod through the decision. Keep 'em crossed!
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 18:13
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Breaking News - Updated


Well its official. Bradford Council have now agreed to the sale of its 40% of Leeds/Bradford Airport

Heres the official press release from http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/west_yorkshire/5410708.stm.

The sale of Leeds Bradford Airport to the private sector will go ahead after the move was given the green light by Bradford Council.
The authority, which owns 40% of the airport, agreed to the sale after a full council meeting on Thursday.

Leeds City Council has already agreed to sell its 40% stake, along with other shareholders Kirklees, Calderdale and Wakefield councils.

The sale of the airport could be completed by spring next year.

'Hard realities'

Deputy leader of Bradford Council, Dale Smith, said the authority's decision had not been forced on it by the other shareholders which had already agreed to the sale.

He said: "We have taken this decision looking at hard commercial realities.

"We wish to see the airport move into the 21st century. We are not hanging on anyone else's coat-tails here."

Mr Smith said any estimate of what the airport could be worth was "speculation", but figures in the region of £40m have been reported.

He said: "Any money into the council tax payers' coffers is obviously welcome."

Safeguards for future

After Leeds Council announced its decision last month, councillor Andrew Carter said there were development constraints while the airport was publicly owned.

He said: "The airport business is complex and we believe this sort of commercial risk is more suited to the private sector."

But, he said, the authority would ask for safeguards about the future of the airport.

Leeds Bradford International Airport was originally Yeadon Aerodrome, which began operating in October 1931. The five local authorities took over its ownership in 1987.

The airport currently serves 60 direct destinations and was used by more than 2.5m passengers in 2005.
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 19:25
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This is undoubtedly good news, although unsurprising, I guess we will have to suffer the "Bradford" part of the airport name for a few years to come, which may be not a bad thing as Bradford has now started to trigger its regeneration as a city on the back of its regional rival.

£40m seem's low for an airport doing just under 3m pax, with an average growth rate of 10% per month over the last 2 yrs, which is a couple of percent higher than its new South Yorkshire rival. I guess this is a "net" figure...ie pure asset value at present, excluding the well known investment requirements needed for LBA. I am speculating, but i guess the true value that the airport will be sold with will be at the level that either one "side" will invest. E&Y, claim that there "is a significant interest in the airport".

682amsl, as a respected contibutor, any comments?
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 20:49
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My understanding is that a condition of sale will be a continuation of the LBA name....quite right too! Let's not start a L v B debate.....we have enough on our plates supporting LBA with MAN of old and more recently DSA without local infighting!

I note that a DSA forum (hosted elsewhere) has had a bit of Donny v Shef in the recent past...there are bigger fights to fight for all of us Tykes..even if we are away on missionary work down south!
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 20:51
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Thanks for the kind words CR7.

I believe the £36m number quoted (rounded up to £40m by the media!) represents the net balance sheet of the company at the moment, i.e. the net book value of its assets less liabilities. As an indicator of the likely sales price, it is next to useless given any deal is going to be transacted on the profit generating potential of the business over the mid-long term + the capital growth of the business.

The last LBA-esque airport to move out of council control was NCL back in spring 2001. Then Copenhegan Airports Group paid £145m for a 49% stake in the business at a time when the airport was just above the 3m pax p/a threshold. Allowing for the fact the price will have factored in the lack of a controlling interest, that valued the airport at c.£300m in total. On balance a similar valuation for LBA today is not unrealistic. On the up side is the fact the regional aviation business has grown since 2001, the fact LBA is the last remaining opportunity of its size in the UK and the clear evidence of a significant amount of the local catchment currently using MAN. On the downside, capitalising on the potential of the business needs investment in the airport landside and airside infrastructure and improved transport links.

Interestingly, Ernst & Young also acted for the authorities in the North East and it was they who brokered the NCL deal with Copenhegan.

With the political obstacles out of the way, the fundamental question is who will bid and will the authorities select the "right" bidder.

682
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 21:13
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Given that both Leeds and Bradford councils have significant Tory presences....one expects that there have been some back room conversations about possible buyers..however....
Peel & MAPLC - both out on competition issues.
Macquarie - poss and my favourite.
Copenhagen Airports group - poss, but given S&Ps statement last week?
TBI (abertis) - poss, particularly given their geographic spread - a nice addition.
Ferrioval (BAA) - poss, but have probably got bigger fish to fry with the break-up of BAA.
Anyway...interesting times ahead!!
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 22:33
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The EEC recently decided that Paris Orly and CDG were sufficiantly far apart not to count as "competetiive under EEC rules", so if Peel or MAN PLC felt so inclined, they could put in a bid.
MAcquarie - possibly, but they have a lot of investment tied up elsewhere and probaly couldn't afford it.
TBI - no spare cash, wouldn have to borrow heavily against one of their other airports - not permitted by CAA regulations.
Ferovial - No.
The Germans??????
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 22:52
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682, thanks for u comments, i am in agreement, but i am a bit concerned of E&Y being involved from personal experience, plus i do not see the similarities between LBA and NCL.....ie NCL with a captured catchment area, and LBA with a fluid catchment area..but i guess this will come out in the wash....

14 Loop, Think outside the box...does it need to be one of the "usuals", there have been various documented and undocumented rumours...right from Fraport and AENA in the aviation industry, thru Babcock's, and Shepherd's in the construction industry, thru to locals like Jan Fletcher and KW Linfoot in the developer industry as potentials. I guess we will be a million miles away from the eventual buyer, should there be one, when the deal is eventually done.

I think the next 6-8 month will be very interesting
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 22:57
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'so if Peel or MAN PLC felt so inclined, they could put in a bid'

Bid they can, but my mole however (close to one of the council executives) suggests there was some worry about selling to the wrong people. He says there are some very anti-Peel / MAPLC feelings within [I]one[I] council to ensure that a sale to either of these parties is unlikely.

Likewise, if you were a bear would you sh** in the w**ds?

I think other players will stump up better money rather than pay over the odds and dilute existing, competing, airports...read Peel (DSA, MME) and MAPLC (HUY, EMA and of course MAN).
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 23:05
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Bom CR7...quite happy to accept other bidders...Fraport & AENA are particularly good infrastructure investors...familiar with Babcocks but not Shepherds.
Anyway, this thread will expand over the next few months...will be good to watch.
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Old 5th Oct 2006, 23:08
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Originally Posted by 14 loop
'so if Peel or MAN PLC felt so inclined, they could put in a bid'
Bid they can, but my mole however (close to one of the council executives) suggests there was some worry about selling to the wrong people. He says there are some very anti-Peel / MAPLC feelings within [I]one[I] council to ensure that a sale to either of these parties is unlikely.
Likewise, if you were a bear would you sh** in the w**ds?
I think other players will stump up better money rather than pay over the odds and dilute existing, competing, airports...read Peel (DSA, MME) and MAPLC (HUY, EMA and of course MAN).
Peel and MAG can of course put in bids, but from what i understand they will need to prove they have sorted any competition issues and have certificates to prove from the EU.
Of course they can do that, how easy that is will depend on how well they prove that.
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Old 6th Oct 2006, 14:41
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Interesting times indeed my friends, reading through the lines of all your guesses, I have a little niggle about the Spaniards.
Remember London city was up for sale, one company pulled out from the bidding, I guess the price was getting a little silly - £750m they offered
But I reckon their still looking for an airport to buy so putting 2 and 2 together the Spanish construction group Sacyr Vallehermoso could be a runner.
Either way, I bet the bids are already on the table !!
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Old 6th Oct 2006, 16:38
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A300boy

I think the sale was probably instigated as a result of an offer or enquiry made to them. If we get the right buyer I am sure with the operational issues of the Ils upgrade and runway length, resolved we can give our competitor airfield a run for there money, but they are in the driving seat at the moment and in a very strong position regarding long haul flights. I dread to think what would be the result of Jet 2 pulling out or having financial problems.
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