It's not surprising given that it will be end of April before over 50's are all vaccinated. However that group constitutes 99% of CV19 deaths. Once that group is done the risk of hospitals being overwhelmed drops markedly and comes more into line with what we would typically see with flu. There is the risk of new variants and I suspect we will see some border controls retained for some countries throughout the summer but given that the situation in most continental countries is also improving I can see a summer season albeit at some reduced capacity starting in May. The vaccination programme will also continue so the picture should continue to improve further after then.