Surely both Leuchars and Lossie should be safe? I always understood that the plan a couple of years before SDSR was to run 6 operational airfields:
Typhoon: Leuchars/Coningsby
Dave: Marham/Lossie
ISTAR (inc MPA): Waddington
Transport: Brize
Even with MPA now gone, the airbase list holds good - I see no reason for change. The rest is just rumour for rumour's sake.