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-   -   SAA's non bail-out bail-out (https://www.pprune.org/african-aviation/485531-saas-non-bail-out-bail-out.html)

JG1 16th May 2012 17:04

SAA's non bail-out bail-out
 
"A PROPOSED multibillion-rand recapitalisation of South African Airways (SAA) by the government is not a "bail-out", said Siza Msimela, CEO of the state-owned airline, on Monday.

Ms Msimela said funding of R6bn, which SAA had requested from Parliament, was needed to strengthen the airline’s balance sheet for a fleet renewal programme and improvements such as the introduction of a premium economy class and the extension of business-class cabins on long-haul flights.

Airlines all over the world are struggling due to rising fuel and industry costs, higher airport user fees and declining passenger demand.

Australia’s Qantas has reported a loss of more than A$200m for its international division in 2011, American Airlines has entered bankruptcy proceedings, Lufthansa has announced a €381m loss in its first quarter and 3500 job cuts, and Emirates has seen a 61% decline in yearly profit.

In South Africa, Velvet Sky has ceased to operate and Comair , the operator of British Airways and Kulula in the country, announced its first loss in 61 years.

Airlines that have stopped flying to South Africa include Malaysia Airlines, TAP Portugal, Jet Airways and Iberia.

Ms Msimela said airline industry profits were expected to fall further this year.

SAA needs recapitalisation to replace its short-haul fleet of 737-800s by 2017. Two A320 aircaft were delivered earlier this year, the first 20 new and more fuel-efficient A320s expected in the next five years
."

Mzimela draws us a picture of woe in the industry, all the big airlines in trouble..blah but we aren't, and "we don't need a bailout, we just need six thousand million rands to recapitalise"..

Having swallowed up R18 billion since 2004, thats R2,225,000,000.00 per year....now they want to buy fuel efficient aircraft? What do you care about fuel efficient aircraft when you can just run with begging bowl in hand to the government every year?

How about keeping the aircraft they have, which are pretty efficient anyway (probably the most efficient thing there), buying the new seats they need, and then asking for a couple of hundred million for the 5% difference in fuel they would use? Would save us a few thousand million.

Tableview 16th May 2012 18:03


A PROPOSED multibillion-rand recapitalisation of South African Airways (SAA) by the government is not a "bail-out", said Siza Msimela, CEO of the state-owned airline, on Monday.
Considering that, many years ago, one of SAA's executives who gave a speech at a presentation I attended didn't know that a loss and a deficit are (in essence) the same thing, there is not much hope that Siza Msimela, a political appointee, wuold know any better.

In fact, there is not much hope .......

(In fairness I should add that she, unlike previous incumbents in the position, does have siginficant airline experience)

308GT4 16th May 2012 19:11

How much is R6 000 000 000 ?
 
Anyone got any idea about exactly how much 6 000 000 000 (billion) is??:eek:
Take your school ruler and place it on your car window ledge next to you. Now drive down to Cape Town from Johannesburg, then back up, then down again, then back up again. Now look at the smallest graduations on the ruler, yes, the milimeter marks. Now picture every one of those tiny milimeters being a R1 coin. Now think of the distance you've just covered. All the milimeters in this distance in Rands is what SAA is asking the general public to donate to them, because times are hard......:ok:
If the dear politicians would just give 1% of that amount, divided by 3 to the private airlines to split equally between the 3, that alone would be fabulous!!
Oh yes, sorry, I forgot. We NEED to have a "National carrier". Stupid me.

square leg 17th May 2012 14:58

At least the government will be able to finance their new 777 and 787 to replace their current BBJ in the not-too-distant future.

The Ancient Geek 18th May 2012 01:06

SAA should not be state owned.
Privatise it - end of problem.

Tableview 18th May 2012 08:38


SAA should not be state owned.
Privatise it - end of problem.
Well yeah but no .....!

Privatise it and let it stand on its own feet. It won't. Its legs have become so atrophied from disuse that they won't support it. It is so full of useless middle-management whose only activity is buck passing and paper shuffling, senior management are increasingly political appointees, and only at the lower levels is there an intake of young enthusiastic hard-working 'previously disadvantaged' people who lack experience.

Without state support (life support!) South African Airways would die.

I.R.PIRATE 18th May 2012 09:50

I would bet that if they adjust pay scales ever so slightly, they would find their 6 billion in just a few years.

The Ancient Geek 18th May 2012 14:22

The owners of a privatised SAA would sort out the waste.
There would be a lot of job losses in manglement, the dead wood would go and salaries would move to the market rate. It should break even within 2 years.

There would be howls of protest but it would eventually become a profitable business OR ELSE.

Just take a look at the disaster that was BA before privatisation or a dozen or more privatised state airlines.

Trossie 18th May 2012 17:05

"Without state support (life support!) South African Airways would die."

... and ... ??!!

Shrike200 18th May 2012 19:35

How much more fuel efficient is an A320 vs a B738 (if anything)? I take it they mean the current A320, ie the ones they are receiving now, not the NEO? If they refer to the NEO, then how much better is that than a B738? If you can't make money with a B738 then I would imagine you're doing something wrong somewhere, but I would still like to know just how much more water they expect to be able to squeeze from this stone (the 'fuel efficient aircraft' stone that is). There comes a time when you have to make do with what you have - SAA has ALWAYS had the newest fleet in SA airline ops - now they're telling us they need new aircraft to replace the (by implication) old and fuel inefficient short haul ones? I'm sensing salivation at massive backhands somewhere...apart from the numbing buzz of the general aura of stupidity that always accompanies these things...

Tableview 19th May 2012 07:33


"Without state support (life support!) South African Airways would die."
... and ... ??!!
... and ... there would be lot less troughs for the affirmative appointees to stick their snouts into.

spacedaddy 23rd May 2012 14:51

Isn't re-capitalisation supposed to come from reinvested profits or loans that need to be paid back? They could go the loan route with government guaranteeing the loans but when they don't repay, the government steps in and bails SAA out so pay it this way or pay it that way Mr. Taxpayer but either way you will pay. In the end this IS a bailout.

four engine jock 23rd May 2012 16:12

So very true!

I.R.PIRATE 23rd May 2012 17:52

Bring the salaries down to market standard and your problems will be solved.

Or suck on the tax titty you parasites.

Goddam it I would be ashamed to be earning 2 million plus per year while my employer goes around with the begging bowl from my fellow tax payers.

Trossie 24th May 2012 05:32

SAA's CEO lists a number of airlines that are running at a loss this year or have significantly reduced profits. There is no mention of what bail-out any of them are getting?? (A hint of the way to go could be the job losses at Lufthansa?)

Also listed are the airlines that have pulled out of operating into SA. Shouldn't this be seen as a business opportunity to move into the space left by them... or is it more the case that there just isn't the business on the SA routes and that is why those airlines have pulled out?

But the best has to be (quote) "SAA needs recapitalisation to replace its short-haul fleet of 737-800s by 2017. Two A320 aircaft were delivered earlier this year, the first 20 new and more fuel-efficient A320s expected in the next five years."! Probably one of the most cost-conscious airlines operating in one of the most expensive airline environments is Ryanair. Their entire fleet is B737-800s!!! I have heard nothing about them "...need[ing] recapitalisation to replace [their] short-haul fleet of 737-800s..." Quite the reverse, with that fleet they have posted record profits (Ryanair reports record profits - The Irish Times - Mon, May 21, 2012)!! I haven't done the sums, but I suspect that Ryanair's entire seating capacity on that one 'fuel-inefficient' fleet significantly outnumbers SAA's seating capacity on all their fleets combined!!

Note, however, this quote from that Irish Times article "We expect more ... failures in 2012, as higher oil prices and recession continues to expose failed airline models as well as subscale or peripheral carriers"! Would SAA then fit into that category of "failed airline models" if they cannot make their B737-800s earn a profit and they cannot make use of the business opportunities presented to them with competitors pulling off routes into SA?

I also note that the 'proud to be SAA' lobby has gone very quiet with this thread!!

Alternative 24th May 2012 07:57

Not really Trossie, "we proud to be SAA" are quite content and have better things to do then waste time trying to convince SAA haters hell bent on demonising anything SAA that our current management is the best we've had in 20 years. We've seen the effects through the corridors and are willing to give them a chance.

Btw,if you haven't noticed,the B738 make up a small percentage of our fleet! It's A340's that need to go.

Long live SAA!

Shrike200 24th May 2012 08:17

^^^ I don't know if you realise this, but you sound like the average government minister. How you feel 'in the corridors' is totally irrelevant to what's actually happening. I'm sure you have no problem giving them a chance. In the meantime, everybody else has had enough a long time ago.

"SAA needs recapitalisation to replace its short-haul fleet of 737-800s" is the quote mentioned. No mention of A340's. Heaven help us, that'll be 20 billion requested on the next hand out I suppose.

Believe it or not, I remain totally open to being convinced by some facts. Ready.......go!


Good luck.

Long live SAA! (Really! Just without the constant f***** life support please! And when you're finally standing without your walking frame/ventilator, please repay everybody! Don't you still owe Comair/1Time/Nationwide?!? some anti-competitiveness money?)

The Ancient Geek 24th May 2012 14:33

This thread is getting silly.
This is not about "haters" or jealosy or pilot pay.

The facts a simple, Government ownership of an airline has been proven worldwide to be a fatally flawed business model.

In almost every case where a failing state airline has been privatised it has been turned around and made a profit.

Stop messing around and do the only sensible thing - privatise it and headhunt a CEO who has done it successfully before - Willy Walsh would be a good candidate.

There will be a few years of pain but it will be worthwhile, if you want a long term job as aircrew you need to work for a successful airline.

Trossie 25th May 2012 06:48

A "proud to be SAA" has surfaced and doesn't come up with a rational response. Of course they should be "quite content", so would I if my employer was in such financial trouble that it needed a massive handout and there was a government that still hasn't learnt about austerity ready to help with that bail-out!! (Throwing massive amounts of state money around was what got the Portuguese, Irish, Greeks, Spanish and Italians into trouble, so watch this space...)

As The Ancient Geek has said, this is noting about 'hating' any airline or group of people. It's all about questioning obviously flawed airline business models. It would have just been interesting to see if someone from the 'inside' could come up with a rational 'defence'. Obviously not! (As Shrike has said, some convincing facts would be welcome.)

The B737-800 fleet has been mentioned because that is what the CEO mentioned in that article. It is not a particularly big fleet. But the A340 as well? Wow!! That will cost a lot (and it is not a 'massively' big fleet either). Why can't SAA make money with relatively new aeroplanes that many other airlines manage to operate (without government bail-outs) in other parts of the world? (For example, a competitor on a couple of SAA's routes, Virgin Atlantic, has a larger fleet of A340s. They are renewing their fleet with orders for very modern aeroplanes... but with no government bail-out!!! And they have a far more expensive 'home' operating environment.)

Maybe there is a better management in SAA but if they were privatised would the markets be "...willing to give them a chance"? Should the SA taxpayers be happy about where their money is going? Should the private airlines that are trying to compete be happy about this state bias to the market?

Try being proud of something that can stand on it's own two feet, rather than a shallow 'pride' in something that is on life-support. "Long live SAA!"?? Only until the government umbilical cord dries up in the way that it has done in so many other countries that have splashed money around. Wouldn't it be so much better if SAA could 'live long' through its own efforts?

ByAirMail 25th May 2012 07:32

Alternative, calling people with valid and realistic arguments "SAA haters" is like playing the race card. The last desperate attempt to avoid the real issue and argument.

How many times before have we not heard " this is the right management team??"

TAVLA 25th May 2012 08:29

So many spleens being vented.

So much raw hatred.

Hope it makes you feel better, because it will have no other effect.

It won't change government policy.

It won't affect SAA in any way.

Basically you are impotent!!!!!!
:zzz:

Solid Rust Twotter 25th May 2012 08:52

The prosecution rests, Your Honour...

Trossie 25th May 2012 10:21

"So many spleens being vented.

So much raw hatred.
"

Wow! TAVLA, has a raw nerve been touched? (The only 'hatred' that I have seen above is in posts like yours!!)

"Hope it makes you feel better, because it will have no other effect.

It won't change government policy.

It won't affect SAA in any way.

Basically you are impotent!!!!!!
"

Have you people already been getting lessons from your future Far Eastern masters? What a dictatorial attitude!

Fortunately I live in a free country that doesn't have dictatorial attitudes like that. (I also live in a country where much, much, much more money is spent keeping crime down than is spent on bailing out airlines that can't hack it in the free market!! The ratio is "quite-a-lot:zero" on that one!)

Just enjoy that 'life support' while you can... no 'hating', just sympathy!

Tableview 25th May 2012 20:36


Alternative, calling people with valid and realistic arguments "SAA haters" is like playing the race card
I've been waiting for someone to say SAA is 'previously disadvantaged' because they had to fly 'round the bulge'!

The Ancient Geek 25th May 2012 22:55


I've been waiting for someone to say SAA is 'previously disadvantaged' because they had to fly 'round the bulge'!
Yea right, thats why the 707s were always full and struggled to get out of Sal after refueling.

Fuzzy Lager 27th May 2012 09:36

R18b in 8 years
 
So basically SAA has lost 6 million Rand a day every day for the last 8 years. Yip, thats an organisation worth saving.

So its being "recapitalised"? Why would a company thats been going for 75 old years need extenal capital? Because it never makes any of its own. They want more taxpayers money to by more equipment so they can lose even more money and get yet another "non-bailout" next year.

TIA

I.R.PIRATE 27th May 2012 11:26

Loving the excitement about the pending decision on A380s for SAA. Bet the boyos are already sitting in front of the mirror, salivating at their own reflections while mouthing the word "super."

Gotta love the irony, considering they will be buying the machines for their employer.

I've heard of buying ratings, but only in SAA do you have to buy the plane too.

PAXboy 27th May 2012 13:13

Unfortunately, we all know that SAA will survive in it's current form for some years. More money will be wasted and more a/c will be bought (think of all those purchasing trips to look at the shiny toys).

Eventually I expect, they will fail but only when the rest of the country is failing. This, after all, is Africa. Which means that having a national airline is an integral part of presidential power and pride. They need to show the rest of the world that they can do this too. Further, a national airline is a very good job creating scheme and THAT IS NOT to be thought all bad!! Jobs are needed and they might be created directly or indirectly, depending on the project. If the govt builds more houses they will also employ more people etc.

So it HAS to be biz as usual until the wheels come off. THAT moment is still some years away, although approaching with gathering speed.

(Whilst I live in the UK, I grew up there and have family and friends there. One branch of our family have lived in ZA since 1830. Many have run business' there and one currently works in the aviation field, so I do have some idea of the situation.)

TAVLA 29th May 2012 10:39

@Paxbaby

You are just as pathetic, arogant and ignorant (with more than just a hint of racism) as you were years ago. Just like these other trolls, you too have achieved squat with your spleen venting and wishes of demise. But I guess you will again accuse me of taking an alternative username just to criticise.

Are any important people reading.....,......nooooooooooo.

Has Pprune ever made the slightest difference to anybodies life.......noooooooo.

But good luck- I am sure it makes you feel better.

:bored::bored::bored::bored:


IRP You need help sir.......

Trossie .. you are weird. No hate speech in my post, no personal comments, no nasty wishes of demise, no denouncing of country. But I guess you enjoyed another spleen vent.

Shrike200 29th May 2012 11:30

Hey TAVLA, I couldn't hear your awesome factual defense of SAA over the sounds of those personal insults you were hurling - say again? :E

I.R.PIRATE 29th May 2012 13:07

Aha, the race card, that took a while. Lets play!

And while we are at it, please explain why I need help?

I suggested bringing the salaries inline with market standard - to cut costs. Or get rid of the dead wood. This is international standard practice when an airline cannot make enough profit to keep on operating. I understand that its not a priority for SAA to have to make a profit, and that is on par with an unemployed teenage mother that is having her fifth baby in order to gain another R200 childcare grant. On some twisted pre-evolutionary level, that is perhaps a logical way to approach things - but not in the real world.

It's still going to get good at SAA over the next few years. Much excitemunt awaits.:ok:

Its easy to be arrogant when you don't have to show a profit, with another bailout hidden behind every door. But like all fairy tales, there is a definite ending. Bring on the brothers Grimm!

Bergie 29th May 2012 14:55

Clearly SAA's selection process is working...

Did a flight not to long ago where the P3 was top-dog at one of the domestic carriers. Over a few beers he admitted he was one of the most ardent SAA bashes. Now that he's crossed over he admits how wrong he was all those years.

Funny that :hmm:

four engine jock 29th May 2012 18:46

SAA
 
Come on we will all complain about SAA untill they call you to work there.
I would work there in a heart beat.
The problem is that I work for an Airline that will be closed down because they cant compete with SAA due to unlimited Funds.
Thats the problem.
Iam sure that all the guys and gals that work at SAA dont care about what going in SA with the Airlines losing money because of SAA.

Trossie 30th May 2012 22:53

TAVLA,

You have a serious, serious problem!! Your spleen must have been blown to pieces!! (Do you know what a spleen is?)

There is absolutely NO logic in any of your posts. You are seriously in need of an anger management course. And you really need to keep off that Castle or rooi wyn or 'Kilpies' or whatever it is that gets you going! I really, really hope that you don't fly aeroplanes, because you would be the first ever 'fail' on a CRM course anywhere in the civilised world (do you know how to spell 'CRM'?). My golly goodness, the thought of someone with attitudes like yours ever sitting up in the 'sharp end' of anything important flying into somewhere important is enough to fill a crusty old aviator with horror!!!

Now come on, grow up a bit and if you think that SAA is so defensible, let us hear a logical defence. No rambling rubbish, just logic. Please try to surprise us on this?


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