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Old 5th Feb 2012, 11:02
  #404 (permalink)  
Milo Minderbinder
 
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If the Argentines invade they'll have to use commandeered civilian ferries. Assuming 600 men / ship then I guess they would need at least ten for an attacking force? Is one submarine really going to be able to stop ten ships? Especially civilian ones whose purpose may not be clear until too late?
If the Argentines were to use the 40-knot Seacat type vessels that cruise the River Plate (they may have to borrow some from Uruguay) they could run to Stanley from Buenos Aires in less than 30 hours. From somewhere closer like Ria Gallegos it would be around 6-7 hours.
Assuming they could keep the mobilisation of men and ferries secret, then theres not much time for one submarine to get in the way of a fleet of 40 knot vessels

And if anyone believes using catamarans is unrealistic, then think of the examples of Jervis Bay and Joint Venture. And also remember that Catlink 5 managed the eastbound Atlantic crossing at an average of 41.2 knots

Last edited by Milo Minderbinder; 5th Feb 2012 at 11:24.
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