A lot of signs on the domestic front are showing quite a quick bounce back to 2019 levels, and international would be similar.
A lot of assumptions with that statement. The WA government has stated that it wont be opening its borders until June 2021 and while C19 is in the community at such low levels, by world standards, Qld,Tas and SA are going to open and shut their borders on a regular basis. The domestic market will remain patchy at best so any forecast of a quick bounce back is premature.
Someone up high has seen a reason to start multiple Academy courses into the first half of next year that won’t have the cadets graduating until well into 2022. Quite possibly long term forecasts are seeing a need for them
You could be right but never underestimate the inability of the left hand not talking to the right hand. I remember Jetstar cancelling the cadet courses in anticipation of reduced growth then recruiting direct entry for two years because their were no cadets. Then they restarted the cadet course and I think a lot of the first course were graduating at the end of 2018. So just because someone up the food chain has decreed that courses will start next year doesn't mean they have any inside knowledge of the future of aviation post covid. What is the caveat at the end of the industry super ads; past performance is no guarantee of future performance.