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Old 2nd Jun 2016, 04:31
  #64 (permalink)  
Di_Vosh
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Melbourne
Age: 60
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hopefully we've all learnt to be a bit more sceptical about the absolute accuracy of weather forecasts
This is probably the most appropriate practical lesson for pilots.

In my relatively few years of RPT flying (8 at Qlink) I've noticed a significant degradation in the quality of the weather forecasts, especially at Melbourne.

It seems that almost every other month fog appears on the YMML TAF which wasn't forecast only eight hours prior. The last time it happened, I'd also checked the BOM website and the Melbourne forecast was for "Patchy fog in Northern and Eastern suburbs" but the YMML TAF had nothing at 10:00pm. 0500 the next morning: Fog.

On other occasions I've departed YMML (ML TAF with nil significant weather) for a Devonport return. Update NAIPS on the ground at DPO only to find INTER or TEMPO for Thunderstorms back at Melbourne.

Reactive forcasting at it's best
Agreed!

DIVOSH!
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