We’re at a point where the airlines can look ahead and plan for crewing requirements for the rest of the year. The window for a quick course to return to the line is closing.
There is no point in recalling crew right after they could have done a short course. As most training departments struggle with course efficiency at the best of times, it will takes years to get any remaining foreign crew back on line.
Foreign crew are the absolute last priority and I wouldn’t be surprised if some recalled crew get kicked to the curb again while airlines complete conversion courses.
The agencies know this as they aren’t saying anything and don’t want to get anyone’s hopes up.
If everyone can plan for another year of leave, I think
It’s going to be a buyers market for crew. With so many retirements, people moving on and airlines shutting down their training pipelines, they will struggle to operate at even 70% of pre covid capacity for years.
I think most airlines will find that not everyone is going to drop everything and come running back when recalled.