HC,
Many Years ago the US FAA was convinced by an Airline that having to meet Over Water Survival Equipment Requirements on New York to San Juan, Puerto Rico passenger runs was un-needed as there had never been a ditching or any emergency that could have caused a ditching and the routing took the aircraft only about an hour offshore.
The FAA agreed, the Airlines removed all the Life Rafts and Jackets. That allowed them to top off with added passengers.
Two weeks later, a FE managed to shut down all three engines on a Boeing 727 by mis-managing the Fuel System. Fortunately, the Crew managed to figure out what had happened and were able to get the Engines re-started before hitting the Water.
Your kind of Logic, similar to the concept of "Very Remote Probability" can have some serious repercussions when the Holes line up on the proverbial Cheese.