@Kulwin Park - We have only a few clues of substance, and a lot of missing information. Trying to draw conclusions without all the information that is currently in the hands of top investigators is pretty fruitless.
We can rely on this much. It's not what we are being told, it is what we are deliberately NOT being told, or what is being obfuscated.
To recap:
1. The aircraft made repeated and obviously well-directed attempts at total concealment. In that respect it has been superbly successful.
Whether those well-directed attempts were by hijackers directing the Captain or FO, or by the Capt of FO acting of their own volition, isn't known.
2. Cockpit security is the major issue here. I don't recall too many successful attempts at cockpit entry since 9/11.
Either someone used a particularly clever ruse to gain cockpit entry, or it was purely the crews efforts that made the aircraft disappear.
One FO who has been shown to have a casual attitude to cockpit security is a major concern here.
3. Nothing has effectively been stated about the cargo. The only statement issued was "there is no hazardous cargo on board".
From that statement we note that the value of the cargo was omitted.
4. Terrorists are the only people who are happy to play with hundreds of innocent people lives, like a cat plays with a mouse.
It's stretching the bounds of credibility that two professional flight crew, previously showing no signs of depression, extremist anger on forums, or all the signs of extremism (and wearing a T-shirt saying "Democracy is Dead" doesn't make you an extremist) would suddenly hijack a very large aircraft without leaving some important clues.
I've looked and looked and not seen those important clues.
5. The most likely scenario is a particularly clever hijacking by a well-organised extremist Islamic group, to a remote site, such as a dry salt lake bed, where a B777 could land successfully.
The terrorists used the Captains skills to good advantage, under threat of death. He complied because he wasn't prepared to behave like Indiana Jones.
There's not one of the 634 airstrips mentioned, where the arrival of a B777 wouldn't raise immediate concern and communication - UNLESS the terrorists had already taken over the airstrip, and silenced communications from it.
The aim of the hijack would be to secure the valuables in the hold - because terrorism requires financing, and the terrorists finances have been drying up due to increased financial systems surveillance, and the blocking of funding transfers.
The hold could likely have contained a large shipment of easily-utilised banknotes, not just gold or diamonds.
The bonus would be a free aircraft in the deal, to use as a weapon sometime in the future. It has been immediately camouflaged upon landing to facilitate the theft and the disappearance.
Feel free to shoot me down.
