The metars didn't have strong crosswinds till after the event
EGGD 030550Z 12012KT 4000 RA BR SCT002 BKN012 12/12 Q0990
EGGD 030520Z 10011KT 1400 R09/P1500 R27/P1500 RA BR SCT001 BKN002 11/11 Q0990
Aircraft landed at 0530z so low cloud, rain and visibility.
Late or no flare on the threshold side of the hump? or
landing deep and checking the nose forward?