There is no way International flights (above current repatriation flight) will be ramping up in October. This was all predicated on having the vaccine rollout completed by end October. The vaccine rollout is proving a dismal failure (already 3.4m doses behind planned) and the latest blood clot scare campaign will put things behind even more. More and more people will wait for the Pfizer or Moderna of which Australia cannot get anywhere near enough, probably for years. I think there will be millions of doses of Astrazeneca left on the shelves, with millions content forgo the vaccine and just keep international borders shut.
For states like WA, they'll be lucky to have free international travel before 2023.
My best guess is that by October, we might have a fairly reliable Tasman bubble at best and hopefully more sensible state border controls.
Last edited by The The; 4th Apr 2021 at 04:09.