Agree with PLovett re the thread having gone about as far as it needs to. Disagree re 'speculation' (and the gentlemen thing.... sorry gals). ATBS reports state with certainty what they KNOW with certainly... it's part of their remit to make their case (read the Analysis section of their reports). Where they have no recourse other than to speculate (use of words such as 'likely', 'probably', etc) then that is made clear too.
I think the reporting into this incident conveys more certainty than speculation.
The pilot will have one last opportunity (potentially) to influence how he looks--emerging from this incident--and perhaps even to acquire a degree of self-satisfaction. The movie will be made, and although it might be viewed by some as another investigation (or another slant on this investigation), it should be remembered that it will be nothing but a commercial vehicle, and the promoters will do whatever it takes to claw bums onto seats in cinemas.