Originally Posted by
normanton
Nope! Not at all.
The company has stated they have a surplus of 190 pilots in mainline. This does not include anyone due to retire by the 1st July 2022. If that is say 58 pilots, the real surplus here is 190 + 58 = 248.
The 190 surplus pilots are being targeted by the VR program. LWOP will not affect this. LWOP is being used to manage the short to medium term pilot surplus (refer Q56 in the FAQ document).
If they do not get 190 pilots by the VR offer, they will start CR's. LWOP will not affect this.
For what its worth, if the most recently hired LH SO's all take LWOP, the company will be going up the list, and the next people in line were hired in Jan 2009.
So if CR is unavoidable, why are they offering LWOP at all? It would be cheaper to CR the most junior.