Originally Posted by
aviation_enthus
In Australia at least, I find it highly doubtful the border will open in 2021. Even with a large number of people vaccinated, the political reality in Australia can’t even accept a small outbreak (less than 30). Just look at the drama of SA recently and the current NSW one.
Until it is definitively proven that the virus can’t be brought in to Australia, expect the government to drag its heels as long as possible.
The outbreak in Sydney shows the fragility of the system. Even the Trans Tasman bubble is placed at risk of starting with community transmission. The problem is a small outbreak, if badly managed, can become an out of control outbreak in very little time.
Here in NZ the policy is unlikely to change, as we do not have the ICU capacity to manage a big outbreak.