Originally Posted by
Ragnor
was that 196 before Vic hard lock down and before QLD shut for an undetermined time? I would think QF and JQ will be crunching some numbers now and it will not be pretty. Even Domestic will struggle now into the new year as unemployment sky rockets in Victoria.
The timeline for the fleet requirements and employment numbers, as announced openly to the ASX in which you’re all free to read, is for a 3 year recovery plan, with the surplus numbers based on the predicted network in mid 2022, a full 2 years away. So unless they’re changing plans on what’s happening beyond 2/3 years the current numbers apply. If there’s any interim change in requirements domestically then stand downs will manage that problem, and no further surplus is forecast. I don’t think anyone expects domestic travel restrictions to exist in 2 years.
4-6 months after full lockdowns other nations have resumed quite substantial parts of domestic networks, it will follow suit in Australia too.